I am removing myself from consideration for Round 4. Good luck all.

Rank	Team Name	Leag	Owner	Pick#	Record	Exp Win%	1-Run	Qualify
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	------------	------------	---------	---------
1	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	1	emanes10	2	77-43	0.576	24-10	1
2	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	2	barracuda3	5	74-46	0.573	20-13	1
3	1886 Wolverines + friends	1	footballmm11	5	74-46	0.566	18-13	1
4	Nary a Homer to be Found	2	mllama54	10	72-48	0.548	18-14	1
5	1886 Chicago White Stockings	1	schwarze	4	71-49	0.573	15-11	1
6	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	2	SteveIzzy	16	71-49	0.567	14-14	1
7	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	1	pedrocerrano	3	71-49	0.557	21-12	1
8	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	1	toysboys	1	70-50	0.610	22-14	1
9	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	2	pedrocerrano	4	70-50	0.582	13-19	1
10	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	2	pedrocerrano	1	67-53	0.571	17-20	1
11	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	1	pedrocerrano	10	67-53	0.551	19-17	1
12	1894 Phillies + friends	2	footballmm11	2	67-53	0.537	17-10	1
13	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	1	kstober	16	66-54	0.483	24-10	1
14	Goshen Redhawks	2	ybjsports	15	65-55	0.519	18-14	1
15	Turn Your Head and Kauff	2	redcped	9	64-56	0.551	20-22	1
16	Joyce and Re-Joyce	2	redcped	17	64-56	0.521	18-7	1
17	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	2	glowguy	13	63-57	0.478	18-17	1
18	Gonna Be Ugy II	2	Bill_James47	12	63-57	0.466	16-13	0
19	Sam Trottin' Along	1	richiebrown6	19	62-58	0.508	16-12	1
20	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	2	toysboys	24	62-58	0.481	19-12	1
21	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	1	njbigwig	8	61-59	0.549	14-15	1
22	Kelly, Clarkson	1	nocomm999	6	61-59	0.517	18-21	1
25	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	2	kstober	23	60-60	0.493	17-16	0
23	1889 New York Giants	1	schwarze	12	61-59	0.479	14-15	0
24	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	1	Jtpsops	18	61-59	0.467	16-15	0
26	19th Century Rowdies	2	thejuice6	18	59-61	0.478	14-15	1
27	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	2	emanes10	8	58-62	0.516	11-14	0
28	Reading Red Knights	1	ybjsports	21	58-62	0.512	14-17	0
29	1895 Phillies + friends	2	footballmm11	7	58-62	0.491	15-16	0
30	i've got two glass "roosters"	1	3dayrotation	23	58-62	0.458	17-19	1
31	1915 St. Louis Terriers	2	schwarze	3	57-63	0.497	16-18	0
32	Gonna Be Ugly	1	Bill_James47	15	57-63	0.488	16-22	1
33	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	1	redcped	13	56-64	0.469	18-14	0
34	1897 Baltimore Orioles	2	schwarze	11	55-65	0.540	14-20	0
35	Kelley's Heroes	2	nocomm999	21	55-65	0.519	12-19	0
36	Puzzled again	1	BeAllEndAll	7	55-65	0.510	11-22	0
37	The Two Jake Beckleys	1	calhoop	17	54-66	0.499	11-24	0
38	1887 Browns + friends	1	footballmm11	11	53-67	0.479	11-14	0
39	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	1	eman7400	20	53-67	0.463	16-16	0
40	Nary a Decent Fielder	1	mllama54	24	52-68	0.446	15-17	0
41	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	1	njbigwig	22	52-68	0.440	9-23	0
42	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	2	njbigwig	19	51-69	0.445	16-13	0
43	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	2	Jtpsops	6	50-70	0.432	11-14	0
44	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	2	toysboys	20	49-71	0.432	11-15	0
45	19th Century Ohio Players	1	DarthDurron	9	49-71	0.408	18-21	0
46	great names... all the wrong years	2	3dayrotation	14	47-73	0.372	16-16	0
47	Animal Farm	1	Taxman2008	14	41-79	0.376	11-14	0
48	Nap ED Reunion	2	Taxman2008	22	39-81	0.389	14-24	0

Currently, only pedrocerrano (4) has more than two teams that qualify. His two lowest ranked teams are

14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH: in league 2 (BIll_James47 would move up)
and
91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV in league 1 (calhoop would move up; redcped already has two teams)


Also, richiebrown6 says he is declining to play in round 4, so that means I would get a 2nd team to advance (barely over Jtpsops)

