$180m - Participation Trophies
Memorial Coliseum
This became a WAY more interesting and difficult puzzle than I thought initially. I started writing this and just couldn't stop so apologies for the lack of brevity. There are so many intriguing factors that come into play and interweave with each other...it's really a fun puzzle:
THOUGHTS ON THE THEME
OVERALL ROSTER
- limit of roster spots: at some point, you can't stack up enough lower-PA/IP players with just 25 spots
HITTERS
- asymmetrical distribution of quality: this one seems more obvious in hindsight but the best players tend to play more, meaning the true best-of-the-best almost always have 500+ PA. this is obviously NOT true for pitchers, with the advent of relievers. this meant that even if you COULD stack up enough <500 PA hitters to get enough quantity, you would be unable to get enough quality. ok, so you think you should grab at least a couple of the elite hitters, but wait...
- inflation on the premier hitters: with whatever weird dynamic pricing that was implemented during my WIS hiatus, many of the elites come with a large amount of inflation--essentially dead money. that needs to be added on top of the -$5m hit you take, so some guys are now -8 or -10 effectively on your cap.
- limit on effective PA for a single hitter: again, unlike pitching (it's really cool how different the puzzles were for hitting and pitching, yet still intertwined with each other), you can't really load up on PA for a single roster spot. the best you can do is have a player who plays every inning at ONE spot, with some added benefit of them hitting higher in the order and soaking up some PA that way. but you still have 8 other spots to fill, so you can't just take that -5 hit once and knock out more than 1 spot.
- lack of players near upper thresholds: this one was really interesting and tied to point #1 above. i could have avoided some more "-5" spots but there simply aren't enough quality players near the 200 and 500-PA thresholds. let's just say, for example, you wanted 6500 PA for your team--if there were enough players you could get 13 of them with 500 PA and be done. But there's really only maybe 4 or 5 even at the 450+ threshold, and once you start dipping down into the 300-400 PA range, you now need more roster spots to make up for it. this is even more pronounced at the sub-200 PA level, where there's basically nobody in the 150-200 range good enough. i would like to note here that there were a few players who really irked me by being JUST above the threshold, with say between 201 and 250 PA that would have REALLY fit nicely.
so to recap: you want to load up on sub-500 PA and especially sub-200 PA players to boost your salary. but if you do that, you can't get enough quantity OR quality. so you start looking at 500+ PA guys, but you are limited to knocking out just 1 spot with them AND they often come with an additional drag on your salary cap in the form of inflation. eventually, you start trying to fill in with the best low-PA players, but you find the players closer to the 200/500 PA thresholds stop being good enough while the better-quality players lower down the PA ladder stop giving you enough quantity so then you try to add another big hitter but that lowers your cap by $5m more and now your salary cap is too low...it's a vicious cycle!
PITCHERS
- asymmetrical distribution of quality: pitchers are less of an issue here than hitters, but the really interesting part is that the asymmetry goes in the OPPOSITE direction. the best pitchers on a per-IP basis are the lower-IP ones.
- ability to load up on IP: unlike hitters, you CAN pack more quantity into a single roster spot for pitchers and thus take fewer -$5m hits. however, the limit on this is mostly the point above--pack too many IPs into one of these spots and now you have too many "not good enough" innings. basically the best pitchers overall are in the $50k-60k per IP range (excluding the inflation guys) while your best big-IP pitching options (say, 350+ IP) are mostly in the $40k-50k per IP range.
- inflation bites again: not as big of an issue but does hurt some of the better pitching options. for instance, of the best quality pitchers above 350 IP, the top 5 are all over $1.5m of inflation (and 3 of the 5 are $5m+!!!). You have to go down to the 12th-best big-inning pitcher to get one with less than a half-million in inflation.
- lack of players near upper thresholds: this hurt pitchers as well, though not as much. the biggest issue is the stud relievers who usually have around 70-80 IP. stacking up 75 IP at a time doesn't go quite as fast as 100. this lost me a couple roster spots as well.
Anyway, I think somebody else mentioned this earlier, I think the best way to treat this theme is just as a $180m cap but adjust player's salary for 3 things:
1) the +2 or -5 million adjustments for PA/IP
2) inflation (for dynamic pricing)
3) value relative to actual salary--this is obviously what we're mostly after building leagues and the one I'm the worst at identifying
The last thing I want to mention about this theme is that it becomes a COMPLETELY DIFFERENT puzzle at a lower cap. Why? First, the asymmetry goes away some--you'll have way more options all up and down the PA-spectrum. Second, you'll have way more options at the top end of each PA/IP bucket. I think this is the biggest change. You can now realistically find 3-for-2s with 3 guys at 450-500 PA to fill 2 positions. And third, inflation becomes much less of an issue.
