Round 1 Sound Off, 2023 Topic

Posted by boogerlips on 6/28/2023 12:42:00 PM (view original):
Redcped and Schwartz leading the tournament... RIGGED!!
At least you can't blame insanely good luck. My teams are a cumulative 28-31 in 1-run games... which frankly, is the high-water mark for me in this tournament.
6/28/2023 7:33 PM
I’m 33-39 in 1-run games.
6/28/2023 8:42 PM
Posted by jfranco77 on 6/28/2023 3:42:00 PM (view original):
Posted by jfranco77 on 6/28/2023 7:16:00 AM (view original):
Judging by that 51-8 win against a bunch of tired pitchers, I am guessing just4me's plan of drafting 1340 innings in the 255m league isn't going as well as expected.
And I just lost to a bunch of pitchers in the 60s and 70s, so I should just shut up.
He had some personal stuff come up and was offline for most of two weeks. Came back online to his teams in rough shape. I know he's working on getting them back to competitive but may be too late now
6/29/2023 2:16 AM
Interestingly, there seems to be an inverse relationship between salary and winning % in the $255M league across all leagues. As of 6/29 PM games:

NLE 0.485%
NLC 0.477%
NLW 0.499%
ALE 0.499%
ALC 0.515%
ALW 0.525%
6/29/2023 2:14 PM
A follow-up on my Roster Strategy discussion on my 120M Cleveland bullpen. Here's what I wrote then:

Digression: With good justification, schwarze posts a lot of complaints about relievers in this game. I feel like this league will be a good test to see whether there’s any hope of building a really reliable one. I have 6 RP here with WHIPs between 0.69 and 0.77, no ERC# higher than 1.16, and OAV ranging from .155 to .183. On paper, you’d be hard-pressed to line up a pen much better than that, particularly limiting to only one franchise. So how many of those 6 do you think will actually even finish with an ERA above 4? I’d guess at least 3 of them will.

Here's how they're doing:
Andrew Miller: 3.68 ERA, 1.02 WHIP
Emmanuel Clase 3.92, 1.35
Brad Hand 8.04, 1.47
Rafael Betancourt 6.23, 1.77
Oliver Perez 3.09, 0.94
Jeff Manship 4.09, 1.55

So, yeah, three of them have ERAs over 4. Only two are actually doing well, really. Clase's stats are OK but he's allowing a .309 OAV, rather absurdly. Small samples, maybe. I'll keep monitoring it.
6/29/2023 3:09 PM
Posted by redcped on 6/29/2023 3:09:00 PM (view original):
A follow-up on my Roster Strategy discussion on my 120M Cleveland bullpen. Here's what I wrote then:

Digression: With good justification, schwarze posts a lot of complaints about relievers in this game. I feel like this league will be a good test to see whether there’s any hope of building a really reliable one. I have 6 RP here with WHIPs between 0.69 and 0.77, no ERC# higher than 1.16, and OAV ranging from .155 to .183. On paper, you’d be hard-pressed to line up a pen much better than that, particularly limiting to only one franchise. So how many of those 6 do you think will actually even finish with an ERA above 4? I’d guess at least 3 of them will.

Here's how they're doing:
Andrew Miller: 3.68 ERA, 1.02 WHIP
Emmanuel Clase 3.92, 1.35
Brad Hand 8.04, 1.47
Rafael Betancourt 6.23, 1.77
Oliver Perez 3.09, 0.94
Jeff Manship 4.09, 1.55

So, yeah, three of them have ERAs over 4. Only two are actually doing well, really. Clase's stats are OK but he's allowing a .309 OAV, rather absurdly. Small samples, maybe. I'll keep monitoring it.
My 0.98 BB/9, 359 BB/9+ Zach Plesac is allowing almost 4 walks per 9.
6/29/2023 5:47 PM
Posted by d_rock97 on 6/29/2023 5:47:00 PM (view original):
Posted by redcped on 6/29/2023 3:09:00 PM (view original):
A follow-up on my Roster Strategy discussion on my 120M Cleveland bullpen. Here's what I wrote then:

Digression: With good justification, schwarze posts a lot of complaints about relievers in this game. I feel like this league will be a good test to see whether there’s any hope of building a really reliable one. I have 6 RP here with WHIPs between 0.69 and 0.77, no ERC# higher than 1.16, and OAV ranging from .155 to .183. On paper, you’d be hard-pressed to line up a pen much better than that, particularly limiting to only one franchise. So how many of those 6 do you think will actually even finish with an ERA above 4? I’d guess at least 3 of them will.

