$60M Theme
Everybody Chien-Ming Wang Chung Tonight
Ballpark: The Astrodome
The most important factor when building low cap themes is determining the right number of innings to roster. Roster too many innings, and you give up a talent advantage. Roster too few innings, and the fatigue death spiral will kill you. I know some low-cap experts can get away with 1200 innings or even lower, but I’m no low cap expert. With no $200K scrubs available to rest the good pitchers, I decided to go with 1300 innings, while using all thirteen pitching slots, including four SPs (with 210-233 ips each) - '43 Dutch Leonard, '06 Chien-Ming Wang, '02 Ned Garvin & '06 Greg Maddux. Six of my nine RPs have fewer than 45 innings, and nearly my entire bullpen consists of short-inning SPs. I spent $29.9 million on my pitching staff.
Offensively, I didn’t have any specific strategy such as drafting stolen bases or triples hitters. Like most of my teams, I did try to roster as many switch hitters as possible. I ended up with six switch hitters in my starting lineup, including '14 Brayan Pena (C), '92 Tommy Tucker (1B), '19 Asdrubal Cabrera (3B), '97 Tony Phillips (LF), '04 Billy Lush (CF) and '96 Ruben Sierra (RF). '21 Whit Merrifield (2B) and '19 David Fletcher (SS) are my other two regular batters. I am platooning at three positions (C, 3B, OF) with four players ('17 Jeimer Candelario, '05 Jose Cruz Jr., '02 Angel Echevarria, '83 John Wockenfuss) . I drafted 5328 PAs which is 666 PAs per lineup spot. I hope that is enough.
I named my team after one of my favorite low-cap starting pitchers. For whatever reason, Chien-Ming Wang always seems to pitch way better in the sim than his real life stats would indicate.
Total Batting Stats: 5328 pa, .274 avg, .349 obp, .390 slug, $30.1 million
Total Pitching Stats: 1301 ip, 3.08 era, .256 oav, 1.18 whip, 0.40 hr/9, $29.9 million
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$90M Theme
Failed Experiment, 1917-21
Ballpark: Comiskey Park
I built 6 different rosters, but I couldn’t decide which roster I liked the best. Since I started building these teams a long time ago, I decided that I had time to throw these teams into a full-season league and see how they did against each other. But here’s the problem. There is no 6-team full-season league option. Instead of trying to build 6 new teams, I figured I would put these six teams into a 12-team league, with 2 identical versions of each team (with identical settings). This would be perfect as now I have twice as many data points to work with and it will iron out any variance. I forgot to switch from inter-league play to just intra-league play, so there was crossover play, which muddied things a bit. But that’s not why this was a failed experiment. Without identifying the years I used, I will post the standings. For simplicity, I will call these teams, A, B, C, D, E, F.
East Division
Team C à 89-73, 22-19 in 1-run games, .565 Exp Win%
Team E à 84-78, 34-21 in 1-run games, .493 Exp Win%
Team A à 78-84, 15-24 in 1-run games, .504 Exp Win%
Team D à 77-85, 18-26 in 1-run games, .470 Exp Win%
Team B à 77-85, 17-21 in 1-run games, .443Exp Win%
Team F à 74-88, 25-21 in 1-run games, .475 Exp Win%
West Division
Team F à 92-70, 24-13 in 1-run games, .556 Exp Win%
Team B à 88-74, 23-21 in 1-run games, .511 Exp Win%
Team A à 88-74, 29-25 in 1-run games, .543 Exp Win%
Team E à 80-82, 21-27 in 1-run games, .488 Exp Win%
Team D à 74-88, 14-23 in 1-run games, .494 Exp Win%
Team C à 71-91, 20-21 in 1-run games, .463 Exp Win%
What the f*ck? Each team has two identical rosters, with identical settings. Team “C” finishes 1st in one division and last in the other. Team “F” finishes 1st in one division and last in the other. Does this game have that much randomness? Team “A finished in 3rd place in both leagues, so maybe “A” is the answer.
At the all-star break, I was set to go with Team A (both versions were over .500, both in actual win% and expected). But then, both versions kind of sputtered in the second half, although the West version of Team A got hot at the end. With about 25-30 games to go in the season, I was all set to take Team C, but the West Team C went on a 1-17 run down the stretch. For what it’s worth, Team “F” beat Team “C” in the World Series in 6 games.
So, what did I ultimately decide on? Well, team F is a modern team with some HR hitters and I didn’t feel comfortable using them against what I assumed would be a number of dead-ball teams. Plus, this team had the worst range of my six teams, although it did have a bunch of switch hitters. I really felt good about Team C and after digging into the stats of the individual players of Team C (on both rosters), I ended up making some tweaks to Team C’s roster and entered a modified version of Team C.