Rank	Team Name	Leag	Owner	Pick#	Record	Exp Win%	1-Run	Qualify
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	------------	------------	---------	---------
1	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	1	emanes10	2	91-51	0.575	27-11	1
2	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	2	barracuda3	5	87-55	0.584	22-18	1
3	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	1	toysboys	1	86-56	0.619	24-14	1
4	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	2	pedrocerrano	4	85-57	0.603	16-22	1
5	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	2	SteveIzzy	16	83-59	0.568	17-16	1
6	1886 Chicago White Stockings	1	schwarze	4	82-60	0.563	18-12	1
7	1886 Wolverines + friends	1	footballmm11	5	82-60	0.550	18-18	1
8	Nary a Homer to be Found	2	mllama54	10	81-61	0.523	22-15	1
9	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	1	pedrocerrano	10	80-62	0.556	22-20	1
10	Goshen Redhawks	2	ybjsports	15	80-62	0.549	20-15	1
11	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	1	pedrocerrano	3	79-63	0.547	21-18	1
12	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	2	pedrocerrano	1	78-64	0.559	20-23	1
13	Joyce and Re-Joyce	2	redcped	17	76-66	0.510	24-10	1
14	1894 Phillies + friends	2	footballmm11	2	76-66	0.507	20-14	1
15	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	2	emanes10	8	75-67	0.550	14-14	1
16	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	1	kstober	16	74-68	0.464	29-13	1
17	1897 Baltimore Orioles	2	schwarze	11	73-69	0.577	17-21	1
18	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	1	njbigwig	8	73-69	0.554	18-19	1
19	Sam Trottin' Along	1	richiebrown6	19	73-69	0.515	17-15	1
20	Kelly, Clarkson	1	nocomm999	6	73-69	0.514	24-22	1
21	Gonna Be Ugy II	2	Bill_James47	12	73-69	0.472	16-15	0
22	1887 Browns + friends	1	footballmm11	11	72-70	0.523	16-15	0
23	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	2	toysboys	24	72-70	0.468	20-12	1
24	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	1	Jtpsops	18	71-71	0.461	20-20	0
25	Kelley's Heroes	2	nocomm999	21	70-72	0.531	15-22	1
26	1915 St. Louis Terriers	2	schwarze	3	70-72	0.499	20-20	0
27	19th Century Rowdies	2	thejuice6	18	70-72	0.475	18-18	0
28	Turn Your Head and Kauff	2	redcped	9	69-73	0.522	21-28	0
29	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	2	kstober	23	69-73	0.487	19-20	0
30	i've got two glass "roosters"	1	3dayrotation	23	69-73	0.449	26-22	1
31	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	2	glowguy	13	69-73	0.446	20-18	0
32	Reading Red Knights	1	ybjsports	21	68-74	0.506	15-19	0
33	1895 Phillies + friends	2	footballmm11	7	67-75	0.478	18-20	0
34	1889 New York Giants	1	schwarze	12	67-75	0.450	15-19	0
35	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	1	redcped	13	66-76	0.475	21-18	1
36	Puzzled again	1	BeAllEndAll	7	65-77	0.508	13-26	0
37	The Two Jake Beckleys	1	calhoop	17	65-77	0.495	14-28	0
38	Gonna Be Ugly	1	Bill_James47	15	65-77	0.459	18-23	0
39	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	1	eman7400	20	64-78	0.470	19-19	0
40	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	1	njbigwig	22	64-78	0.458	10-27	0
41	19th Century Ohio Players	1	DarthDurron	9	62-80	0.440	22-24	0
42	Nary a Decent Fielder	1	mllama54	24	62-80	0.436	18-18	0
43	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	2	toysboys	20	61-81	0.447	13-17	0
44	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	2	Jtpsops	6	60-82	0.435	14-16	0
45	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	2	njbigwig	19	58-84	0.439	19-18	0
46	great names... all the wrong years	2	3dayrotation	14	56-86	0.386	20-21	0
47	Animal Farm	1	Taxman2008	14	51-91	0.397	13-18	0
48	Nap ED Reunion	2	Taxman2008	22	46-96	0.381	17-29	0

pedrocerrano's two lowest ranked teams are...

88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH (league 1, AL) --> Jtpsops would get the spot
14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH (league 2, NL) --> Bill_James47 would get the spot

Posted by footballmm11 on 7/22/2024 5:45:00 PM (view original):
104-game Update
I'm sure Schwarze will do his update here at some point, but I was curious where my teams were stacking up so here's a quick look at things. Note that "50/50 1-run Win%" is what the team's win% would be if you took all their 1-run games and gave them wins in half of them.

13 teams very likely to advance for 11 spots (cuz pedrocerrano is crushing)
These 13 all have 58+ wins (.558+ win%), Exp% of at least .534, and (with one exception) are 6+ games clear of the advancement line (e.g. vs the 7th-best team in the league). The one exception is pedro's 14 CHW team which is only 4 games up in the toughest league (Lg2 NL), but he has a strong win%, exp%, and has 4 teams in this group so two of them will be forfeited anyway.

Essentially, this group will likely take up 11 spots, so almost half of the final round is mostly set.

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	50/50 1-run Win%	AdvGB
1	1	NL	West	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	emanes10	65-39	0.625	0.564	0.563	17
2	1	AL	West	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	toysboys	63-41	0.606	0.626	0.558	11
3	1	NL	Central	1886 Wolverines + friends	footballmm11	63-41	0.606	0.548	0.577	15
4	1	NL	East	1886 Chicago White Stockings	schwarze	62-42	0.596	0.579	0.577	14
5	2	NL	West	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	barracuda3	61-43	0.587	0.583	0.567	6
6	1	AL	East	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	pedrocerrano	61-43	0.587	0.561	0.548	9
7	2	NL	Central	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	SteveIzzy	61-43	0.587	0.540	0.582	6
8	2	NL	West	Nary a Homer to be Found	mllama54	61-43	0.587	0.538	0.577	6
9	2	NL	Central	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	pedrocerrano	59-45	0.567	0.570	0.572	4
10	1	NL	East	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	pedrocerrano	59-45	0.567	0.567	0.572	11
11	2	AL	West	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	pedrocerrano	58-46	0.558	0.564	0.591	9
12	2	AL	West	Turn Your Head and Kauff	redcped	58-46	0.558	0.556	0.553	9
13	2	AL	East	1894 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	58-46	0.558	0.534	0.529	9

9 teams very likely to be eliminated
These 9 teams are all 45-59 (.433) or worse and at least 6 games out of the final qualification spot. They also have Exp% of .470 or lower (many are far below that even). To advance, these teams would have to make up a lot of ground and play a lot better than their underlying numbers indicate, so they're all likely longshots at this point.

