All Forums > Hoops Dynasty Basketball > Naismith > Capital Athletic Conference: Year 12-pres
9/20/2012 11:25 PM
Mary Washington
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
John Morgan So. PG 0 6 -1 8 1 2 5 1 1 1 0 7 31 35 73 11 42 2 13 21 59 61 34 75 65 C+
Stephen Harned Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 75 7 30 10 12 48 61 75 22 65 43 C
Harold Peloquin Sr. SG 1 4 3 7 2 0 14 2 5 8 1 7 54 75 74 56 95 24 8 79 48 50 63 83 77 C
Jacob Luce So. SG 8 10 10 2 1 1 0 10 0 1 11 7 61 55 66 26 35 16 33 47 44 21 63 77 47 C+
Patrick Vidal So. SG -1 8 -2 1 4 0 13 0 1 3 4 6 37 48 63 16 53 21 18 73 38 36 32 68 67 C-
Chester Cyr Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 53 19 43 1 12 32 37 63 37 70 43 C
Junior Hayes Fr. SG 0 3 -1 3 1 -3 10 4 1 1 2 6 27 45 68 7 56 2 8 58 38 53 30 68 70 C-
Philip May Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 69 24 36 79 22 29 28 12 9 26 65 52 D+
Eric Saterfiel Jr. C 4 3 1 7 8 9 0 3 0 7 7 8 57 69 29 95 48 87 61 1 14 14 66 92 48 C+
Lester Jackson So. C 1 1 6 10 4 -2 1 -2 -1 2 1 3 24 54 14 81 49 70 14 2 13 4 28 68 42 B
John Davis Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 26 61 36 53 35 20 8 11 43 59 44 C
Donald Ward Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 62 15 65 53 37 34 20 16 11 38 73 25 D+
17-5, RPI 5.  Nice season for a team with 6 (!) Freshmen (though one is a RS) and only 1 SR (though Peloquin is pretty special).  Worth noting the lack of defensive holes up and down the whole MW roster (and ATH too, for that matter).  Russell T's teams typically rely on 2 scorers; next year will be no exception.  Vidal will be The Best Man from the outside with Saterfiel from the inside.  Ward's improvement has been much greater than the rest of the FR (+40, 2nd best +26) and has picked up double digits in LP and REB.  His profile (with no gaping hole) is projects him out as the future leader a Dynamic Duo, not a sidekick.  May looks green in ATH (he May get to 80) and REB, but has lost points in P and BH and now projects as a no LP PF.  Harned is definitely a keeper due to his monster P rating; 90 is a possibility if he Harnesses his full ability.

The Mount
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Edward Lewis Jr. PG 6 6 0 5 1 0 10 7 10 5 0 5 55 34 74 1 38 2 1 75 83 75 54 75 61 B
Chase Parks So. PG 1 6 -2 5 4 -1 1 13 10 1 1 10 49 47 80 9 25 19 8 47 68 56 40 73 55 B-
Ruben Burbach Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 70 1 31 1 1 24 51 58 46 81 69 C+
Christopher Dry Fr. PG 7 9 -1 6 1 0 19 8 13 3 7 11 83 39 71 9 33 12 25 61 63 49 70 75 63 B
Robert Kroger Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 42 22 47 17 26 21 30 34 43 71 77 C+
Scott Hutchinson So. SF 0 2 4 5 1 0 4 0 0 3 2 1 22 66 32 47 56 40 54 18 19 11 23 54 63 C+
Roland King Jr. PF 0 5 5 1 4 11 14 8 7 6 5 13 79 37 48 77 53 52 95 58 21 22 73 69 47 C-
Donald Griffin So. PF 1 5 11 10 3 2 2 5 0 4 0 8 51 45 26 80 32 67 92 17 30 9 40 72 35 C-
Kenneth Gorsuch So. C 1 6 8 7 0 1 1 2 1 4 2 10 43 63 29 80 47 56 45 12 22 26 51 66 40 C+
Kevin Wheaton So. C 1 1 13 9 3 7 0 2 -1 2 6 3 46 51 27 82 72 48 30 1 30 3 51 65 93 C+
Steve Rutherford Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 23 72 17 72 69 14 12 14 34 56 62 C-
Steve Stinson Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 5 23 39 9 17 6 1 17 97 66 30 B-
12-9, RPI 34.  Even less experienced than MW, with 4 FR and no Seniors.  He'll have to pull off an couple of W's to make the NT and is currently on an L6.  RS FR Dry's PE/P improvement (with healthy doses of ATH, SPD, and DEF).  A dog with a Dry nose may be unhealthy, but a backcourt with a Dry PG is in pretty good shape for several years.  Rutherford's (RS'ing) has the beautiful REB, BLK, and LP profile; the ATH looks like it will come, the rest, not so much.  A nice back up, but never a star.  The other G's are a nice complementary pair; as much as I'd like to deliver a "Let's Go Krogering" line, Burbach will have more Symphonic career.

