Trevor- Paul did not recruit me or anyone else from the site. Just because you don't care for his output as a statistician does not mean everyone else should feel the same. But more importantly knowing Paul as an individual.... is why I keep in touch with him. There's a reason for this just like there is a reason I have not met you for a couple of drinks or lunch. I do not want to sit there and be corrected all night or told my particular views are dead wrong because they do not align with your narrow mindedness. Paul's not like that and its a good match for me to converse with him about sports, life, politics or whatever. I could be dead wrong and we'd get along fine but as of this moment I do not need 50,000 runs, 10,000 runs or even 5 runs to know what the odds are. And I am just as wrong in making that assumption as you are for calling BS.
As for 10k vs. 50k.... The more you do a simulation the more one of two things happen- a clear cut divide appears between two entities or a tightening of sorts that get you closer to 50-50. I think 100 is fine for a football matchup since they only play 16 games a season and never more than 3 against a single opponent in said season. Baseball and Hoops (or hockey I guess) maybe 500 is enough to see trending. But you don't think of it that way. If I have numbers to choose from in a lottery and in 50,000 runs the number 5 comes up 1000 times then I'd play the 5 in my number set (Assumes highest number captured in the 50k run). If it came up 2 times in 100 I would not be so fond of the number even though its the same %. People who get into this stuff look at it like that. People who do not understand it are either indifferent or calling BS. I have no problem with calling BS- as long as the BS that gets spun is better. I have yet to see you out perform the predictions. When he gets his next pick set up lets post his picks here. And you can post yours. And let me know so I can copy/quote both picks. (Not an assumption fo potential cheating... just making it idiot proof).
No one predicts at 100% but I'd follow along anyone who does it well (regardless of personality).
Just to clarify- I was referring to Monkee when I said I wish he still had a voice here. Far as I know Paul has no restrictions to speak here.
The project I did with Paul was relating to my efforts to find work. Nothing to do with sports, simulations, WIS, work agreements/non competes or anything else in that regard. But since I did not state that upfront (and still do not think I should have to) you assume the worse and paint a picture only the ignorant can see.
I see your passion for sports and predictions. Its great you have a voice here. But its only a whisper inn the grand scheme of things. But everything starts somewhere and maybe you'll find it one day. Differences of opinion(s) firmly in place I still do not wish for (your) failure. I just wish you could turn that passion into something constructive or useful. (Meaning its a good thing to have drive for something. But being driven to a small website that is virtually unknown vs. something much more prominent seems like a wasted effort. Bottom line.... who cares? Are you emailing or posting about everyone else who has a poor prediction record in sporting events? Why not? A rose by any other name is still a rose. Or a grudge. Potato po-tah-toe.