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	50/50 1-run Win%	AdvGB
40	2	NL	East	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	toysboys	45-59	0.433	0.457	0.442	-10
41	1	AL	Central	1887 Browns + friends	footballmm11	44-60	0.423	0.467	0.438	-9
42	1	NL	West	19th Century Ohio Players	DarthDurron	44-60	0.423	0.406	0.428	-6
43	2	AL	East	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	njbigwig	43-61	0.413	0.470	0.413	-8
44	1	NL	Central	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	njbigwig	42-62	0.404	0.410	0.471	-8
45	2	AL	West	great names... all the wrong years	3dayrotation	41-63	0.394	0.373	0.394	-10
46	2	AL	Central	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	Jtpsops	40-64	0.385	0.391	0.389	-11
47	1	NL	Central	Animal Farm	Taxman2008	35-69	0.337	0.370	0.346	-15
48	2	NL	West	Nap ED Reunion	Taxman2008	34-70	0.327	0.384	0.375	-21

26 teams on the bubble for 13 spots
These 26 teams are--as you'd guess--right around .500 and right around the cutline. The records span from 56-48 (.538) to 47-57 (.452). The Exp% are in the same range, excluding the highest (.557) and lowest (.446) from this group the rest are between .461 and .534. And nearly all are within 5 games of the cut line, in either direction. glowguy's In Cy we trust and toysboys' 93PIT are the lone exceptions, 7 and 6 games up, respectively. But both have Exp% below .500 so I kept them on the bubble.

As for owners with potentially more than 2 advancers...all of pedro's 4 teams are in the top group. I have two in the top group so my 1895 Phillies are likely to be forfeited if they claim an advancement spot. schwarze has one "lock" and 3 bubble teams, so if he's able to get 2 of the 3 bubble teams through, he'd forfeit one of them. Similarly, redcped has one lock and 2 bubble teams.

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	50/50 1-run Win%	AdvGB
14	2	NL	West	1895 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	56-48	0.538	0.530	0.534	1
15	2	AL	Central	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	glowguy	56-48	0.538	0.481	0.529	7
16	1	AL	West	Sam Trottin' Along	richiebrown6	55-49	0.529	0.515	0.514	3
17	2	NL	East	Joyce and Re-Joyce	redcped	55-49	0.529	0.515	0.486	0
18	2	NL	Central	Goshen Redhawks	ybjsports	55-49	0.529	0.503	0.514	0
19	2	AL	West	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	toysboys	55-49	0.529	0.494	0.510	6
20	1	AL	East	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	kstober	55-49	0.529	0.472	0.481	3
21	1	AL	Central	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	njbigwig	54-50	0.519	0.557	0.519	2
22	1	AL	West	1889 New York Giants	schwarze	53-51	0.510	0.493	0.514	1
23	2	NL	Central	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	kstober	53-51	0.510	0.478	0.486	-2
24	2	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugy II	Bill_James47	53-51	0.510	0.461	0.500	-2
25	1	AL	Central	Kelly, Clarkson	nocomm999	52-52	0.500	0.508	0.519	-1
26	1	AL	East	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	Jtpsops	52-52	0.500	0.475	0.500	-1
27	2	AL	East	Kelley's Heroes	nocomm999	51-53	0.490	0.534	0.505	2
28	1	NL	East	i've got two glass "roosters"	3dayrotation	51-53	0.490	0.468	0.510	3
29	2	NL	East	1915 St. Louis Terriers	schwarze	50-54	0.481	0.519	0.500	-5
30	1	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugly	Bill_James47	50-54	0.481	0.486	0.500	2
31	1	AL	Central	Puzzled again	BeAllEndAll	49-55	0.471	0.513	0.505	-4
32	1	AL	West	Reading Red Knights	ybjsports	49-55	0.471	0.505	0.481	-4
33	2	AL	East	19th Century Rowdies	thejuice6	49-55	0.471	0.481	0.490	-2
34	2	AL	Central	1897 Baltimore Orioles	schwarze	48-56	0.462	0.530	0.486	-3
35	2	AL	Central	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	emanes10	48-56	0.462	0.512	0.476	-3
36	1	NL	West	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	eman7400	48-56	0.462	0.489	0.466	-2
37	1	AL	East	Nary a Decent Fielder	mllama54	48-56	0.462	0.446	0.471	-5
38	1	NL	West	The Two Jake Beckleys	calhoop	47-57	0.452	0.498	0.514	-3
39	1	NL	Central	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	redcped	47-57	0.452	0.463	0.428	-3

145-game Update

Had to check back in on this because I had two teams go in exact opposite directions. My 1887 Browns ripped off a 16-game winning streak and have gone 30-11 since the update, best of any team. Conversely, my 1895 Phillies went a league-worst 12-29 and went from the #1 Bubble team to virtually eliminated.

In all, I have 7 teams changing designation (Likely, Bubble, or Unlikely) since the last update, though most of them are borderline cases.

BUBBLE to LIKELY
- Goshen Redhawks (ybjsports): was 55-49 and right on the bubble but has gone 28-13 since. Now 8 games up on advancement and looking in very good shape.

LIKELY to BUBBLE
- 1894 Phillies + friends (footballmm11): could have kept my team here as Likely, but below .500 since the update and just 6 games up on advancement spot.
- Turn Your Head and Kauff (redcped): tied for the worst record post-update at 12-29 and dropped them from 9 games up on advancement to 2 games OUT of a spot. Exp% (.521) still solid so maybe can get back into a spot.

UNLIKELY to BUBBLE
- 1887 Browns + friends (footballmm11): this is the team I mentioned above. Just complete 180 and improved overall win% from .423 to .510. Very squarely on the bubble, though at this point my 3rd-best team so if my 1894 Phillies from above hang on, this team will be forfeited.
- Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers (njbigwig)
- 19th Century Ohio Players (DarthDurron): both of these teams could have been left as Unlikely, they are just 64-81 and all other Bubble teams have 65+ wins. But I moved them up since they are just 4 games back from an advancement spot (they were 8 and 6 GB at last update).