York
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Paul Howard Jr. PG 4 0 1 1 1 8 4 4 12 3 2 1 41 40 73 2 8 3 50 77 82 79 94 88 65 C+
Gene Mills So. PG 3 6 1 12 1 8 15 11 4 1 5 2 69 53 76 13 74 3 31 53 62 34 67 84 54 B+
Kevin Labombard Jr. SG 6 1 0 4 1 1 8 1 7 8 4 3 44 62 59 8 58 3 11 88 49 56 48 81 67 C
Steven Devinney So. SG 11 2 0 0 1 9 8 3 7 2 3 14 60 44 52 1 34 2 25 88 43 33 55 79 63 C+
William Booth Sr. SF 2 0 0 4 0 1 -1 6 5 7 4 2 30 61 54 41 53 36 29 76 63 59 74 86 41 B
Timothy Hansen Sr. SF 3 4 -1 3 0 4 4 2 8 1 5 2 35 42 55 26 31 15 82 67 41 37 55 86 99 C+
Paul Smart Fr. SF 4 7 5 6 6 11 6 0 1 0 5 3 54 73 28 45 71 35 38 27 22 16 46 72 37 C-
Warren Voelker Sr. PF -1 10 7 5 8 1 7 5 0 4 0 4 50 46 46 64 44 52 78 38 38 27 45 84 43 C-
Brian Flynn Jr. C 8 9 7 1 1 19 0 1 2 3 -1 -1 49 61 45 73 55 49 71 9 13 15 74 71 41 D+
David McKinney So. C 3 8 9 6 6 2 0 4 2 1 8 3 52 49 27 82 44 65 35 1 18 13 66 65 58 C-
Tom Taylor Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 15 64 23 63 58 1 13 10 58 68 43 C+
Willie Kelly Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 1 12 6 31 6 10 33 1 72 83 45 B-
17-5, RPI 17.  Rogue's recovery season after a bizarre lost year, he fortunately only had to add 1 FR with his lower prestige (Smart was a RS last year).  There is a lot to like with York's ATH ratings up and down the roster.  The REB depth isn't there for this year (exposed by a few of the better REB teams around), but the LP and PE depth is among the best in the country.  The D/PE/BH improvements of Mills are worth noting.  With that  ATH/SPD/DEF, he can execute an old school Parent Trap (or any other trap, for that matter).   With low ATH, Tom Taylor isn't exactly the Tool Man, but he's got upside in SPD, REB, and LP.  Good enough to help a contender.
9/22/2012 11:45 PM
Baptist Bible
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Anthony Mahoney Sr. PG 0 0 0 6 1 -1 8 3 6 6 4 2 35 51 67 1 61 4 1 90 68 57 50 85 36 B-
David Young Jr. PG 4 11 0 3 2 5 12 7 5 5 1 2 57 57 76 25 48 18 26 41 66 51 36 77 43 B-
John Peters So. PG 8 7 0 6 1 5 2 8 9 1 5 1 53 39 71 1 50 2 18 17 51 59 47 69 70 C
David Higgins Jr. SG 13 7 1 6 3 0 17 5 15 4 4 5 80 60 69 12 46 26 25 86 46 71 88 87 72 C
Erwin Degeorge So. SG -1 2 -1 5 1 1 10 1 -1 0 1 5 23 42 62 24 39 21 12 45 50 53 22 73 60 D+
Kevin Phillips Fr. SG 1 2 0 5 0 5 8 0 3 0 -1 5 28 60 21 32 75 13 51 37 25 23 29 71 43 B-
Jerome Feller So. SF 8 6 2 7 3 14 1 1 2 6 4 1 55 49 61 41 45 31 52 27 33 56 51 82 49 B-
Walter Adams So. PF 3 7 6 7 9 2 2 2 2 3 7 4 54 59 38 65 50 47 27 40 32 14 46 83 55 C-
James Rogers Sr. C 2 4 20 11 12 7 0 10 3 5 5 0 79 92 36 59 89 34 53 1 38 53 80 69 49 B-
John Fredericksen Jr. C 4 6 2 2 7 6 0 2 2 5 8 6 50 63 33 91 48 92 77 1 19 19 33 73 52 C
Isaac Myatt Jr. C 0 6 6 2 2 5 1 2 2 4 1 5 36 40 25 86 43 68 64 19 18 20 28 77 62 C-
Mike Macdonald So. C 1 2 4 3 6 0 0 1 0 0 -2 0 15 70 40 45 60 40 6 31 20 21 17 63 33 C+
19-5, RPI 8.  Only 2 SRs, but McCabe is all the way back to the top of his game.  Check out the ATH's and DEF's up and down this roster.  It lakes multiple dominant scorers, but the ATH/LP combos lead to good shooting in mid-level distributions.  Higgins is poised to play a superstar role with Mahoney's graduation after this year.  The only FR is a RS (Can you say carryover $?).  Phillips looks like a defense-first SF.  Consistent with McCabe's player paradigm, but sort of like a Screwdriver: useful as a tool, but something that helps get things done, not the centerpiece of the job.

