Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 3:27:00 PM (view original):

Posted by moy23 on 3/24/2016 1:01:00 PM (view original):

Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 12:51:00 PM (view original):

Posted by moy23 on 3/24/2016 12:37:00 PM (view original):

Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 12:34:00 PM (view original):
I heard, or read, that in the 10 contested conventions, the leader was only nominated 3 times. I don't know if that applied to all parties or just the Repubs but, either way, it's not unheard of for the leader to been given a gift basket and sent home. In fact, it's more likely than not.

What say ye, moy?

It won't be contested. Ask me again in June or July.

I think the math says otherwise. Trump still need 498 and I believe there are something like 930 still available. Which means he has to get about 54% of them. How do you expect that to happen?

95 in NY
120 in CA
20 in ND
51 in NJ
30 in WI
51 in IN

Probably about 15-20 states left including PA, RI, VT, OR, WA, SD, etc.... He'd have to get about 120 delegates out of them. He's currently 96% to his target but his poll #s are going up nationally which should carry some weight moving forward

Are any of the states listed "winner take all"? I know the bigs ones aren't.

Recent Polls:
Trump in NY @ 65% up on Cruz by 50%, 95 possible delegates
Trump in NJ @ 38% up on Cruz by 28%, 51 possible delegates
Trump in CA @ 38%up on Cruz by 11%, 174 possible delegates

BL's mancrush Nate Silver has Trump coming in at 1208 and he's a Trump hater.

And in moy-math 1208 is greater than 1237?

Congrats on moy-winning our recent world series one game to four, btw.

Posted by moy23 on 3/24/2016 4:08:00 PM (view original):

Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 3:27:00 PM (view original):

Posted by moy23 on 3/24/2016 1:01:00 PM (view original):

Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 12:51:00 PM (view original):

Posted by moy23 on 3/24/2016 12:37:00 PM (view original):

Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 12:34:00 PM (view original):
I heard, or read, that in the 10 contested conventions, the leader was only nominated 3 times. I don't know if that applied to all parties or just the Repubs but, either way, it's not unheard of for the leader to been given a gift basket and sent home. In fact, it's more likely than not.

What say ye, moy?

It won't be contested. Ask me again in June or July.

I think the math says otherwise. Trump still need 498 and I believe there are something like 930 still available. Which means he has to get about 54% of them. How do you expect that to happen?

95 in NY
120 in CA
20 in ND
51 in NJ
30 in WI
51 in IN

Probably about 15-20 states left including PA, RI, VT, OR, WA, SD, etc.... He'd have to get about 120 delegates out of them. He's currently 96% to his target but his poll #s are going up nationally which should carry some weight moving forward

Are any of the states listed "winner take all"? I know the bigs ones aren't.

Recent Polls:
Trump in NY @ 65% up on Cruz by 50%, 95 possible delegates
Trump in NJ @ 38% up on Cruz by 28%, 51 possible delegates
Trump in CA @ 38%up on Cruz by 11%, 174 possible delegates

BL's mancrush Nate Silver has Trump coming in at 1208 and he's a Trump hater.

NY and CA aren't winner take all. Trump will be lucky to be at 1200 after CA.

Posted by genghisxcon on 3/24/2016 4:14:00 PM (view original):
And in moy-math 1208 is greater than 1237?

Congrats on moy-winning our recent world series one game to four, btw.

That's coming from a Trump Hater. Its more than likely more than 1208 was my point.

Silver isn't shading his prediction based on his personal feelings for Trump.

Posted by bad_luck on 3/24/2016 4:38:00 PM (view original):
Silver isn't shading his prediction based on his personal feelings for Trump.

pillow talk?

His business is about being right. If he tilts his predictions based on his own ideology, 538 is worthless. He knows that. You know that. If he thought Trump would get 1237 easily, he'd say so.

Posted by all3 on 3/24/2016 8:50:00 AM (view original):

Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 8:11:00 AM (view original):
When is moy gonna post the most recent poll that shows Kasich destroys Hillary, Cruz squeaks by Hillary and Hillary soulcrushes Trump?

Still mad Trump "soulcrushed" every Republican candidate you kept switching to after the one you previously supported quit?

The man is a TOTAL wildcard, like no other candidate ever seen, and nobody knows what he or his supporters will do. Those pretending they do, who continue to make blanket statements about him, just continue to be proven wrong. Maybe that's not a good thing, but it sure in the heell is interesting and has hopefully changed the way many will view Party lines going forward.

Does electing "a TOTAL wildcard" who nobody has any idea what he would do if elected, to be the leader of the free world sound like a good idea?

Because it doesn't to me.

all3 is a functional retard. That's why he's blocked. Thanks for quoting him, tec.

FWIW, I watched an episode, maybe two, of Jersey Shore around Season 3. I'm sure some found it interesting but, if you bought the collection, you're an idiot. And the goddam Kardashians are "interesting" to some, they've been around since OJ butchered two people, but it's a goddam retarded show.

Posted by MikeT23 on 3/24/2016 7:44:00 PM (view original):
all3 is a functional retard. That's why he's blocked. Thanks for quoting him, tec.

FWIW, I watched an episode, maybe two, of Jersey Shore around Season 3. I'm sure some found it interesting but, if you bought the collection, you're an idiot. And the goddam Kardashians are "interesting" to some, they've been around since OJ butchered two people, but it's a goddam retarded show.

"Funny" how this crude know-it-all azzhole keeps saying I'm blocked, yet he keeps replying to my posts. (I'd be applying for a restraining order, except he replies to almost every post in almost every thread.) He tries to insult everyone into adopting his way of thinking, than cries like a little beotch when you point-out the number times he couldn't have been more wrong (like with about a dozen Trump predictions so far).
Again, for those who were a bit too slow to pick it up the first couple dozen times, I have no idea what kind of Presidency Trump would have. Neither does anybody else. Those pretending they can forecast that are infinitely crazier than Trump himself. The vast majority of this Country clearly wants change. Trump is offering them that. Others tried to do what he's doing and failed, so why proclaim to know he'll fail if given the opportunity?