BUBBLE to UNLIKELY
- Nary a Decent Fielder (mllama54): was just barely on the Bubble before but a 15-26 stretch moves them to the Unlikely bucket.

153-game Update

9 games left so teams that are 10 games ahead are Locked and those that are 10 games behind are Eliminated (pending any owners with 3+ teams that have to forfeit).

By my count, we have:
- 8 Locks
- 6 Likely but only 4 spots taken - these teams are all 5-8 games ahead (note: pedrocerrano's 3rd and 4th best teams are here so 2 won't advance)
- 20 Bubble for 12 spots - these teams are all +/- 4 games from advance line (note: this includes 1 footballmm11 and 1 redcped team that may need to be forfeited)
- 7 Unlikely - these teams are all between 5-8 games behind
- 7 Eliminated
.

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	AdvGB	Advance?	OwnerRk
1	1	NL	West	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	emanes10	96-57	0.627	0.567	23	Lock	1
5	1	NL	East	1886 Chicago White Stockings	schwarze	89-64	0.582	0.566	16	Lock	1
3	2	AL	West	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	pedrocerrano	90-63	0.588	0.601	15	Lock	1
7	1	NL	Central	1886 Wolverines + friends	footballmm11	88-65	0.575	0.548	15	Lock	1
2	2	NL	West	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	barracuda3	94-59	0.614	0.585	14	Lock	1
9	1	NL	East	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	pedrocerrano	86-67	0.562	0.566	13	Lock	2
6	1	AL	West	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	toysboys	88-65	0.575	0.598	11	Lock	1
4	2	NL	Central	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	SteveIzzy	90-63	0.588	0.570	10	Lock	1
13	2	AL	East	1894 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	83-70	0.542	0.512	8	Likely	2
12	1	AL	East	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	pedrocerrano	84-69	0.549	0.546	7	Likely **	3
8	2	NL	Central	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	pedrocerrano	86-67	0.562	0.567	6	Likely **	4
10	2	NL	West	Nary a Homer to be Found	mllama54	86-67	0.562	0.518	6	Likely	1
11	2	NL	Central	Goshen Redhawks	ybjsports	85-68	0.556	0.546	5	Likely	1
15	2	AL	Central	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	emanes10	80-73	0.523	0.547	5	Likely	2
14	1	AL	Central	Kelly, Clarkson	nocomm999	81-72	0.529	0.522	4	Bubble	1
19	2	AL	Central	1897 Baltimore Orioles	schwarze	78-75	0.510	0.560	3	Bubble	2
18	1	AL	West	Sam Trottin' Along	richiebrown6	79-74	0.516	0.519	2	Bubble	1
23	2	AL	West	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	toysboys	77-76	0.503	0.475	2	Bubble	2
20	1	AL	Central	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	njbigwig	78-75	0.510	0.553	1	Bubble	1
21	1	AL	East	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	kstober	78-75	0.510	0.454	1	Bubble	1
24	2	AL	Central	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	glowguy	76-77	0.497	0.455	1	Bubble	1
16	2	NL	East	Joyce and Re-Joyce	redcped	80-73	0.523	0.502	0	Bubble	1
17	2	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugy II	Bill_James47	80-73	0.523	0.481	0	Bubble	1
33	1	NL	West	The Two Jake Beckleys	calhoop	73-80	0.477	0.507	0	Bubble	1
34	1	NL	Central	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	redcped	73-80	0.477	0.472	0	Bubble	2
36	1	NL	East	i've got two glass "roosters"	3dayrotation	73-80	0.477	0.447	0	Bubble	1
22	1	AL	Central	1887 Browns + friends	footballmm11	77-76	0.503	0.525	-1	Bubble **	3
27	2	AL	East	Kelley's Heroes	nocomm999	75-78	0.490	0.527	-1	Bubble	2
30	2	AL	East	19th Century Rowdies	thejuice6	75-78	0.490	0.472	-1	Bubble	1
25	1	AL	East	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	Jtpsops	76-77	0.497	0.453	-2	Bubble	1
31	2	AL	West	Turn Your Head and Kauff	redcped	74-79	0.484	0.514	-2	Bubble **	3
38	1	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugly	Bill_James47	71-82	0.464	0.470	-2	Bubble	2
26	1	AL	Central	Puzzled again	BeAllEndAll	75-78	0.490	0.528	-3	Bubble	1
28	1	AL	West	Reading Red Knights	ybjsports	75-78	0.490	0.510	-3	Bubble	2
29	2	NL	Central	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	kstober	75-78	0.490	0.489	-5	Unlikely	2
35	1	AL	West	1889 New York Giants	schwarze	73-80	0.477	0.457	-5	Unlikely **	3
39	1	NL	West	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	eman7400	68-85	0.444	0.454	-5	Unlikely	1
32	2	NL	East	1915 St. Louis Terriers	schwarze	74-79	0.484	0.493	-6	Unlikely **	4
40	1	NL	Central	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	njbigwig	67-86	0.438	0.458	-6	Unlikely	2
42	1	NL	West	19th Century Ohio Players	DarthDurron	66-87	0.431	0.433	-7	Unlikely	1
37	2	NL	West	1895 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	72-81	0.471	0.476	-8	Unlikely **	4
41	2	AL	Central	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	Jtpsops	66-87	0.431	0.444	-10	Eliminated	2
45	2	AL	East	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	njbigwig	64-89	0.418	0.444	-12	Eliminated	3
44	1	AL	East	Nary a Decent Fielder	mllama54	65-88	0.425	0.427	-13	Eliminated	2
43	2	NL	East	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	toysboys	65-88	0.425	0.445	-15	Eliminated	3
46	2	AL	West	great names... all the wrong years	3dayrotation	61-92	0.399	0.394	-15	Eliminated	2
47	1	NL	Central	Animal Farm	Taxman2008	57-96	0.373	0.406	-16	Eliminated	1
48	2	NL	West	Nap ED Reunion	Taxman2008	50-103	0.327	0.380	-30	Eliminated	2