Here's how they're doing:
Andrew Miller: 3.68 ERA, 1.02 WHIP
Emmanuel Clase 3.92, 1.35
Brad Hand 8.04, 1.47
Rafael Betancourt 6.23, 1.77
Oliver Perez 3.09, 0.94
Jeff Manship 4.09, 1.55

So, yeah, three of them have ERAs over 4. Only two are actually doing well, really. Clase's stats are OK but he's allowing a .309 OAV, rather absurdly. Small samples, maybe. I'll keep monitoring it.
My 0.98 BB/9, 359 BB/9+ Zach Plesac is allowing almost 4 walks per 9.
There are 5 versions of him in my league. His walk rate ranges from 0.50 to 2.25. I have the 2.25 one, alas.

Yours is some kind of aberration. Hopefully just small sample size and will even out.
6/29/2023 6:27 PM
PM2 Mauch with 3 one run losses.

Now 28-52 in one run games.
6/29/2023 7:00 PM
My win total is greatest in Column A and descends, presently, in order of A-B-C-D. E & F are flipped but only one game apart.

I don't know what my major miscalculation was, but my E&F teams combined came out of the gate 13-25 over 24 games (x2). We performed a serious overhaul and somehow each of those two teams went 13-11 in the second 24-game stretch.
6/29/2023 8:04 PM
Apparently higher cap leagues are absolutely relentless for walks. I rolled with really low OAV pitchers in the $255M league, and some have BB/9 in the 2.5/3.5 range. It's insane how many walks they're giving up. Elton Chamberlain is over 7 BB/9. He's holding opponents to a .226 OAV, has not allowed a single HR, and still has an ERA over 6.
6/29/2023 9:15 PM
Posted by Jtpsops on 6/29/2023 9:15:00 PM (view original):
Apparently higher cap leagues are absolutely relentless for walks. I rolled with really low OAV pitchers in the $255M league, and some have BB/9 in the 2.5/3.5 range. It's insane how many walks they're giving up. Elton Chamberlain is over 7 BB/9. He's holding opponents to a .226 OAV, has not allowed a single HR, and still has an ERA over 6.
I assume part of it has to be the number of Ruth/Williams/Bonds sorts of bats who just pull walks off of every pitcher regardless.
6/29/2023 9:51 PM
Posted by redcped on 6/29/2023 9:51:00 PM (view original):
Posted by Jtpsops on 6/29/2023 9:15:00 PM (view original):
Apparently higher cap leagues are absolutely relentless for walks. I rolled with really low OAV pitchers in the $255M league, and some have BB/9 in the 2.5/3.5 range. It's insane how many walks they're giving up. Elton Chamberlain is over 7 BB/9. He's holding opponents to a .226 OAV, has not allowed a single HR, and still has an ERA over 6.
I assume part of it has to be the number of Ruth/Williams/Bonds sorts of bats who just pull walks off of every pitcher regardless.
True, but no team can have more than one of those guys on their roster.
6/29/2023 10:04 PM
My $255M team has a bunch of high-walk guys. Ruth (152), T.Phillips (132), Bench (105), Carroll (104), Votto (94, 374 abs), Cullenbine (93, 346 abs), Ch.Jones (90, 439 abs) plus a bunch of guys in the high 70's and 80's.

My team leads the league with 235 walks in 48 games, 39% above league average.
6/29/2023 10:30 PM
I built my $255 team around high OBP, except that I used my top draft pick on Lajoie who never walks. Trying to remember why I did that
6/30/2023 2:16 PM
My first completed iteration of the 255M team also had '01 Nap Lajoie. Then I realized that '93 Tony Phillips (Box 25) might end up getting on base just as much as Lajoie and was much "cheaper", both in salary and Box equity. Currently, Phillips is at .256/.379/.309 with 11 + plays (and only 5 errors).

The two 1901 Lajoies in my league are at .258/.289/.347 and .321/.343/.408.
7/1/2023 8:38 AM
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Round 1 Sound Off, 2023 Topic

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