A tale of luck and fatigue in the LCS: Team B is up 2 games to none, but has stated that they are in a bad spot fatigue-wise and don't know how they'll succeed. The schedule for the next 4 games looked as follows:
Game 3:
Team A: 1912 Walter Johnson pitching at 100%
Team B: 2018 Chris Sale pitching at 42%
Game 4:
Team A: 1981 Nolan Ryan pitching at 100%
Team B: 2016 Clayton Kershaw pitching at 40%
Game 5:
Team A: 1912 Walter Johnson pitching at 100%
Team B: 2015 Zach Greinke pitching at 41%
Game 6:
Team A: 1981 Nolan Ryan pitching at 100%
Team B: 1999 Pedro Martinez pitching at 35%
Team B, may have had the advantage in wins at this point, but with such tired starters, and no reliever above 46%, their chances seemed hopeless.
Johnson and Ryan pitched games 1 & 2 and gave up a combined 9 ER (15 total runs) against a high octane offense. The tired pitchers had ERAs of 11.25, 13.38, 9.67, and 7.64, respectively to this point in the playoffs, including 4 starts from them between 80-100%. The expectation was that Team A would win the next four games by scores around 13-15 to 6-8 for Team B.
As expected, in
Game 3, Chris Sale gave up 14 ER over 7.2 IP, and in
Game 4, Kershaw gave up just 8 runs in a CG. However, in Game 3, Walter Johnson and two 100% relievers combined to give up 42 runs (38 earned), while Ryan, in Game 4, gave up 25 runs through 3.2 IP, before the 100% bullpen allowed another 34 runs to come in.
Team B then went on to sweep in the World Series, though both teams were in similar boats fatigue-wise, so it wasn't as unbelievable as these two games.
Believe it, or Don't!