I'm not sure how much of this was intentional but ozamatil is at the least, a genius, and at the most, an evil genius. Bravo sir.
MY ACTUAL TEAM BUILDING
I built this team once early but had some time and to me this was by far my favorite theme so I took it back to the draft center and rebuilt it. My first team came in at like $171m but I got this one to $176m which I think is about the realistic max. I'd guess most teams above this would actually be below this mark if you factored in their inflation.
STEP 1: Fill up on <100 IP relievers
I figured this was the best value by a large margin. I was hoping to get 8-10 of these guys but that proved too difficult for reasons I'll get to.
STEP 2: Look for <200 PA hitters
Uh, there aren't any! Ted Williams at 117 PA is the only player with 100-200 PA an $/PA above $17k. There are a few sub-100 PA hitters but that's just too few PA.
STEP 2b: Okay, look for <500 PA hitters
I was hoping to get a bunch of 3-for-2 platoons--you can theoretically get about 1500 PA out of 3 players which is plenty for 2 positions. Turns out, there's nowhere near enough players near 500 PA with the quality you need (as I mentioned above), so I just picked out the best guys I could here. There are a few easy ones I expect to be on nearly everybody's team:
1) 2B Nap Lajoie (454 PA, $14,895 $/pa)
2) OF Ted Williams (439 PA, $15,829 $/pa) - only thought here was if you should take his 117 PA season but quickly realized this was the superior option as there's just not a lot of good-enough 400-500 guys
3) OF Al Simmons (482 PA, $14,496 $/pa)
That's it. That's the entire list of players with 400-500 PA and over $12.5k/PA (well, excluding catchers, who are weird on the $/pa scale). I dropped the PA limit a bit an ended up with one more slam dunk:
4) SS Troy Tulowitzki (375 PA, $15,421 $/pa)
Okay, it's now abundantly clear that I can't live solely in this realm. I looked at a bunch of players somewhere between 200-PA with super-high quality (like Manny Ramirez with 229 PA @ $18k/pa) and closer to 500-PA but with lower quality (like Denny Lyons with 499 PA @ $11.7 or Reggie Smith with 495 PA @ $11.2), but first I knew now that I needed...
STEP 3: Find 2 500+ PA studs
I knew I probably needed at least two full-time players both to maximize my value/salary and to reach the PAs I needed withou burning 20 roster spots.
Oh wow lots of great quality here! Oh wait...here's the problem I mentioned above: inflation. Nearly every player above $17k/pa is costing you at least $1m in inflation if not closer to $10m! Eliminating guys over $2m inflation left me with my choice of Bonds, Ruth, Hornsby, and Ted Williams. I already had my Teddy Ballgame, so he's out. And while you can't knock out OVER 1 lineup position, I didn't want to go with a guy who would need to be spelled so Bonds was out as he only had 616 PA. I ultimately went with 1924 Ruth (726 PA) and 1921 Hornsby (714 PA) as the best combination of value and PA. '21 Hornsby isn't quite as good as some other options but he can play passable defense at every position except catcher so he's my everyday utilityman, which is kinda weird but should work. He'll mostly play 2B and 3B but I should have another 100-200 where he can spell guys at 1B, OF, or just play DH.
STEP 4: Find big-inning SPs
Back to pitching, I originally had 3 SPs with ~300 IP each but this time I figured I could get away with just 2 even bigger IP pitchers. I know some people went with Silver King but that's just not a beast I wanted to mess with as I ease my way back into WIS.
As I touched on above, there's tons of inflation to deal with above the 350-IP mark. I was trying to stay close to $40k/IP for value and get at least 900 innings. I ended up with 1908 Ed Walsh (495 IP) and 1888 Tim Keefe (538 IP). I didn't necessarily need all those innings but those were the best-quality innings I could find at that stratosphere that didn't come with a ton of inflation, less than $2m combined from the pair. They also have good HR9# numbers which is helpful since I went with a HR hitters park (Memorial Coliseum).
STEP 5: Choose my sub-500 PA hitters
Back to the hitters. So I've got 6 guys locked in (Ruth, Hornsby, Lajoie, Williams, Simmons, and Tulo), now I need to start making choices.
