Ferguson Police should be outlawed Topic

bad_luck
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Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 10:47:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 10:19:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 10:05:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Poker is a good analogy to an MLB at bat. Both are driven by probabilities.
It's a ****-poor analogy, as poker is driven pretty much exclusively by probabilities, while probabilities only play a minor role in a MLB at bat.

But only "knowing" the game of baseball by analyzing stats, you wouldn't understand that.

LOL.

Largely luck of the draw.    Most people can "learn" poker or at least the probabilities.   Only a select few can "learn" to play baseball at the MLB level.

More dumbassery so early in the morning.

Ummm...yeah, no one was saying playing baseball is as easy as playing poker.

The analogy was made because burns presented you and/or tec with a two player scenario and asked you to choose one. You replied with some bullshit about not being able to pick because you don't know every possible detail about the situation. 

dahs compared it to starting hands in poker and we all laughed at the idea of you freaking the **** out because you can't know ahead of time what cards will be on the board.
3/6/2015 11:41 AM
bad_luck
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Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 10:19:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 10:05:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Poker is a good analogy to an MLB at bat. Both are driven by probabilities.
It's a ****-poor analogy, as poker is driven pretty much exclusively by probabilities, while probabilities only play a minor role in a MLB at bat.

But only "knowing" the game of baseball by analyzing stats, you wouldn't understand that.

A ML hitter with a career .300/.400/.500 line over 2600 PA's vs a right handed pitcher comes to bat against a right handed pitcher. We know he has a 40% chance or reaching base and a 60% chance of making an out.

That's a probability.

3/6/2015 11:48 AM
tecwrg
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Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:48:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 10:19:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 10:05:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Poker is a good analogy to an MLB at bat. Both are driven by probabilities.
It's a ****-poor analogy, as poker is driven pretty much exclusively by probabilities, while probabilities only play a minor role in a MLB at bat.

But only "knowing" the game of baseball by analyzing stats, you wouldn't understand that.

A ML hitter with a career .300/.400/.500 line over 2600 PA's vs a right handed pitcher comes to bat against a right handed pitcher. We know he has a 40% chance or reaching base and a 60% chance of making an out.

That's a probability.

So when the batter steps into the box, do the batter, pitcher and umpire all pull out their charts and calculators, and then roll a pair of dice to see what the outcome of the AB is going to be?

Jesus, you are a complete moron.

3/6/2015 11:54 AM
bad_luck
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Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 11:54:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:48:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 10:19:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 10:05:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Poker is a good analogy to an MLB at bat. Both are driven by probabilities.
It's a ****-poor analogy, as poker is driven pretty much exclusively by probabilities, while probabilities only play a minor role in a MLB at bat.

But only "knowing" the game of baseball by analyzing stats, you wouldn't understand that.

A ML hitter with a career .300/.400/.500 line over 2600 PA's vs a right handed pitcher comes to bat against a right handed pitcher. We know he has a 40% chance or reaching base and a 60% chance of making an out.

That's a probability.

So when the batter steps into the box, do the batter, pitcher and umpire all pull out their charts and calculators, and then roll a pair of dice to see what the outcome of the AB is going to be?

Jesus, you are a complete moron.

No. That doesn't happen in poker either. Do you think it does?
3/6/2015 11:56 AM
MikeT23
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Ohhhhh, BL must be "losing" because he's changed the subject.

BL!!!!!   EDGAR MARTINEZ!!!!!!
3/6/2015 12:04 PM
bad_luck
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Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Pretty sure it was you who changed the subject to MLB analogies.
3/6/2015 12:06 PM
bad_luck
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Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 12:04:00 PM (view original):
Ohhhhh, BL must be "losing" because he's changed the subject.

BL!!!!!   EDGAR MARTINEZ!!!!!!
Idiot
3/6/2015 12:06 PM
tecwrg
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Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 12:06:00 PM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 12:04:00 PM (view original):
Ohhhhh, BL must be "losing" because he's changed the subject.

BL!!!!!   EDGAR MARTINEZ!!!!!!
Idiot
LOL!!!
3/6/2015 12:20 PM
burnsy483
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I think that's tec's way of saying that he hasn't played poker before. He did mention dice.
3/6/2015 12:25 PM
tecwrg
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Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:56:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 11:54:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:48:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 10:19:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 10:05:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Poker is a good analogy to an MLB at bat. Both are driven by probabilities.
It's a ****-poor analogy, as poker is driven pretty much exclusively by probabilities, while probabilities only play a minor role in a MLB at bat.

But only "knowing" the game of baseball by analyzing stats, you wouldn't understand that.

A ML hitter with a career .300/.400/.500 line over 2600 PA's vs a right handed pitcher comes to bat against a right handed pitcher. We know he has a 40% chance or reaching base and a 60% chance of making an out.

