Lg 1 NL
4 Locks: emanes10, pedrocerrano, schwarze, footballmm11
4 Eliminated: njbigwig, eman7400, DarthDurron, Taxman2008
4 Bubble for 2 spots: calhoop, redcped, 3dayrotation, Bill_James47

Currently, this is pedro's 2nd-best team, but there's a chance it slips to his 3rd-best and his dropped. That would be good news for the 4 Bubble teams. calhoop remains in the best shape, essentially 1.5 games up on the others with 1 more win and the Exp% tiebreaker in hand. The other 3 are tied at 75 wins.

Lg 1 AL
4 Locks: toysboys, njbigwig, nocomm999, kstober (+ pedrocerrano Forfeit)
1 Eliminated: mllama54
3 Bubble for 2 spots: jtpsops, beallendall, ybjsports (+ richiebrown6, schwarze and footballmm11 Forfeit)

The forfeitures really opened up this race. This pedro team will definitely be forfeited. Only mllama54 is out of it.

Removing richiebrown6 (opted out) and footballmm11 (3rd-best team) from the Bubble list, that still leaves 4 teams for the final 2 spots. At this point, I'm also going to remove schwarze as his Lg 2 AL team is up 4 games with 4 to go and has a huge lead in Exp%, so that will be his 2nd team. jtpsops is up a game on the other 2 but is far behind in the Exp% tiebreaker, so it's a tenuous half-game lead over both beallendall and ybjsports.

Lg 2 NL
5 Locks: barracuda3, SteveIzzy, mllama54, ybjsports, redcped (+ pedrocerrano Forfeit)
4 Eliminated: schwarze, footballmm11, toysboys, Taxman2008
2 Bubble for 1 spot: Bill_James47, kstober

This simplified a lot overnight, but the biggest variable is whether this remains pedro's 3rd-best team or if it jumps to 2nd-best. If he keeps this team, then kstober is out, but redcped drops to the Bubble with a 3-game lead over Bill_James47. If pedro's team is forfeited, then the final spot likely goes to Bill_James47 unless he loses out and kstober wins out.

Lg 2 AL
4 Locks: pedrocerrano, footballmm11, emanes10, schwarze
3 Eliminated: jtpsops, njbigwig, 3dayrotation
5 Bubble for 2 spots: thejuice6, toysboys, nocomm999, glowguy, redcped

I'm going to call schwarze a lock, since he's up 4 games and has a huge Exp% tiebreaker, so he'll advance. That leaves the toughest Bubble of any league with 5 teams alive for just 2 spots. redcped may get his 2 other teams in, which is good for him since this team is at the bottom of the pack, 3 games out. thejuice6 and toysboys are both at 79-79, 2 games up on nocomm999 and glowguy. nocomm999 is in better shape than glowguy with the best Exp% of all 5 Bubble teams (.519).

jtpsops is up a game on the other 2 but is far behind in the Exp% tiebreaker, so it's a tenuous half-game lead over both beallendall and ybjsports.

Doesn't help that Toad Ramsey, the guy I've been saving for crucial games like this, just got lit up in the PM game.

Barring something unexpected, my "In Cy we Trust or it's Bust" looks to be busted. The bubble is about to burst.

Thanks for these updated footballmm11!

No problem!

I should also note at the top end, emanes10 and barracuda3 have locked up the Top 2 picks for next round. emanes10 up 2 games for the #1 pick, but barracuda owns the tiebreaker.

All my teams won this cycle. I guess the pressure finally sunk in.