So essentially, I ran a 12-team simulation, only I didn't enter any of the six teams (as originally built).
OK – so who is on my team? Here is my starting lineup.
C - 1921 Wally Schang (replaces 1919 Steve O’Neill)
1B - 1919 George Sisler (replaces 1919 Fred Luderus)
2B - 1919 Rogers Hornsby (replaces 1921 Eddie Collins)
3B - 1920 Buck Weaver (original)
SS- 1920 Dave Bancroft (replaces 1919 Roger Peckinpaugh)
OF - 1921 Max Carey (original)
OF - 1921 Zack Wheat (original)
OF - 1917 Clyde Milan (original)
Got some new backups too, but not that important
Pitching
SP - 1918 Carl Mays (original)
SP - 1917 Babe Ruth (original)
SP - 1920 Jesse Barnes (replaces 1920 Burleigh Grimes)
RP – 1918 Jack Quinn (original)
RP – 1918 Carmen Hill (original)
RP – 1918 Roy Mitchell (original)
RP – 1919 Ray Caldwell (original)
RP – 1921 Al Mamaux (original)
RP – 1921 Red Shea (original)
Plus two mop-up guys
So what I determined from analyzing the stats is that Carl Mays and Babe Ruth both pitched well (and both also hit really well). Burleigh Grimes (who I drafted for his bat) was not very good (on both teams). I saved almost $3 million by downgrading him to Jesse Barnes, allowing me to upgrade my weakest hitters. Schang, Sisler, Hornsby are huge upgrades while Bancroft is probably a slight downgrade compared to Peckinpaugh but he saved me some salary as I will be using a 514-PA version along with a couple of backups to play SS.
Total Batting Stats (excl. scrubs): 5549 pa, .315 avg, .377 obp, .428 slug, $44.4 million
Total Pitching Stats (excl scrubs): 1346 ip, 2.22 era, .220 oav, 1.06 whip, 0.13 hr/9, 44.8 million
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$100M Theme
BIg Ed & The Switch Hitters
Ballpark: Busch Stadium
I built this team when I was in Las Vegas - I worked on it every morning before I went to go play poker. Not sure why I felt it was important to mention this, but I built one roster and liked it enough to not bother trying a second build. I could have come up with a fantastic team had this been a slightly higher cap, but at $100M, I had to settle on some lesser seasons of players I really like. The color key is Red = Teammate, Blue = Clones Player, Green = Team Selected.
This theme is very tricky. Where do I even start? I decided the single best value at a $100M cap is 1908 Ed Walsh, so I started with him as one of my seven teammates. My first grid player was a cheap scrub, Billy Purtell, who played for the 1908 White Sox and the 1911 Red Sox. I have the Red Sox on the top left corner and the White Sox on the top left side. Of course, the White Sox’ history is full of decent pitching options. At first, I thought about Hoyt Wilhelm since his Braves season would put Greg Maddux into play but I chose a different direction with RP Don McMahon. I selected his 1967 White Sox season (92 ip, 1.82 erc#) so I could add teammate SP 1967 Joe Horlen (258 ip, 2.08 erc#). I also rostered McMahon’s 1973 Giants season (31 ip, 1.52 erc#) and that opened up the availability of some key Giants players I wanted to add.
So now I have the Giants as my middle team on the top. I immediately went to Frankie Frish, which meant that the second franchise on the left side would be St. Louis Cardinals. With a $100M salary cap, Frisch’s 1921, 1924 and 1927 seasons are just too expensive, so I am using his 1922 Giants season (.310, .376, .426) at 3B and his 1930 Cardinals season (.323, .390, .486) at 2B. His 1922 teammate will be my starting shortstop, 1922 Dave Bancroft (.305, .387, .407, A++ range). He is a bit expensive ($6.8M) for this cap level, so hopefully his range will make up for it.
Sticking with the switch-hitting theme, I found the perfect grid player for my Red Sox / Cardinals square. I am rostering Reggie Smith’s 1969 Red Sox season (.319, .372, .534) and his 1975 Cardinals season (.305, .383, .495). His teammate is one of my favorite catchers, 1975 Ted Simmons (.335, .397, .498).
At this point, I have four franchises selected and four grid boxes filled. I still need a 1B, one OF, one SP, a bunch of RPs, and some backup PAs for Reggie Smith as his two seasons that I selected have only 550 & 607 PAs. I started looking at RPs. I still could’ve gone the Wilhelm/Braves route for my third franchise along the top row, but frankly, Hoyt Wilhelm always disappoints me in the sim. Instead, I went with short-inning SP, Jack Quinn. His 1918 White Sox season (67 ip, 1.67 erc#) allows me to add his teammate 1918 Joe Jackson (102 pa, .359, .428, .525) to pinch hit and play a little OF. Quinn has another usable short-inning season with the 1913 Braves (61 ip, 2.76 erc#).