- First up, catcher, where I liked Bill Dickey (500 PA, $11.6k) as a lefty over Javy Lopez's 495 PA season. That allowed me to take 2011 Mike Napoli (432 PA, $14.2k) who will be Dickey's platoon-mate but also has the defense and the bat to play part of my 1B hodgepodge. Two down.
- Next up, let's fill out the infield. With Hornsby on board I have plenty of flexibility. I already have about 1500 PA between Hornsby, Lajoie and Tulo and I need to get to about, say 2100 give or take. Can't get one guy to do that, so I was relieved to not have to take Denny Lyons or David Wright who I didn't love the quality. I ended up wtih 358-PA Matt Williams and 336-PA Hanley Ramirez. I wanted a lefty or switch-hitter but there just aren't any options, so I'm all right-handed in the IF. Both Williams and Ramirez have the bats to play DH with whatever PA are left over as well.
- So with Catcher, 2B, 3B, and SS out of the way, just have the big hitting positions left: OF, 1B, DH. On board already are Ruth, Simmons, and Williams, plus some PA from Napoli and Hornsby if needed. I need probably about 2 full-time guys equivalent. First things first, I need a CF, so I tab 1949 Dimaggio with 347-PA. I could pass with Simmons in CF but I was able to take Randy Winn's 247-PA A+ range partial and he's a switch-hitter so that's nice. Down to 1B/DH mostly now so I just go with the best hitters I can find: 2000 McGwire (321 PA) and 2008 Manny Ramirez (229 PA).
STEP 6: Finalize the relievers
My offense is mostly done and I've got my two-headed rotation. I had a bunch of reliever seasons picked out but now had to narrow it down. I was trying to get guys close to 100 IP but there's just not many. Somehow I didn't end up with Mariano Rivera on my roster at all, almost took his 108 IP season but that just seemed like a waste. I was also avoiding inflation here like the plague.
Wound up with 6 relievers under 100 IP, most right around 70 IP and in the $3.3m to $4.4m range. Four righties led by 2016 Jansen, with 2006 Joe Nathan, 2017 Kimbrel, and 2018 Trienen (the most IP of the group at 80). My two lefties are 2016 Zach Britton and 2014 Aroldis Chapman (54 IP are th fewest IP). I decided to splurge on the hitters park so I loaded up on innings a bit more and rounded out my staff with my only 100-200 IP pitcher in 2014 Kershaw (198 IP). He'll be long relief and provide another left-handed arm, but can start in big games.
STEP 7: Fill out with sub-200 PA hitters
After I stocked up on pitchers I came back to finalize the hitters. Again, the pickings are just so slim. I took Bob Hazle, the best 150-200 PA hitter there is. My final pick is my favorite player from childhood, Will Clark. He's not quite the quality hitter I want but he's left-handed, plays a decent 1B, and has 197 PA. Plus, the salary fits.
My final "lineup":
Catcher: Bill Dickey + Mike Napoli
1st Base: Mark McGwire + Will Clark + Mike Napoli
2nd/3rd Base: Rogers Hornsby + Nap Lajoie + Matt Williams
Shortstop: Troy Tulowitzki + Hanley Ramirez
Left Field: Al Simmons + Ted Williams
Center Field: Joe Dimaggio + Randy Winn + a little Al Simmons
Right Field: Babe Ruth
DH: Manny Ramirez + Bob Hazle + Ted Williams + some Hornsby and McGwire
My catcher, LF, CF, DH, and partially 1B have decent L/R platoons. My 2B/3B/SS are all right-handed and Ruth will play full-time obviously.
My final rotation:
Starters: Tim Keefe + Ed Walsh
Long: Clayton Kershaw
Bullpen: Kenley Jansen + Zach Britton + Joe Nathan + Craig Kimbrel + Blake Treinen + Aroldis Chapman
At first I was bummed I couldn't fit more relievers in to bump up salary but it turned out I couldn't get up to that salary anyway. Once I realized that, I went big on the 2 starters which allowed me to cut down on my relievers and then ultimately use those extra roster spots to load up on sub-500 PA hitters. I end up with just 9 pitchers but 16 position players all of whom have 164+ PA and will play.
FINAL TALLY
4 "-$5m" players: 2 hitters (Ruth, Hornsby) and 2 pitchers (Keefe, Walsh)
8 "+$2m" players: 2 hitters (Hazle, Clark) and 6 relievers
13 Goldilocks-zone: 12 hitters and 1 pitcher (Kershaw)
That gives me $180m - $20m + $16m = $176m.
This was my favorite team to build and despite the high cap, the one I feel the best about.
Prediction: 85 wins
7.0.3
7.0.3