Rank	Team Name	Leag	Owner	Pick#	Record	Exp Win%	1-Run	Qualify
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	------------	------------	---------	---------
1	85NYG 85DET 87PHI 88IND	1	emanes10	2	105-57	0.588	30-12	1
2	96 92 O's 92 Bridegrooms 15 Buffalo Feds	2	barracuda3	5	102-60	0.595	25-20	1
3	95 BALT - 14 KC - 96 PHIL - 15 BALT	2	pedrocerrano	4	98-64	0.607	20-23	1
4	93BOS94BRO97NYG15CHW	2	SteveIzzy	16	96-66	0.574	18-17	1
5	88SLB 90PHI 89BAL 89COL	1	toysboys	1	94-68	0.597	27-18	1
6	14 CHW - 96 CHC - 93 CLEV - 99 WASH	2	pedrocerrano	1	92-70	0.578	22-24	1
7	91 BOS REDS - 87 LOU - 85 NYM - 90 CLEV	1	pedrocerrano	10	92-70	0.565	22-21	0
8	1886 Chicago White Stockings	1	schwarze	4	92-70	0.555	19-12	1
9	1886 Wolverines + friends	1	footballmm11	5	92-70	0.545	20-19	1
10	88 NYG - 89 CWS - 87 BALT - 89 WASH	1	pedrocerrano	3	90-72	0.547	24-22	0
11	Nary a Homer to be Found	2	mllama54	10	90-72	0.511	23-17	1
12	Joyce and Re-Joyce	2	redcped	17	88-74	0.527	25-13	1
13	Goshen Redhawks	2	ybjsports	15	87-75	0.534	22-18	1
14	1894 Phillies + friends	2	footballmm11	2	87-75	0.517	22-17	1
15	1897 Baltimore Orioles	2	schwarze	11	85-77	0.579	20-23	1
16	Bigwig's Athletic Brown Bison Brewers	1	njbigwig	8	85-77	0.559	21-24	1
17	Kelly, Clarkson	1	nocomm999	6	84-78	0.518	26-24	1
18	93PHI 99STL 15PIT 14BRO	2	emanes10	8	83-79	0.540	17-18	1
19	1887 Browns + friends	1	footballmm11	11	82-80	0.524	17-18	0
20	Gonna Be Ugy II	2	Bill_James47	12	82-80	0.471	18-17	0
21	85 Browns,87 Quakers,89 Spiders,90 Reds	1	kstober	16	82-80	0.458	33-18	1
22	Sam Trottin' Along	1	richiebrown6	19	81-81	0.512	19-19	0
23	Kelley's Heroes	2	nocomm999	21	80-82	0.525	17-26	1
24	Turn Your Head and Kauff	2	redcped	9	80-82	0.521	21-29	1
25	19th Century Rowdies	2	thejuice6	18	80-82	0.473	21-21	0
26	1889 New York Giants	1	schwarze	12	80-82	0.466	18-20	0
27	In Cy we trust or it’s bust	2	glowguy	13	80-82	0.452	23-20	0
28	92 Beans, 94 Colts 98 Pirates, 01 O's	2	kstober	23	79-83	0.474	22-20	0
29	93PIT 99BSN 93CIN 14SLT	2	toysboys	24	79-83	0.467	21-17	0
30	The Colonel Loves Eating Beans	1	Jtpsops	18	79-83	0.447	24-21	1
31	Puzzled again	1	BeAllEndAll	7	78-84	0.520	16-27	1
32	Reading Red Knights	1	ybjsports	21	78-84	0.504	21-22	0
33	1915 St. Louis Terriers	2	schwarze	3	78-84	0.494	22-23	0
34	Gonna Be Ugly	1	Bill_James47	15	77-85	0.482	19-25	1
35	Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All	1	redcped	13	77-85	0.460	22-18	0
36	The Two Jake Beckleys	1	calhoop	17	76-86	0.500	16-30	1
37	i've got two glass "roosters"	1	3dayrotation	23	76-86	0.444	28-24	1
38	1895 Phillies + friends	2	footballmm11	7	75-87	0.477	19-21	0
39	Bigwig's Giant Philly Colt Burghers	1	njbigwig	22	72-90	0.465	11-30	0
40	86 Pit,89 A'S,89 Reds, 90 Orioles	1	eman7400	20	72-90	0.454	21-21	0
41	Nary a Decent Fielder	1	mllama54	24	70-92	0.435	20-21	0
42	Red Beans a Gassy Colonel Make	2	Jtpsops	6	70-92	0.434	18-18	0
43	94 BSN 92CIN 99LOU 92LOU	2	toysboys	20	69-93	0.434	17-19	0
44	Bigwig's Giant Pirate Senator Spiders	2	njbigwig	19	68-94	0.443	22-20	0
45	19th Century Ohio Players	1	DarthDurron	9	68-94	0.420	24-27	0
46	great names... all the wrong years	2	3dayrotation	14	63-99	0.388	21-21	0
47	Animal Farm	1	Taxman2008	14	62-100	0.420	15-20	0
48	Nap ED Reunion	2	Taxman2008	22	53-109	0.377	18-32	0

I will let footballmm11 confirm, but the above table shows the three teams (in red) that get removed from round 4 and the three teams (in blue) that get added.

I believe redcped's "Sam Wise and 1 Browning to Rule Them All" in Lg1 NL also needs to be dropped as his 3rd-best advancing team. This gets 3dayrotation's "i've got two glass "roosters"" in.

Also, just for posterity, techincally both richiebrown6's Sam Trottin Along (opt out) and schwarze's 1889 New York Giants (3rd-best team) qualified but won't advance.

Yes, you are correct. Reflected above. Thanks!

I have a house full of people, so as soon as they leave, I will work on the draft thread for round 4.

Well, someone had to come in 25th place…see you boys next go-around!

I only want to draft one team, so I am donating my 2nd team to thejuice6.