Using baseball-reference, I started searching through all the players who played with the Cardinals and Braves. I found Bernard Gilkey. I didn’t want any of his full seasons. But I liked his two partial seasons, 1990 Cardinals (72 pa, .300, .379, .484) and 2001 Braves (121 pa, .274, .338, .366). Both have cheap salaries. But the main reason I selected Gilkey is to add my final SP, 2001 Greg Maddux (233 ip, 2.55 erc#). Yes, I wish I could afford a better version, but at only $6.8 million, I could certainly do a lot worse. If I could add just $5 million more to the salary cap, I could have rostered a better Frankie Frisch and a better Greg Maddux.
The next step was to get my starting 1B and third starting OF. I really wanted to add Roger Connor using my Giants column, and I figured out a way to do this. I rostered his 1888 Giants season (.304, .414, .511) and plan on playing him out of position in RF (he’s a C/A at 1B so he shouldn’t hurt me too much defensively). And Conner’s other season will come from the 1892 Phillies (.304, .427, .492). No teammates worth using here.
So now, my third franchise on the lower left side of the grid is the Phillies. Now, I just need to add a bunch of RPs using Red Sox/Phillies and Braves/Phillies. I have about $7.2 million of salary left to do this and I need about 200 innings. I basically drafted the best RPs I could find/afford. My Red Sox / Phillies player is Sparkly Lyle. His 1967 Red Sox season (44 ip, 2.84 erc#) is ok. The other Spark Lyle (’82 Phillies) is a scrub. My Braves/Phillies player is Gene Garber. I added his 1981 Braves season (96 ip, 2.37 erc#) in order to add my final teammate, 1981 Al Hrabosky (52 ip, 1.84 erc#). 1978 Phillies Gene Garber (39 ip, 1.85 erc#) is the final piece.
Total Batting Stats (excl scrubs): 5649 pa, .315 avg, .391 obp, .474 slug, $48.5 million
Total Pitching Stats (excl scrubs): 1462 ip, 1.98 era, .213 oav, 0.95 whip, 0.31 hr/9, $50.7 million
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$120M Theme
Build a Better Box for Round 2
Ballpark: Comiskey Park
In last year’s tournament, for the Bingo theme (which was used in both rounds), I didn’t do any research for my round 2 roster build, figuring that I would worry about it later, if I advanced. That round 2 team didn’t fare very well (barely getting over .500 and missing the playoffs). So, in this year’s 2-round theme, I built my Round 2 roster first. This was important because there really aren’t a ton of great pitchers for a $120M cap. Color key: Red = Teammate, Blue - Box player.
This is where I started. I went with ’78 Guidry (Box 2), ’36 Hubbell (Box 1), ’67 Horlen (Box 5) and ’23 Luque (Box 6). Yes, I realize this adds up to almost 1200 innings, so I will have to manage my pitching staff to make sure my SPs can also pitch out of the bullpen. The teammates include starting catcher ’23 Bubbles Hargrave (468 pa, .320, .412, .515), backup middle infielder ’36 Mark Koenig and relievers ’67 Don McMahon (92 ip, 1.82 erc#), ’67 Cisco Carlos (42 ip, 1.20 erc#) and ’78 Jay Johnstone (scrub).
For my offense, I decided to draft high-average guys with good range and avoid HR hitters. Of course, that starts with Box 8 second baseman ’24 Frankie Frisch (.317, .383, .463, A++) and Box 10 shortstop ’21 Dave Bancroft (.304, .384, .433, A++). Box 9 provides my most expensive hitter, first baseman ’30 Bill Terry (.377, .434, .587, A+). Terry’s teammate is my starting 3B, ’30 Freddy Lindstrom (.355, .407, .541), giving me two starting batters, not listed in the boxes. Bancroft’s teammate is short-inning pitcher, ’21 Red Shea (34 ip, 2.33 erc#), while Frisch’s teammate is ’24 Dinty Gearin (scrub).
Since I have 2 starting batters not listed in the boxes, I need some cheap versions of box players. Box 4 catcher ’46 Bill Dickey (165 pa, .265, .358, .375) will spell Bubbles. More importantly, Dickey’s teammate, ’46 Red Ruffing (65 ip, 1.66 erc#) gives me another solid arm out of the pen.
