Posted by MikeT23 on 10/15/2013 12:23:00 PM (view original):
I mentioned something along that line also but it has it's flaws too. Is there a discernible difference between 68 and 73? It seems like an impossible task unless you work it backwards(meaning do it after the season when we somewhat "know" who the best teams are). Maybe do last season and use it as a protype for this season.
That's what I kind of do. I have an initial formula that gives me a baseline, and then it goes through again and values games based on the baseline "strength" of each team.
Kinda circular, but it is the best I could come up with to address the issue you are speaking of.