Chestnut Hill
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
John Broom Sr. PG 6 5 0 3 1 3 2 5 3 6 2 6 42 32 84 2 35 4 16 64 78 80 39 81 73 B-
Kevin Herron Sr. SG 3 4 0 3 1 6 4 1 4 4 1 0 31 50 76 28 38 17 55 36 58 42 48 86 68 C
Eric Ferreira Jr. SG 1 4 4 7 1 9 6 1 1 2 1 0 37 44 58 25 30 7 38 68 26 25 63 83 63 C+
Royce Whittaker Jr. SG 1 1 -1 11 2 6 11 -1 6 5 0 5 46 85 23 17 90 18 30 45 6 28 49 71 80 B-
Mark Williams Jr. SG 6 10 4 8 -1 3 -1 7 4 3 7 1 51 48 61 29 32 8 28 36 59 50 64 89 68 C+
John Byrd So. SG 2 6 1 3 2 0 16 7 9 2 6 3 57 60 53 30 54 14 3 50 38 32 44 68 32 C
Johnny Segars So. SG 3 5 0 2 3 3 7 2 0 2 -2 4 29 29 66 24 21 14 17 33 46 29 24 75 74 C-
Mark Vogt So. SG 1 8 6 5 6 17 0 -1 13 4 6 5 70 38 56 32 29 28 45 48 48 34 63 79 76 C+
Jared Deleon Fr. SG 3 2 2 5 2 0 7 5 1 0 -1 3 29 51 28 18 42 18 27 28 29 19 50 73 74 B-
William Burks Sr. SF 4 6 1 3 0 4 0 4 5 5 1 1 34 60 61 25 72 2 35 37 38 45 71 76 61 C
Roger Valdovinos Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 44 21 57 37 60 37 13 12 1 33 63 55 C-
Donald Handel Sr. C 0 -1 0 1 0 -1 1 -1 6 4 -2 0 7 62 22 89 44 59 35 6 19 20 86 87 64 C+
10-15, RPI 94.  Not quite enough SPD and REB to survive in the CAC as a FB/Press team.  I applaud the notion of trying something different to carve out a niche, but yanks needs a lot more big man depth and a lot more backcourt speed.  The one true FR is a step in the right direction, Valdovinos is +63 so far this year (+9 REB, +6 DEF, +7 BLK, +11LP); if he can get another 2 this year, they could contend with another speed G, Byrd (SG) and Vogt (SF). 
9/23/2012 11:49 PM
VJ-RIP
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Henry Johanson Sr. PG 1 1 1 3 1 0 4 3 2 2 3 1 22 34 85 2 38 6 22 98 61 74 94 87 44 B
Harold Peters Sr. PG 0 5 -1 2 1 0 -1 0 7 5 7 1 26 29 79 1 34 3 1 76 78 63 56 94 77 C-
Nathan Whitlow So. PG 1 3 0 0 1 7 6 7 12 1 0 10 48 15 65 4 3 6 35 74 66 56 48 76 71 C-
Michael Mathias Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39 50 1 18 1 12 44 50 32 47 75 56 C
Billy Varda Jr. SF 2 8 6 5 2 7 0 9 7 4 1 5 56 39 62 60 72 37 57 15 60 36 43 67 64 D-
Robert Noonan So. SF 1 10 9 1 2 14 10 12 7 0 7 1 74 32 39 34 13 12 49 69 42 51 93 73 44 C-
Harold Butler Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 42 49 42 42 38 24 33 28 29 58 73 C-
Joe Moore Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 27 25 29 17 14 49 21 14 45 65 59 D+
Steven Overton Sr. PF 5 4 4 1 1 0 15 5 4 6 -2 3 46 39 47 90 27 46 65 35 47 33 74 74 69 B-
James Brooks Jr. PF 0 8 6 7 6 0 6 2 3 4 -1 1 42 46 50 77 48 57 39 29 26 26 58 72 23 B
Brian Chapman Jr. PF 7 1 6 8 3 14 0 8 0 3 6 5 61 38 35 65 43 47 82 10 42 17 54 81 52 C
Mark Anderson Fr. C 3 7 10 7 3 6 9 -1 0 1 -2 12 55 21 22 56 31 27 70 24 8 43 60 65 88 D-
14-10, RPI 64.  Team dominated by the big 2 of Johanson (31 ppg) and Peters (18.3 ppg), neither of whom see the Scarlett light very often.  Over 55% of their attempts are from 3 point range.  I'm not sure they don't underuse their better bigs, but offensive efficiency isn't the issue, it's scheduling 300+ RPI teams (4 of them) rather than 100-150 teams (which he was good enough to beat).  This just sets up the change for his 4th PIT title, I guess.  Not sure who the workhorse is next year; Whitlow and Varda aren't Henry and Harold.  Noonan's improvement pattern is worth noting.  He's a big time score as a senior.  RS Freshman Anderson looks pretty good long term; the Oracle might see 20ppg from him if he takes the red pill.  Among the FR, Mathias doesn't have a 10 skills improving, but looks very green in SPD, DEF, PA, and BH.  Not a future Gold medalist, but solid.  What FR SF has improved 4+ in 8 categories?  The Butler did it!  I don't know if Magneto needed Moore SF help.  Actually I do; he didn't.