By League

Lg 1 NL
- 4 teams far ahead of the pack with the rest of the 8 teams all 7 games below .500 or worse
- Currently, the 5th and 6th teams advancing from here are ranked 33 and 34 overall, while all other advancers rank in the top 24
- We could actually get a 3rd below .500 team from this group as pedro's 14 CHW may be his 3rd or 4th qualifier (currently his 2nd-best but just .001 Exp% ahead of his 3rd-best team and same record...just 2 games up on his 4th team)
- There is a group of 4 teams--calhoop, redcped, 3dayrotation, and Bill_James47 bunched up for those final 2 (or 3) spots. Three more teams are theoretically alive but would need a huge run to have a chance.

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	AdvGB	Advance?
1	1	NL	West	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	emanes10	96-57	0.627	0.567	23	Lock
5	1	NL	East	1886 Chicago White Stockings	schwarze	89-64	0.582	0.566	16	Lock
7	1	NL	Central	1886 Wolverines + friends	footballmm11	88-65	0.575	0.548	15	Lock
9	1	NL	East	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	pedrocerrano	86-67	0.562	0.566	13	Lock
33	1	NL	West	The Two Jake Beckleys	calhoop	73-80	0.477	0.507	0	Bubble
34	1	NL	Central	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	redcped	73-80	0.477	0.472	0	Bubble
36	1	NL	East	i've got two glass "roosters"	3dayrotation	73-80	0.477	0.447	0	Bubble
38	1	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugly	Bill_James47	71-82	0.464	0.470	-2	Bubble
39	1	NL	West	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	eman7400	68-85	0.444	0.454	-5	Unlikely
40	1	NL	Central	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	njbigwig	67-86	0.438	0.458	-6	Unlikely
42	1	NL	West	19th Century Ohio Players	DarthDurron	66-87	0.431	0.433	-7	Unlikely
47	1	NL	Central	Animal Farm	Taxman2008	57-96	0.373	0.406	-16	Eliminated

Lg 1 AL
- Incredible race with only toysboys locked currently. And only one team (mllama54) eliminated.
- pedro's team is the next-best but it's currently his 4th-best team so likely will be forfeited.
- Same goes for my 1887 Browns who are my 3rd-best team.
- That leaves 8 teams for 5 likely spots. (I'm including schwarze's team here...they are deemed "Unlikely" but with 2 spots forfeited, he's actually only 3 spots out of an advancement spot. Of course, it's also schwarze's 3rd-best team currently so he may not need the spot.)

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	AdvGB	Advance?
6	1	AL	West	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	toysboys	88-65	0.575	0.598	11	Lock
12	1	AL	East	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	pedrocerrano	84-69	0.549	0.546	7	Likely **
14	1	AL	Central	Kelly, Clarkson	nocomm999	81-72	0.529	0.522	4	Bubble
18	1	AL	West	Sam Trottin' Along	richiebrown6	79-74	0.516	0.519	2	Bubble
20	1	AL	Central	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	njbigwig	78-75	0.510	0.553	1	Bubble
21	1	AL	East	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	kstober	78-75	0.510	0.454	1	Bubble
22	1	AL	Central	1887 Browns + friends	footballmm11	77-76	0.503	0.525	-1	Bubble **
25	1	AL	East	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	Jtpsops	76-77	0.497	0.453	-2	Bubble
26	1	AL	Central	Puzzled again	BeAllEndAll	75-78	0.490	0.528	-3	Bubble
28	1	AL	West	Reading Red Knights	ybjsports	75-78	0.490	0.510	-3	Bubble
35	1	AL	West	1889 New York Giants	schwarze	73-80	0.477	0.457	-5	Unlikely **
44	1	AL	East	Nary a Decent Fielder	mllama54	65-88	0.425	0.427	-13	Eliminated

Lg 2 NL
- Unlike the Lg1 AL, this league is pretty stratified with 5 Likelies/Locks and 5 Unlikelies/Eliminated, leaving just 2 Bubble teams.
- That could mean that redcped and Bill_James47 are fighting it out for the last spot (currently tied with recped up in the Exp% tiebreaker). Or pedro's Likely qualifier could be forfeited allowing both bubble teams to advance.

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	AdvGB	Advance?
2	2	NL	West	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	barracuda3	94-59	0.614	0.585	14	Lock
4	2	NL	Central	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	SteveIzzy	90-63	0.588	0.570	10	Lock
8	2	NL	Central	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	pedrocerrano	86-67	0.562	0.567	6	Likely **
10	2	NL	West	Nary a Homer to be Found	mllama54	86-67	0.562	0.518	6	Likely
11	2	NL	Central	Goshen Redhawks	ybjsports	85-68	0.556	0.546	5	Likely
16	2	NL	East	Joyce and Re-Joyce	redcped	80-73	0.523	0.502	0	Bubble
17	2	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugy II	Bill_James47	80-73	0.523	0.481	0	Bubble
29	2	NL	Central	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	kstober	75-78	0.490	0.489	-5	Unlikely
32	2	NL	East	1915 St. Louis Terriers	schwarze	74-79	0.484	0.493	-6	Unlikely **
37	2	NL	West	1895 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	72-81	0.471	0.476	-8	Unlikely **
43	2	NL	East	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	toysboys	65-88	0.425	0.445	-15	Eliminated
48	2	NL	West	Nap ED Reunion	Taxman2008	50-103	0.327	0.380	-30	Eliminated

Lg 2 AL
- This is pedro's best team so unlikely he'll forfeit this spot. This is my 2nd-best team and they're likely to advance as well.
- There are 3 teams already eliminated.
- That leaves 6 Bubble teams + 1 Likely team (emanes10) for the last 4 spots.
- emanes10 is up 5 games and has a healthy Exp% so he likely grabs the 3rd spot.
- The remaining 6 bubble teams are separate by just 4 games currently!

