Posted by tecwrg on 5/28/2014 1:18:00 PM (view original):
You've been arguing "an out is an out".
Now you seem to have backed out of that and fallen back to a much safer "two outs are worse than one" argument.
What will you be arguing an hour from now?
I don't think my argument has ever changed.
Overall, an out is an out.
In individual situations, some outs have different run values but it evens out over the course of a season. We know this because team runs scored totals do not correlate with K rates.
And, as you so skillfully pointed out in your last couple posts, players don't go up trying to ground out. Which, to me, means that they can't control how/when they make their outs. Sometimes an out in play is made when you want a certain out in play over other outs. Sometimes that out in play is made when it absolutely kills an inning.