The Hood
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Roderick Pierce Sr. PG 0 8 0 3 0 8 9 2 5 7 3 9 54 43 94 1 30 11 37 64 66 90 53 82 59 B+
Edwin Simpson Jr. PG 1 6 -1 3 1 2 9 5 2 1 2 9 40 38 82 1 43 2 18 66 66 61 29 69 51 C+
William Rolen Fr. PG 2 8 -1 4 0 0 9 4 7 0 -1 3 35 50 62 9 40 1 28 51 60 50 44 70 35 B
Daniel Walsh Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31 65 1 18 1 1 71 52 73 26 77 55 B-
Colin Morgan Jr. SG 4 1 -1 4 1 0 7 7 1 4 4 0 32 44 62 1 33 4 38 94 48 29 59 79 42 B
Fredrick Plumb Jr. SG 7 4 4 3 -1 6 6 3 4 -2 5 0 39 48 66 27 34 9 47 62 58 57 68 69 42 B-
Bill Cope Sr. SF 3 2 0 6 3 0 7 5 3 6 4 5 44 67 51 21 72 28 54 81 53 44 57 72 49 D+
Joshua Leamon Sr. SF 0 3 0 1 3 6 6 1 3 2 -1 -1 23 56 42 48 39 49 83 74 26 24 43 77 44 C+
Theodore Chaparro Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 15 57 36 48 88 10 13 14 40 59 51 C
David Franklin Jr. C 4 6 5 7 7 14 2 0 2 6 -2 9 60 68 29 86 81 81 88 18 4 16 71 57 54 C+
Murray Gauthier Jr. C 7 1 7 4 -1 10 0 0 1 6 2 8 45 48 19 97 38 90 79 2 13 8 64 72 78 C-
Roger Jarrett Jr. C 4 4 6 4 10 6 7 5 2 3 0 5 56 74 34 57 77 47 52 35 18 14 48 75 54 C-
18-6, RPI 2.  Fueled as much by the JRs (6 of 'em) as the 3 SRs.  Should still be very good next year, though Plumb doesn't look like a F4 caliber SF to me, making the run this year more important.  The concern this year is the lack of REB depth and the lack of backcourt defense.  Walsh projects like his namesake from West Beverly, a undersized offense-only PG with a questionable work ethic and midrange DUR.  Chaparro makes me wish I had made the HI trip before the Maui Invitational this November.  Yowza.  I've got a new favorite player to track.  It's not hard to wishcast him as a 60 ATH, 40 SPD, 90 REB, 65 DEF, 70 BLK, 88 LP monster.  The real shame is that he's not the RS. 