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	AdvGB	Advance?
3	2	AL	West	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	pedrocerrano	90-63	0.588	0.601	15	Lock
13	2	AL	East	1894 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	83-70	0.542	0.512	8	Likely
15	2	AL	Central	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	emanes10	80-73	0.523	0.547	5	Likely
19	2	AL	Central	1897 Baltimore Orioles	schwarze	78-75	0.510	0.560	3	Bubble
23	2	AL	West	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	toysboys	77-76	0.503	0.475	2	Bubble
24	2	AL	Central	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	glowguy	76-77	0.497	0.455	1	Bubble
27	2	AL	East	Kelley's Heroes	nocomm999	75-78	0.490	0.527	-1	Bubble
30	2	AL	East	19th Century Rowdies	thejuice6	75-78	0.490	0.472	-1	Bubble
31	2	AL	West	Turn Your Head and Kauff	redcped	74-79	0.484	0.514	-2	Bubble **
41	2	AL	Central	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	Jtpsops	66-87	0.431	0.444	-10	Eliminated
45	2	AL	East	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	njbigwig	64-89	0.418	0.444	-12	Eliminated
46	2	AL	West	great names... all the wrong years	3dayrotation	61-92	0.399	0.394	-15	Eliminated

Reminder that richiebrown6 has opted out of round 4, so that opens up a bubble spot in League 1 AL

Ah yes thanks I had forgotten that

156-game Update

9 games left so teams that are 10 games ahead are Locked and those that are 10 games behind are Eliminated (pending any owners with 3+ teams that have to forfeit).

By my count, we have:
- 11 Locks (+ 1 Forfeit) - since 3 of these 12 are pedro teams, one will be dropped
- 4 Likely (+ 1 Forfeit) - another pedro team
- 17 Bubble (+2 Forfeit) for 9 spots - my 3rd team plus richiebrown6; there's also a chance for forfeitures from schwarze and redcped from this group
- 3 Unlikely
- 9 Eliminated

Standings (** = likely forfeit)

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	AdvGB	Advance?
1	1	NL	West	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	emanes10	99-57	0.635	0.574	25	Lock
2	2	NL	West	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	barracuda3	97-59	0.622	0.591	20	Lock
3	2	AL	West	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	pedrocerrano	93-63	0.596	0.601	17	Lock
4	2	NL	Central	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	SteveIzzy	92-64	0.590	0.567	15	Lock
5	1	AL	West	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	toysboys	90-66	0.577	0.597	14	Lock
6	1	NL	East	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	pedrocerrano	89-67	0.571	0.570	15	Lock
7	1	NL	East	1886 Chicago White Stockings	schwarze	89-67	0.571	0.559	15	Lock
8	1	NL	Central	1886 Wolverines + friends	footballmm11	89-67	0.571	0.548	15	Lock
9	2	NL	West	Nary a Homer to be Found	mllama54	88-68	0.564	0.519	11	Lock
10	2	NL	Central	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	pedrocerrano	87-69	0.558	0.566	6	Likely **
11	2	NL	Central	Goshen Redhawks	ybjsports	86-70	0.551	0.547	9	Lock
12	1	AL	East	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	pedrocerrano	86-70	0.551	0.545	10	Lock **
13	2	AL	East	1894 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	85-71	0.545	0.517	9	Lock
14	2	NL	East	Joyce and Re-Joyce	redcped	82-74	0.526	0.510	5	Likely
15	1	AL	Central	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	njbigwig	81-75	0.519	0.556	5	Likely
16	2	AL	Central	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	emanes10	81-75	0.519	0.545	5	Likely
17	1	AL	Central	Kelly, Clarkson	nocomm999	81-75	0.519	0.515	5	Likely
18	2	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugy II	Bill_James47	81-75	0.519	0.478	4	Bubble
19	2	AL	Central	1897 Baltimore Orioles	schwarze	80-76	0.513	0.563	4	Bubble
20	1	AL	West	Sam Trottin' Along	richiebrown6	80-76	0.513	0.518	4	Bubble **
21	1	AL	Central	1887 Browns + friends	footballmm11	79-77	0.506	0.527	3	Bubble **
22	1	AL	East	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	kstober	79-77	0.506	0.455	3	Bubble
23	2	AL	East	19th Century Rowdies	thejuice6	78-78	0.500	0.480	2	Bubble
24	2	AL	West	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	toysboys	78-78	0.500	0.476	2	Bubble
25	2	NL	Central	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	kstober	77-79	0.494	0.488	-4	Bubble
26	1	AL	East	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	Jtpsops	77-79	0.494	0.451	1	Bubble
27	1	AL	Central	Puzzled again	BeAllEndAll	76-80	0.487	0.528	0	Bubble
28	2	AL	East	Kelley's Heroes	nocomm999	76-80	0.487	0.521	-2	Bubble
29	1	AL	West	Reading Red Knights	ybjsports	76-80	0.487	0.507	0	Bubble
30	2	AL	Central	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	glowguy	76-80	0.487	0.451	-2	Bubble
31	2	AL	West	Turn Your Head and Kauff	redcped	75-81	0.481	0.512	-3	Bubble
32	1	NL	West	The Two Jake Beckleys	calhoop	75-81	0.481	0.508	1	Bubble
33	2	NL	East	1915 St. Louis Terriers	schwarze	75-81	0.481	0.489	-6	Unlikely
34	1	AL	West	1889 New York Giants	schwarze	75-81	0.481	0.459	-1	Bubble
35	1	NL	Central	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	redcped	74-82	0.474	0.466	0	Bubble
36	1	NL	East	i've got two glass "roosters"	3dayrotation	74-82	0.474	0.443	0	Bubble
37	1	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugly	Bill_James47	73-83	0.468	0.475	-1	Bubble
38	2	NL	West	1895 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	72-84	0.462	0.471	-9	Eliminated
39	1	NL	Central	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	njbigwig	69-87	0.442	0.462	-5	Unlikely
40	2	AL	Central	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	Jtpsops	69-87	0.442	0.447	-9	Eliminated
41	1	NL	West	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	eman7400	68-88	0.436	0.451	-6	Unlikely
42	2	NL	East	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	toysboys	67-89	0.429	0.446	-14	Eliminated
43	1	AL	East	Nary a Decent Fielder	mllama54	67-89	0.429	0.432	-9	Eliminated
44	1	NL	West	19th Century Ohio Players	DarthDurron	67-89	0.429	0.428	-7	Eliminated
45	2	AL	East	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	njbigwig	64-92	0.410	0.439	-14	Eliminated
46	2	AL	West	great names... all the wrong years	3dayrotation	62-94	0.397	0.393	-16	Eliminated
47	1	NL	Central	Animal Farm	Taxman2008	59-97	0.378	0.409	-15	Eliminated
48	2	NL	West	Nap ED Reunion	Taxman2008	51-105	0.327	0.378	-30	Eliminated

