Game #7 Starter? Topic

wonker
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First off, know that this decision has already been made and the starter for this afternoon's World Series Game #7 is already locked in.....am just curious what your thoughts and opinions would have been in the same situation:

Three choices to start Game #7
A)  Milacki at 82 stamina
B)  '00 Pedro at 82 stamina
or
C)  a fully-rested '68 Bob Gibson

                                                                        1B   2B  3B  RF  LF
Game to be played at Memoiral (LA)       +3   +1   -1   +3   +3
7/7/2010 9:19 AM
jfranco77
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I would have gone with Gibby. 82 is too low for me.
7/7/2010 10:02 AM
Zamdrist
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I would think the choice would be fairly obvious. Gibson.
7/7/2010 10:28 AM
redwingscup
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yep, the 1968 Gibby is both good and rested. I think he'd give you your best chance to win the important game 7
7/7/2010 10:35 AM
wonker
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just to follow-up, I had decided on Milacki over Gibson (as Gibson had been shelled twice already earlier in the series).......

Milacki pitched well....we had a 5-1 lead in the 5th......then he gave up 2 in the 5th and a disappointing 3 in the 7th (disappointing because I had his pull set at 5 with plenty of good relief help available).......and we lost a 6-5 heartbreaker!
7/7/2010 1:39 PM
crazystengel
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I might have gone with Milacki, too.  I've lost too many TOC series to 80-85% SPs to think fatigue has that big of an impact (I wish it did, though). 

That sucks about the 5 pull setting.  Did you at least lower his PC?
7/7/2010 1:43 PM
wonker
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no....thought about it, but figured he would get yanked if he got in trouble......my bad!
7/7/2010 5:31 PM
mixtroy
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Gibson was the obvious choice because even if he did get shelled in the other two games he pitched, he's an excellent pitcher and chances are he was "due" for a great pitcing performance.
7/8/2010 12:36 AM
wonker
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well, there's a theory that I do not believe in.....nobody in this game is "due" for anything, especially after the tiniest of sample sizes (2 starts?).  If he got shelled, it was most likely due to the combination of the structure of the other team's line-up and the stadium the games were played in.  If those things remained unchanged, then he was more than likely "due" to get beat up again!

Gibson's biggest strength (incredibly low .oav numbers) was easily offset by the +3 rating for hits in Memorial, and his biggest weakness (HR's) would be exploited by the +3 / +3 for HR's in that park.

For me, it all came down to alot of the recent talk about how fatigue doesn't affect players nearly as strongly as it should until they are really low on the stamina scale.  After this experience, I'm still not sure I wouldn't make the same choice if the situation presented itself again!

7/8/2010 8:12 AM (edited)
fillies
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Posted by wonker on 7/8/2010 8:12:00 AM (view original):
well, there's a theory that I do not believe in.....nobody in this game is "due" for anything, especially after the tiniest of sample sizes (2 starts?).  If he got shelled, it was most likely due to the combination of the structure of the other team's line-up and the stadium the games were played in.  If those things remained unchanged, then he was more than likely "due" to get beat up again!

Gibson's biggest strength (incredibly low .oav numbers) was easily offset by the +3 rating for hits in Memorial, and his biggest weakness (HR's) would be exploited by the +3 / +3 for HR's in that park.

For me, it all came down to alot of the recent talk about how fatigue doesn't affect players nearly as strongly as it should until they are really low on the stamina scale.  After this experience, I'm still not sure I wouldn't make the same choice if the situation presented itself again!

I would have started Gibby....but...

For me, it all came down to alot of the recent talk about how fatigue doesn't affect players nearly as strongly as it should until they are really low on the stamina scale.  After this experience, I'm still not sure I wouldn't make the same choice if the situation presented itself again!

A bit off subject... I'm in a progessive that I'm not doing well in so I experimented with fatigue with 1 position player and 1 pitcher. i will post the result in a week or so. It has been some what of a surprise so far.

7/9/2010 6:10 PM
Game #7 Starter? Topic
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