Saint Mary's of Maryland
Improvement Current Status
Name   Yr.   Pos.   A   SPD   REB   DE   BLK   LP   PE   BH   P   WE   ST   DU   TOT A   SPD   REB   DE   BLK   LP   PE   BH   P   WE   ST   DU   FT
Michael Barnes Sr. PG -1 4 0 5 0 5 1 7 9 4 1 3 38 38 80 1 46 2 27 58 78 65 40 75 71 C-
Cameron Tincher So. PG 1 3 0 3 1 2 5 9 9 3 7 12 55 21 83 1 27 2 17 80 67 73 60 80 83 B
Joseph Packard So. SG 4 5 0 1 0 -1 7 10 5 1 6 7 45 35 64 1 39 1 26 39 70 69 36 65 74 C+
William McCombs Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 51 22 27 10 17 71 38 34 42 70 32 C+
George Thorpe Sr. SF 2 5 8 4 5 15 2 6 3 7 6 8 71 66 59 76 61 65 87 51 54 30 53 79 88 B-
Clayton Berg Jr. SF 1 3 5 -1 0 8 19 1 7 2 8 6 59 50 46 64 45 27 44 59 37 36 66 63 48 C+
Daniel Eccleston Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 49 53 31 42 25 25 45 27 29 75 42 C+
James Bodin So. PF 8 1 18 14 7 5 3 7 1 2 4 1 71 53 26 71 39 45 77 24 21 16 69 83 35 C-
Michael Glover Jr. C 5 3 7 12 8 13 0 7 8 5 2 5 75 46 25 88 41 72 45 16 30 34 65 78 76 C+
Stephan Lombardo Jr. C 13 2 12 2 0 18 0 4 0 7 8 4 70 39 29 94 32 63 84 1 30 10 65 79 51 B-
Bernard Brawn Fr. C 9 5 13 7 11 24 5 7 2 0 10 5 98 30 25 62 27 42 56 21 35 22 91 61 44 D+
Thomas Davis Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 51 27 54 52 41 22 10 13 11 32 72 61 B
16-10, RPI 22.  Entirely driven by Thorpe's amazingness.  He's now at 794 overall.  7.9.4.  Ridiculous.   Berg is decent but with that ST, the dropoff at the SF position will cost SMM more than a year of development for the other good players (no one else had 5 returners with 70+ points of improvement).  That's a reasonable statement for next year, but the future is reasonably bright.  I think Packard/Tincher/Eccleston/Bodin (check that improvement in ATH, REB, REB!)/Brawn is a S16 capable team with upside.  Chief among the youngsters in the OVR improvement is Brawn who Coop was all over (correctly).  His LP is obviously heading to 90+ with solid ATH/REB and good other categories, he's a fun one to watch.  McCombs is a one dimensional shooter, but it'll be quite a dimension.  Eccleston is an interesting SF, heading to headly levels in REB, LP and PE... and nothing else, though everything is already 25 or higher. 
9/29/2012 3:06 PM
Worth posting since all 12 made the postseason...
North Standings
 
School Coach Conf.
W-L
Overall
W-L
Home
W-L
Road
W-L
Top 25
W-L
Last 10 STRK RPI SOS
Salisbury aejones 10-6 18-9 6-5 12-3 5-5 6-4 L1 20 5
#17 Gallaudet dedelman 9-7 20-8 7-3 12-4 5-5 7-3 L1 10 6
Catholic andrewfrance 8-8 18-9 8-4 10-4 2-5 5-5 L3 25 9
Mary Washington rusticity 8-8 18-10 4-5 13-4 2-7 3-7 L1 17 2
Marymount nc2457829305 5-11 16-13 6-6 8-6 5-6 4-6 L1 35 3
Goucher kowboykoop 3-13 12-15 5-8 7-6 2-9 2-8 L1 106 24
 
 
 
 
 
South Standings
 
School Coach Conf.
W-L
Overall
W-L
Home
W-L
Road
W-L
Top 25
W-L
Last 10 STRK RPI SOS
#7 Baptist Bible mccabemi 12-4 23-6 10-2 10-4 8-3 9-1 W3 5 8
#15 Hood theeyetest 11-5 22-7 10-1 10-5 6-4 7-3 L1 3 1
#21 York (PA) roguedog 11-5 21-7 9-2 11-4 4-3 6-4 L1 12 10
St. Mary's of Maryland luciusmalfoy 9-7 16-11 8-4 8-6 3-9 5-5 L1 28 4
Stevenson University magneto999 6-10 15-12 8-5 7-6 1-8 4-6 L2 67 26
Chestnut Hill yanks250125 4-12 12-16 1-7 10-8 3-9 3-7 L1 82 18
10/27/2012 1:55 PM
Formula Predictions, Season 62
School Beg. Yr. Avg. # Seniors # Juniors Players >600 Player >500 Top 3 REB Form. Wins Form. Losses
Salisbury 501 0 0 2 6 70 2 14
CUA 520 0 0 2 6 72 4 12
Gallaudet 567 0 0 5 8 87 14 2
Goucher 497 0 0 1 5 77 1 15
MW 518 0 0 1 7 87 4 12
Marymount 560 0 0 3 9 89 12 4
York 556 0 0 4 7 81 10 6
Baptist 559 0 0 5 7 85 12 4
Hood 559 0 0 4 8 87 12 4
Chestnut 511 0 0 2 6 59 3 13
VJ 535 0 0 4 6 73 7 9
SMM 567 0 0 6 7 92 15 1
Average 538 0 0 3.3 7 80 96 96
11/2/2012 1:24 AM
Hi Capital folks, I'm looking to get into either Freedom or Capital when a spot opens up. If anyone is thinking of moving on please let me know.