Lg 1 NL
4 Locks: emanes10, pedrocerrano, schwarze, footballmm11
2 Unlikely: njbigwig, eman7400
2 Eliminated: DarthDurron, Taxman2008
4 Bubble for 2 spots: calhoop, redcped, 3dayrotation, Bill_James47

Really close for the final 2 spots, just 2 games separating the 4 Bubble teams. calhoop certainly in the best position with a 1-game lead and the best Exp% of the group. This is redcped's 3rd-best team but his 2nd-best team is actually unlikely to advance, so if he gets this team through he'll likely keep the spot. njbigwig and eman7400 are 5 and 6 games out respectively so they would need to win out and get some help to have a chance.

Lg 1 AL
1 Lock: toysboys (+ pedrocerrano Forfeit)
2 Likely: njbigwig, nocomm999
1 Eliminated: mllama54
5 Bubble for 3 spots: kstober, jtpsops, beallendall, ybjsports, schwarze (+ richiebrown6 and footballmm11 Forfeit)

The forfeitures really opened up this race. There's still a chance that pedro's team from this league is one of his top 2, but that's unlikely at this point. Both njbigwig and nocomm999 will likely get through with a current 5-game cushion with 6 to go. Only mllama54 is out of it.

Removing richiebrown6 (opted out) and footballmm11 (3rd-best team) from the Bubble list, that still leaves 5 teams for the final 3 spots. kstober has a 2-game lead over the pack but one of the lower Exp% so he'll need to keep winning. The other 4 teams are all between 75 and 77 wins. schwarze probably won't need this team to advance (his Lg2 AL will likely advance and be his 2nd-best team) and they are at the bottom of this group anyway. That means it's probably down to jtpsops, beallendall, and ybjsports for the final 2 spots. jtpsops is up a win on the other two, but has a much worse Exp% so really his lead is just a half-game over them. This should be a fun one down the stretch.

Lg 2 NL
4 Locks: barracuda3, SteveIzzy, mllama54, ybjsports (+ pedrocerrano Forfeit)
1 Likely: redcped
1 Unlikely: schwarze
3 Eliminated: footballmm11, toysboys, Taxman2008
2 Bubble for 1 spot: Bill_James47, kstober

With so few games left, the divisions and matchups matter more. This is probably better represented as 4 teams for 2 spots, adding in redcped and schwarze to the mix. However, redcped and Bill_James47 have a big leg up. And another factor is that redcped, Bill_James47, and schwarze are in the same division, with Bill_James47 having 2 games left against redcped and then a final 4-game series with schwarze. Finally, there's a good chance this would be schwarze's 3rd or 4th qualified team and be dropped.

Let's just take the teams one-by-one, I think that'll be clearer.
- redcped is 7 games up on schwarze (so can't be caught) and 5 games up on kstober. His magic number is 2 versus kstober.
- Bill_James47 is 6 games up on schwarze and 4 games up on kstober. schwarze could catch him only if schwarze wins out and Bill_James loses out, though that's a bit more likely since they play each other 4 times to end the season. Bill_James47 also has a magic number of 3 versus kstober.
- kstober essentially just needs to catch Bill_James47, though there's some chance he could catch redcped. Needs to win out or go 5-1 to have a realistic shot.
- schwarze needs to win out and hope Bill_James47 also loses the next 2 to redcped.

Lg 2 AL
2 Locks: pedrocerrano, footballmm11
1 Likely: emanes10
3 Eliminated: jtpsops, njbigwig, 3dayrotation
6 Bubble for 3 spots: schwarze, thejuice6, toysboys, nocomm999, glowguy, redcped

emanes10 and schwarze have a commanding lead here. emanes10 is up 5 games, schwarze is 4 up, and both have a huge lead in Exp% so it's really 5.5 and 4.5 game cushions, respectively.

