Posted by holdaway on 4/2/2024 11:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by the_dance07 on 4/1/2024 9:10:00 PM (view original):
Posted by holdaway on 4/1/2024 8:02:00 PM (view original):
At the lower levels, just because a player is visible does not mean that they are better. They may have a higher rating, but that does not mean that they are a better player and if you do not understand this at the lower levels, you need to dig in to it. Imho
Not sure if this was in general or at me but that's literally my point in that he was a 58ish guess DL this is a guy that shouldnt even be in "top vision" rating wise, there were better players rating wise but guy was within 100 miles and had great WE, he was the fit I needed in that class at the time and UND for a while. I still scouted him anyways knowing I couldn't sign him to just see the POT, and few cycles in a lower ranked team grabbed him off the board which is what really lead to my shock and feelings that vision is made up by more factors than just success if he was visible to this guy who by all known vision calculation theory should have been less but I could not see him. The only thing that made sense to me is he was further away from this guy who had twice the schols vs a very easy cheap recruit to me close.
Sorry coach, not at you. I don’t think I even related my comment to your post tbh. I am more referring to the fact in general that some players attach quality to vision and that is not the case in my experience. Certainly, a recent NC can have better vision and an easier path to recruiting a player, but that does not mean that they see “better” players. I think that is my point of conversation.
No worries wasnt sure. But I think your right in a lot of what you just posted here and below this reply. I think quality and pure numbers are two different things. I think finding top most QUALITY is pretty rare at max vision that maybe only 2-3 coaches can see, it does happen and that's always great when it does. But often times the top of the guys you can see vision wise are highest rating guess wise, but not the best quality recruit out there. It comes at a trade off. The highest rated players in basically every class will
often be lower on WE if they are top most vision exclusive guys. You'll almost never see a OL rated 64+ with high WE at d2, but if you can only see OL under 560 total rating and there is a 483 that is a 64.2 Guess OL he likely is a low WE and he got kicked down into d2 vision. He might rate as the best OL via GUESS, but if he has a WE of 15 and Pot is anything less than H, I may rather go with a 60 GUESS OL that maybe more coaches can see but has a WE of 50+.
I find this is often the case due to the fact that vision is essentially just elevating how far you can see into the lower end of the division above your own. This is why often times when vision is so high you can end up recruiting an entire class of UND bc they are the low end of the division above you and dont get SIM coaches on them. There happen to be so few d1aa coaches and the player pool is so large that you almost never have a problem with d1aa dipping down on the top of the vision ladder at d2. At d1aa though when you take over a shitbox team you are nearly regulated to no high end UND and have to battle all d1aa sims. As that vision increases you can start to see the low tier d1a guys that are UND (not many outside of RB, TE, and LB anyways) and eventually when vision gets so good at d1aa its almost counter productive bc there are seasons that I could see like the second best rated OL in the entire country but have zero chance at signing bc obviously a d1a is going to be on him and you start to have to bob and weave to try to avoid the d1a schools while still trying to get d1a talent. This is what made d1aa my favorite recruiting division for a while but its often very difficult as a d1a can easily swoop in at any time.
Just completed my scouting of the first cycle in Rockne D2 and I assume I likely have some of the best vision in that world atm. I didn't see anything off at least in search vs guess recruit tool like some other recent seasons across worlds, however I think the overall ceiling that you can see up to has definitely been moved down. Almost never find a guess RB over 60-61 now vs 4-6 months ago where I wouldn't even scout RB's under 60, cant find a DB over 55-56 guess rating. And feel like its starting to become rare you can see a QB 49-50+ at d2. Could be random but it feels like a trend the last 3 seasons or so across my d2 teams. The only positions that doesn't feel like the ceiling was lowered at really OL and DL but possibly less common then before imo.
4/3/2024 2:15 AM (edited)