11/3/2012 10:38 PM
Catholic
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Robert Taliaferro Jr. PG 3 2 0 4 0 0 7 4 2 4 2 2 30 33 78 6 23 2 1 92 71 31 43 77 70 C
Paul Thompson So. PG 4 11 0 6 1 3 19 1 2 4 10 17 78 22 82 1 31 3 22 90 56 75 77 81 62 B
Harlan Ahner Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 54 5 13 1 1 44 48 44 66 84 31 C-
Larry Bell Fr. PG 8 3 3 6 2 5 0 7 4 1 3 5 47 43 61 24 35 14 19 70 59 53 34 66 68 C
Warren Griffin Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 52 5 21 1 17 45 51 22 82 78 51 C
David Decoteau So. SG 6 10 1 6 1 12 12 10 5 1 6 5 75 47 64 16 32 2 25 50 53 42 65 79 78 C
Michael Pitts Sr. SF 5 6 2 5 3 1 5 4 6 5 4 0 46 58 59 38 66 33 61 49 34 55 64 87 55 C
Benjamin Jackson Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 32 34 44 20 54 21 17 10 52 77 38 C+
Reginald Kim Jr. PF 6 6 11 6 0 3 0 2 6 6 4 0 50 42 49 76 27 33 79 10 16 39 68 81 55 B-
Tyrone Vallee Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 32 61 19 54 16 25 27 20 56 85 58 C
Michael Massey So. C 4 5 6 -1 5 13 6 6 6 4 4 3 61 36 32 78 10 57 57 20 31 31 39 63 85 D
George Washington Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 20 62 30 47 53 31 28 19 57 58 50 C
6-10, RPI 53.  Streak of 7 straight NT tourneys and 6 straight S16's is all but over.  The positives: The G's can shoot… and the G's can shoot.  No rebounding, brutally low ATH and mediocre passing and very bad defense.  Yikes.  Blowing several straight classes despite A+ prestige will take 4 or 5 seasons of better recruiting (just this past season had D2 guys take 3 guys who were considering me) to recover from.  RS FR Bell is a legit future D3 star (still blue in ATH, DEF, LP, and P), but he's the only one.  Maybe Thompson/Taliaferro are good enough shooters that paired with Bell and Kim and one of the centers CUA can sneak into the NT next year.  Among the true FR, Griffen is blue in ATH, PR, and P (but not SPD); Ahner's disHonor is that he's blue in SPD, DEF only; Benjamin "Young Hickory" Jackson is a new type of SF for me, destined to end sub-20 in P and BH.  Handcuffed with Bell, it should work out.  Vallee is very blue in ATH and LP, but won't even come close to helping anyone until he's a JR.  The Father of our Country looked like the one potential star in the group, but his ATH just went black, so he won't get to 45.

Salisbury
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
James Booth Sr. PG 0 5 -1 2 0 0 0 2 6 7 6 5 32 41 75 1 40 2 22 65 59 79 40 82 45 C+
Nicholas Leary Jr. PG 6 7 0 11 1 11 9 -1 16 2 11 2 75 48 81 6 49 2 39 55 47 42 87 77 38 B-
Hugo Lee So. PG 7 10 -1 8 1 0 2 9 5 4 1 1 47 35 86 3 21 2 1 71 62 42 43 79 55 C
Warren Moody So. PG 10 14 0 15 1 9 14 0 14 4 5 7 93 72 77 1 63 2 24 41 59 43 65 81 39 C-
Kenneth Moore Jr. SG 1 8 0 11 1 1 7 7 5 9 5 2 57 73 72 2 73 3 12 71 53 49 55 90 57 B
Richard Hyde Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 44 45 20 37 8 13 20 34 24 41 77 59 C+
Erwin Manders Jr. PF 5 5 9 9 1 -1 19 7 3 2 8 11 78 62 44 58 67 14 54 55 39 15 89 78 77 C-
Timothy Malbrough Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 24 45 51 39 66 16 13 12 54 67 54 D+
Steven Daniels Jr. C 4 6 10 14 7 6 0 -1 0 8 12 8 74 70 24 76 75 63 60 2 5 4 47 75 67 C+
Robert Houtz Jr. C 10 0 4 15 1 15 -1 0 0 8 2 8 62 78 4 75 83 65 60 8 13 13 50 76 28 C+
Joseph Fisher Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 28 12 9 8 13 7 5 31 63 65 30 C-
Nathan Hoffman Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 18 8 23 6 6 9 12 6 55 55 47 C
10-6, RPI 34.  aejones on pace to make his 4th straight NT.  Only 1 SR?  2 Walk ons?  No Problem.  This hyperathletic squad has strong speed and defense, but not enough REB, LP, PE, and P (or depth) to beat the best teams (no W's vs. the top 30 RPI).  Moody is a legit monster who still has upside.  He'll be able to score in a bunch of different ways, not matter how he feels.  The backcourt looks set for next year; paired with Moore, you might have 450 combined SPD, ATH, and DEF by some point next season which is ridiculous.  Hyde is sort of a Jekyll (ATH, SPD, DEF, P) and Hyde (BLK, LP, BH).  He's likely the starting SF in two seasons.  The other FR, "Don't Taze Me" Malbrough is stud. Decent now, but huge greens all across the board an a monsterous and improving LP.  I like this team for the F4 next season.