If those two are in, that leaves the other 5 Bubble teams for just 2 spots. Currently, thejuice6 and toysboys are 2+ games up on the others (3 up on redcped), though their Exp% is below 2 of the other 3. juice and nocomm do play each other in the final series, which provides nocomm a good opportunity to catch him. same for toysboys and redcped.

158-game Update

By my count, we have:
- 16 Locks (+ 2 Forfeit) - all 4 of pedro's are Locks
- 16 Bubble (+2 Forfeit) for 8 spots - my 3rd team plus richiebrown6; there's also a chance for forfeitures from schwarze and redcped from this group
- 12 Eliminated

Standings (** = likely forfeit)

Rk	Lg#	AL/NL	Div	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%	AdvGB	Advance?
1	1	NL	West	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	emanes10	101-57	0.639	0.577	26	Lock
2	2	NL	West	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	barracuda3	99-59	0.627	0.592	22	Lock
3	2	AL	West	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	pedrocerrano	94-64	0.595	0.601	17	Lock
4	2	NL	Central	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	SteveIzzy	94-64	0.595	0.569	17	Lock
5	1	AL	West	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	toysboys	92-66	0.582	0.600	16	Lock
6	1	NL	East	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	pedrocerrano	90-68	0.570	0.568	15	Lock
7	1	NL	Central	1886 Wolverines + friends	footballmm11	90-68	0.570	0.550	15	Lock
8	2	NL	Central	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	pedrocerrano	89-69	0.563	0.571	8	Lock **
9	1	NL	East	1886 Chicago White Stockings	schwarze	89-69	0.563	0.555	14	Lock
10	2	NL	West	Nary a Homer to be Found	mllama54	89-69	0.563	0.517	12	Lock
11	1	AL	East	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	pedrocerrano	87-71	0.551	0.544	10	Lock **
12	2	NL	Central	Goshen Redhawks	ybjsports	86-72	0.544	0.544	9	Lock
13	2	AL	East	1894 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	86-72	0.544	0.519	9	Lock
14	2	NL	East	Joyce and Re-Joyce	redcped	84-74	0.532	0.512	7	Lock
15	1	AL	Central	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	njbigwig	83-75	0.525	0.561	7	Lock
16	2	AL	Central	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	emanes10	82-76	0.519	0.542	5	Lock
17	1	AL	Central	Kelly, Clarkson	nocomm999	82-76	0.519	0.518	6	Lock
18	2	AL	Central	1897 Baltimore Orioles	schwarze	81-77	0.513	0.563	4	Bubble
19	2	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugy II	Bill_James47	81-77	0.513	0.477	4	Bubble
20	1	AL	East	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	kstober	81-77	0.513	0.461	5	Lock
21	1	AL	Central	1887 Browns + friends	footballmm11	80-78	0.506	0.523	3	Bubble **
22	1	AL	West	Sam Trottin' Along	richiebrown6	80-78	0.506	0.515	3	Bubble **
23	2	AL	East	19th Century Rowdies	thejuice6	79-79	0.500	0.479	2	Bubble
24	2	AL	West	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	toysboys	79-79	0.500	0.476	2	Bubble
25	2	AL	East	Kelley's Heroes	nocomm999	77-81	0.487	0.519	-2	Bubble
26	2	NL	Central	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	kstober	77-81	0.487	0.482	-4	Bubble
27	1	AL	West	1889 New York Giants	schwarze	77-81	0.487	0.462	1	Bubble
28	2	AL	Central	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	glowguy	77-81	0.487	0.450	-2	Bubble
29	1	AL	East	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	Jtpsops	77-81	0.487	0.446	1	Bubble
30	1	AL	Central	Puzzled again	BeAllEndAll	76-82	0.481	0.522	-1	Bubble
31	1	NL	West	The Two Jake Beckleys	calhoop	76-82	0.481	0.513	1	Bubble
32	2	AL	West	Turn Your Head and Kauff	redcped	76-82	0.481	0.512	-3	Bubble
33	1	AL	West	Reading Red Knights	ybjsports	76-82	0.481	0.505	-1	Bubble
34	2	NL	East	1915 St. Louis Terriers	schwarze	75-83	0.475	0.488	-6	Eliminated
35	1	NL	East	Gonna Be Ugly	Bill_James47	75-83	0.475	0.480	0	Bubble
36	1	NL	Central	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	redcped	75-83	0.475	0.464	0	Bubble
37	1	NL	East	i've got two glass "roosters"	3dayrotation	75-83	0.475	0.445	0	Bubble
38	2	NL	West	1895 Phillies + friends	footballmm11	73-85	0.462	0.473	-8	Eliminated
39	1	NL	Central	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	njbigwig	70-88	0.443	0.460	-5	Eliminated
40	2	AL	Central	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	Jtpsops	70-88	0.443	0.449	-9	Eliminated
41	2	NL	East	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	toysboys	69-89	0.437	0.449	-12	Eliminated
42	1	NL	West	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	eman7400	68-90	0.430	0.448	-7	Eliminated
43	1	AL	East	Nary a Decent Fielder	mllama54	68-90	0.430	0.433	-9	Eliminated
44	1	NL	West	19th Century Ohio Players	DarthDurron	68-90	0.430	0.424	-7	Eliminated
45	2	AL	East	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	njbigwig	65-93	0.411	0.440	-14	Eliminated
46	2	AL	West	great names... all the wrong years	3dayrotation	63-95	0.399	0.394	-16	Eliminated
47	1	NL	Central	Animal Farm	Taxman2008	60-98	0.380	0.412	-15	Eliminated
48	2	NL	West	Nap ED Reunion	Taxman2008	51-107	0.323	0.378	-30	Eliminated