Posted by moy23 on 3/31/2016 4:58:00 PM (view original):
Posted by bad_luck on 3/31/2016 4:52:00 PM (view original):
Posted by moy23 on 3/31/2016 4:42:00 PM (view original):
Donald has gotten this far spending very little money. Let's see how this super PAC does in Wisconsin this week. They are dropping seven figures there.
and does this mean more super PACs will start helping Trump with or without his approval moving forward?
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/pro-trump-super-pac-starts-efforts-new-wisconsin-ad-n548701
So, would you say it's safe to view the results in Wisconsin as indicative of how Trump will do going forward?
No. He's at 56% in NY which is coming up quickly - and if that sticks he'll get between 90-95 delegates in a landslide.
I think if Trump can win Wisconsin that's HUGE because their conservative talk radio consistently bashes him and his supporters. I listen to WISN all the time and they HATE him. There's not one local radio personality that supports Trump in Wisconsin so if he wins that's a statement that he can win in enemy territory.
New York is somewhat irrelevant. Obama beat Romney by 2 million votes in 2012. It really doesn't matter that Trump will win the primary there (in the same way that it doesn't matter that Cruz will win the GOP Primary in CA).
But Wisconsin is a state that could conceivably turn red in November, assuming the GOP runs a strong candidate against Clinton. A strong candidate like a very popular and powerful Congressman from Wisconsin.
You see where I'm going with this? If Trump pulls <10 delegates out of Wisconsin, not only are his chances of 1237 going to take a huge hit, but it signals to the rest of the party that he can't win the states the GOP probably needs to win in November. Delegates, once released, will flee Trump to almost anyone else, especially if that someone else is Paul Ryan.