My outfield consists of ’26 Al Simmons (Box 3), ’21 Ty Cobb (Box 11) and ’21 Max Carey (Box 7). All three are high-average hitters with good defense. Carey should get 25-30 plus plays in CF. Two of their teammates are decent… ’21 Larry Woodall (98 pa, .345, .392, .424) will play some catcher. ’26 Fred Heimach (35 ip, 2.11 erc#) is another warm body to pitch. ’21 Johnny Mokan is an extra OF.
That leaves one box and the 3B position. Luckily, ’20 Pie Traynor is cheap (<300K) and his teammate, ’20 Johnny Meador is also a cheap scrub.
Total Batting Stats (excl scrubs): 5746 pa, .347 avg, .410 obp, .519 slug, $63.0 million
Total Pitching Stats (excl scrubs): 1457 ip, 1.99 era, .213 oav, 1.01 whip, 0.29 hr/9, $55.6 million
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$160M Theme
All of My Favorite Players
Ballpark: South Side Park III
This was a fun and interesting build. Doing some quick math, if you picked the midpoint of each salary range (i.e., 500K, 1.5M, 2.5M, etc.), that would get you to $144 million, leaving $16M for your last player. Color key: Blue = Pitchers, Red = Hitters.
I started with 1908 Ed Walsh again (I can’t help myself), realizing that I would need to select a bunch of players at the low end of the salary range due to Walsh’s $19.6 million salary. I created a spreadsheet with a formula to let me know how much wiggle room I had, as I selected each player. Walsh puts me $3.6M over that midpoint, so I needed to pick some guys near the bottom end of each salary range to make it fit. I started with pitching. ’99 Pedro Martinez ($11.3 million) and ’85 Lady Baldwin ($11.1) would be starting pitchers 2A and 2B. That saved $600K when compared to the midpoint of $11.5M. Some other pitchers at the low end of the range that I rostered included ’19 Art Nehf ($6.1), ’21 Corbin Burnes ($7.1), ’67 Cisco Carlos ($3.1), ’21 Jacob deGrom ($6.1), ’18 Jake Northtop ($3.4) and ’92 Dennis Rasmussen ($2.0). In total, this saved me another $2.2 million. I also added ’20 Tony Gonsolin ($5.7) and ’20 Trevor Rosenthal ($2.6), which cost me an extra $300K. So I am rolling out with these eleven pitchers, all but Rosenthal can throw more than 10 pitchers per appearance. Overall, I’m still $1.1 million over where I need to be.
On the hitting side, I started looking at some of my favorite high cap players and gravitated to those guys with a salary just above the low-end of the salary range. Some of my favorites making the roster include ’24 Frankie Frisch ($8.0), ’44 Stan Musial ($9.1), ’08 Chipper Jones ($8.2), ’10 Ty Cobb ($10.1), ’47 Ted Williams ($10.4). With this $1.7 million savings, I am now +$0.6 million better than the midpoint and now can afford some guys at the midpoint or even a bit higher. With this in mind, I quickly added my all-time favorite high-cap player, ’85 Roger Connor ($9.9). Shortstop ‘97 George Davis ($7.5) gives my team another switch hitter. I still need a catcher, a DH and some bench guys. I’ve used this DH platoon in other leagues with success, so I will use it again here - ’46 Roy Cullenbine ($4.7) and ’44 Dick Wakefield ($4.0) will split time at DH. Instead of running out a 2-3 player catching platoon, I decided to go cheap at catcher with ’91 Duke Farrell ($5.6). That gives me six switch hitters in my starting lineup. My only non-switch-hitters are leftues Cobb, Musial and T.Williams.
All that’s left is the four cheap guys. I need some PAs to spell Chipper at 3B. ’91 Bret Barbarie ($1.8) is a favorite of mine (also a swtich-hitter). I need a few OF plate appearances since Cobb only has 621 PA. Also, a defensive replacement for Ted Williams would be nice. I added ’95 Dwayne Hosey ($1.3) and ’46 Dave Philley ($0.9). At this point, I have about 400K left, so ’92 Jocko Fields is my last player and is simply a backup catcher who probably won't play.
I built only this one roster and didn’t tinker with it once I was finished.
Total Batting Stats (excl. scrub): 6503 pa, .348 avg, .439 obp, .534 slug, $81.6 million
Total Pitching Stats: 1642 ip, 1.68 era, .195 oav, 0.86 whip, 0.19 hr/9, $78.0 million
I'm not going to comment on how I think each team will do. Way too hard with sharp group of guys. My aggregate expectations are 3 will be playoffs teams, 3 probably won't be.
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$255M Theme
What Can Brown Do For You
Yankee Stadium III
My writeup on my draft is in the other thread.
9/10/2024 4:12 PM (edited)