Posted by Jtpsops on 10/8/2019 10:21:00 AM (view original):
Posted by schwarze on 10/7/2019 11:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by redcped on 10/5/2019 9:37:00 PM (view original):
This is an observation, not a complaint, but it does appear at least possible that a good deal of roster formation in the $255M draft will come down to luck and some owners could find themselves at a massive disadvantage within the first couple rounds. An owner could easily wind up losing on on multiple players in each round and be far shorter on cash than others, and it wouldn't really have anything to do with how good they are at playing WIS.
I've done a couple silent auctions just with players and without the money factor, and it becomes a bit more of a psychology game than a draft.
I hate this theme idea. Way too many unforseen problems could arise. If I really want Silver King and bid $50M and somebody else bids $55M, I am f'kd. What if seven other people also bid $40-$45? Now they are also f'kd. This theme idea has disaster potential written all over it. And like redcped commented above, this isn't really a theme as much as a game theory exercise with too much luck involved.
You of all people should see that this really isn't that complicated. I didn't want to say too much, but since there is so much griping, here it is: you only need $1M to get a player if no one else bids on them. Sure, it may make sense to bid huge the first couple rounds to try and get a stud, but after that, there's really not much reason to bid more than $1M at a time. And if other owners use up a ton of their payroll early on, even better for everyone else down the road.
A couple of things: First off, there are a limited number of high salary players & pitchers (that are good and not just 500 innings of crap), particularly when only one instance of a player can be chosen. Thus, an owner who obtains more of those players will gain an advantage.
Secondly, the assumption is that people can stay out of each other's way, once the big fights are over. The reality is that people will continue to get in each other's way, and if they all bid $1 million to fill out their roster, the likely result is that a whole bunch more players will get blacklisted.
Gaming this out, the likely result is that those who don't lose the big fights early will get a snowballing, even bigger advantage over anyone who lost the battle for the top guys.