Gallaudet
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Thomas George Sr. PG 4 0 0 1 1 0 11 7 6 9 3 3 45 60 80 1 56 5 1 92 94 76 66 73 75 C
Christopher Madsen Sr. PG 6 10 -1 3 1 1 6 3 0 0 0 4 33 64 82 1 62 3 16 37 64 46 30 68 95 C+
Harold Armstrong Sr. SG 0 1 3 7 1 2 13 6 8 8 -1 11 59 49 63 18 62 11 15 89 78 72 44 76 81 C-
Timothy Fisher Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 44 11 28 1 14 64 55 22 35 68 52 C
Richard Salesky Sr. SF 0 2 2 3 2 4 2 1 0 8 5 2 31 54 67 46 61 30 56 40 38 40 74 87 51 B-
Rob Stewart Jr. SF 3 -1 0 0 3 3 7 6 1 -2 3 6 29 47 58 24 47 17 29 46 50 40 28 70 46 D+
Sylvester Clark So. SF 5 0 6 6 2 5 5 3 1 1 2 5 41 65 38 42 50 27 30 21 27 32 29 71 58 C
Samuel Boles Jr. PF 2 3 6 9 2 2 2 9 9 4 2 0 50 56 46 85 86 45 32 14 48 43 51 83 31 C+
Brian Francis Jr. PF 2 2 10 12 6 15 11 1 1 9 3 11 83 68 29 87 78 62 56 28 25 30 57 77 40 C+
John Maynard So. PF 3 2 7 12 4 8 0 0 0 2 5 1 44 48 28 62 53 39 74 17 22 1 72 80 17 C+
Mark Guthrie Jr. C 7 3 16 3 10 16 0 0 2 8 4 2 71 52 20 90 43 83 80 2 15 30 67 67 45 C-
James Orlowsky Fr. C 4 2 2 8 1 10 -1 0 1 0 3 5 35 48 19 62 56 64 31 4 17 14 30 74 36 C+
15-2, RPI 1.  Odds on favorite for his 3rd title game in his last 5 seasons.  What's there to criticize?  ATH?  There.  DEF?  There.  REB?  3 deep at the bigs.  LP?  2 scorers.  PE?  2 scorers.  Maybe the P/BH isn't elite-elite, but it's solid.  Orlowsky is a RS FR and decent, but doesn't project as highly as any of the other bigs here.  Fisher is the only true FR; he's blue in SPD, DEF, and PE, all of which will be good, but the P (22 and low) is a real 4-day old Fish-scale stinker.

Goucher
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
John Robinson So. PG 6 6 0 0 1 3 3 7 9 2 -1 11 47 22 72 1 26 2 17 66 49 39 51 77 82 C
Charles McGuire Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 72 1 13 1 14 54 62 53 66 72 55 C+
Paul Monico Jr. SG 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 3 4 6 21 20 51 14 17 17 20 72 53 45 37 74 32 C+
John Helfenstein So. SG 2 4 0 4 0 5 6 2 1 1 4 5 34 29 56 2 39 2 40 54 43 37 36 75 74 D+
Walter Brown Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 55 11 56 16 54 17 20 17 46 73 37 C-
Abel Patterson Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 46 11 45 8 7 44 38 48 23 77 30 B
Andrew Faris Sr. SF 4 2 2 2 6 -1 1 7 9 8 5 1 46 62 39 35 51 33 43 25 63 49 38 70 63 B
John Patrick Sr. SF 3 3 -1 1 4 12 3 2 4 1 2 7 41 59 31 19 53 35 54 56 22 27 38 67 97 B-
Matthew Sewell Jr. PF 6 4 5 6 0 5 3 4 3 8 4 0 48 58 43 88 72 61 47 18 30 13 75 83 23 C+
Joseph Draper Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 28 50 27 49 26 37 31 17 48 72 47 D
Jordan Vuong So. C 3 7 13 4 6 2 1 2 3 3 1 13 58 48 28 77 27 61 16 16 22 34 45 74 73 C
Allen Bryant Fr. C 2 1 6 4 1 12 0 0 1 1 3 0 31 42 11 66 28 60 43 10 10 11 27 66 67 D
5-11, RPI 107.  Some chance of back to back postseasons for the 1st time in 12 seasons.  4 true FR and only 2 SRs for Koop.  The RS FR Bryant keeps moving up in REB and LP and projects to a useful big, certainly capable as the 3rd big on an NT team as soon as next year.  The question for next year will be SF where the 2 SR's graduate and no successor has been recruited (though FR Draper could be passable, even if not Dom-inating; you wouldn't have to be a Mad Man to try).  McGuire is +55 as a FR with PED-suggesting improvements in SPD (+10), PE (+14), and P (+9).  Walter Brown gets less renown and Patterson, while Able, and both with solid starting ratings, don't look too blue across the board.  The lack of a true SF in this class is a little mystifying.