That's a probability.

So when the batter steps into the box, do the batter, pitcher and umpire all pull out their charts and calculators, and then roll a pair of dice to see what the outcome of the AB is going to be?

Jesus, you are a complete moron.

No. That doesn't happen in poker either. Do you think it does?
In poker, a player is going to understand the probabilities and make decisions on betting, raising and folding based on a combination of his hand, those probabilities, and whatever other cards are on the table that he can see.

Do you think your .300/.400/.500 guy steps into the box and thinks "I have a 40% chance of getting on base and a 60% chance of making an out"?

3/6/2015 12:27 PM
MikeT23
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Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 12:27:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:56:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 11:54:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:48:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 10:19:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 10:05:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Poker is a good analogy to an MLB at bat. Both are driven by probabilities.
It's a ****-poor analogy, as poker is driven pretty much exclusively by probabilities, while probabilities only play a minor role in a MLB at bat.

But only "knowing" the game of baseball by analyzing stats, you wouldn't understand that.

A ML hitter with a career .300/.400/.500 line over 2600 PA's vs a right handed pitcher comes to bat against a right handed pitcher. We know he has a 40% chance or reaching base and a 60% chance of making an out.

That's a probability.

So when the batter steps into the box, do the batter, pitcher and umpire all pull out their charts and calculators, and then roll a pair of dice to see what the outcome of the AB is going to be?

Jesus, you are a complete moron.

No. That doesn't happen in poker either. Do you think it does?
In poker, a player is going to understand the probabilities and make decisions on betting, raising and folding based on a combination of his hand, those probabilities, and whatever other cards are on the table that he can see.

Do you think your .300/.400/.500 guy steps into the box and thinks "I have a 40% chance of getting on base and a 60% chance of making an out"?

Would that be in addition to thinking "Hmmm...runner on first.   I better strike out  in order to avoid the double play"?
3/6/2015 12:35 PM
bad_luck
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Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 12:27:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:56:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 11:54:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 11:48:00 AM (view original):
Posted by tecwrg on 3/6/2015 10:19:00 AM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/6/2015 10:05:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 3/6/2015 9:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by burnsy483 on 3/6/2015 9:33:00 AM (view original):
Don't use analogies, BL. It confuses Miketec.
Only the really dumb one.   Like comparing poker to run scoring in MLB.  
Poker is a good analogy to an MLB at bat. Both are driven by probabilities.
It's a ****-poor analogy, as poker is driven pretty much exclusively by probabilities, while probabilities only play a minor role in a MLB at bat.

But only "knowing" the game of baseball by analyzing stats, you wouldn't understand that.

A ML hitter with a career .300/.400/.500 line over 2600 PA's vs a right handed pitcher comes to bat against a right handed pitcher. We know he has a 40% chance or reaching base and a 60% chance of making an out.

That's a probability.

So when the batter steps into the box, do the batter, pitcher and umpire all pull out their charts and calculators, and then roll a pair of dice to see what the outcome of the AB is going to be?

Jesus, you are a complete moron.

No. That doesn't happen in poker either. Do you think it does?
In poker, a player is going to understand the probabilities and make decisions on betting, raising and folding based on a combination of his hand, those probabilities, and whatever other cards are on the table that he can see.

Do you think your .300/.400/.500 guy steps into the box and thinks "I have a 40% chance of getting on base and a 60% chance of making an out"?

I don't think the batter thinks that.

But the analogy wasn't about what the batter thinks. The analogy was which player would you choose based on certain limited information. Probabilities, in that case, matter.
3/6/2015 12:39 PM
bad_luck
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Apparently, analogies do confuse both tec and mike.
3/6/2015 12:40 PM
MikeT23
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Took a look.   Actually, burnsy was comparing crime rates/drugs to run scoring in MLB.   Guess we don't have to worry about poker anymore.

Quote post by burnsy483 on 3/4/2015 9:55:00 AM:
Another example - let's say the US, Canada, and Mexico, universally, legalize all illegal drugs. You see, using last year's stats and this year's stats, that violent crime rose by 10% in all 3 countries.

Tec: "LOOK! LEGAL DRUGS = MORE CRIME!"
Me: "Well, it's not as easy as it seems. When you look at each state and province, you see that crime fell in a lot of places where drug use is prevalent, and crime rose a lot in other places where it wasn't, and..." 
Tec: "CANADA AND MEXICO ARE SO DIFFERENT! WHY WOULD I CONSIDER WHAT YOU'RE SAYING?"

 
3/6/2015 12:41 PM
tecwrg
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"The analogy was which player would you choose based on certain limited information."

Which player would I choose?  Between the poker player and the .300/.400/.500 player?

Let me get back to you on that.  I have to go profile some cops to figure out if they're racist.
3/6/2015 12:41 PM
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