11/5/2012 11:34 PM
Mary Washington
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Lewis Humphrey Jr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 81 58 11 72 1 22 50 54 33 87 74 52 C-
John Morgan Jr. PG 0 3 -2 5 2 -1 12 2 -1 3 2 7 32 35 76 9 47 4 12 33 61 60 37 77 72 C+
Stephen Harned So. PG 1 1 -1 3 1 -1 8 4 8 5 1 1 31 30 76 6 33 11 11 56 65 83 27 66 44 C+
Jacob Luce Jr. SG 6 7 7 4 1 1 0 13 0 1 11 4 55 61 73 33 39 17 34 47 57 21 64 88 51 C+
Patrick Vidal Jr. SG 1 6 -2 5 6 0 13 5 2 7 6 9 58 49 69 14 58 27 18 86 43 38 39 74 76 C
Junior Hayes So. SG 1 6 -1 2 0 -2 11 9 0 2 4 8 40 46 74 6 58 2 6 69 47 53 32 72 78 C
Philip May So. SF 5 1 9 0 3 9 -1 -2 -1 1 4 5 33 74 25 45 79 25 38 27 10 8 27 69 57 D+
Eric Saterfiel Sr. C 2 0 3 5 6 5 0 14 1 9 3 3 51 71 29 98 53 93 66 1 28 15 75 95 51 B-
Lester Jackson Jr. C 1 1 4 8 8 1 0 -1 -1 6 1 2 30 55 15 85 57 78 15 2 12 3 34 69 44 B
Donald Ward So. C 3 7 14 1 4 17 0 -2 -2 5 4 9 60 65 22 79 54 41 51 20 14 9 43 77 34 C-
John Davis Fr. C 7 1 9 10 4 6 -1 0 -4 0 6 5 43 49 27 70 46 57 41 19 8 7 43 65 49 C
Christopher Gilmore Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 9 7 36 10 6 1 17 1 78 49 21 C+
12-7, RPI 21.  Rusticity on pace for 22nd straight NT.  S16 or beyond in 8 of the last 12 seasons.  This crew lacks a 2nd perimeter or low post threat, though with only 1 SR, it is not hart to project Humphrey filling the perimeter role next year when this squad (with only the RS FR) will need to make a deep, deep run.  Lewis "Lee" Humphrey/Humphries was this year's recruit and wow... what a monster.  With 19 games down, he's +86 (+ double digits in SPD, DEF, PE, BH, and P -- or pretty much exactly what you would hope for).  The worst part for me is that I had a Cali JUCO with 95% of this profile that was colisted and then (rightfully and easily) taken by a California school.  Sigh.

Marymount
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Edward Lewis Sr. PG 3 2 0 5 0 0 8 1 5 9 2 1 36 37 76 1 43 2 1 83 84 80 63 77 62 B
Chase Parks Jr. PG 0 5 -2 6 2 -1 -1 8 12 4 3 12 48 47 85 7 31 21 7 46 76 68 44 76 67 B
Ruben Burbach So. PG 10 8 0 5 1 1 13 8 0 2 -1 1 48 39 78 1 36 2 2 37 59 58 48 80 70 B-
Christopher Dry So. PG 6 6 1 7 0 2 19 6 16 7 9 11 90 45 77 10 40 12 27 80 69 65 77 84 74 B+
Robert Kroger So. SG 8 4 0 7 5 14 9 4 2 4 3 10 70 49 46 22 54 22 40 30 34 36 47 74 87 C+
Scott Hutchinson Jr. SF 3 4 5 5 -1 1 7 -1 0 6 4 1 34 69 36 52 61 39 55 25 18 11 29 58 64 B-
Steve Stinson So. SF 2 2 2 3 1 1 4 2 2 -4 -1 4 18 12 7 25 42 10 18 10 3 19 93 65 34 B
Roland King Sr. PF 1 1 -1 5 2 3 7 15 11 5 1 7 57 38 49 76 58 54 98 65 36 33 78 70 54 C-
Donald Griffin Jr. PF 0 4 8 9 4 0 0 6 0 4 -1 6 40 45 30 88 41 71 92 17 36 9 44 71 41 C
Kenneth Gorsuch Jr. C 0 7 8 6 1 2 2 3 2 7 8 11 57 63 36 88 53 57 47 14 25 28 58 74 51 B-
Kevin Wheaton Jr. C 2 1 8 7 -1 4 1 2 -1 4 4 0 31 53 28 90 79 47 34 2 32 2 55 69 93 C+
Steve Rutherford Fr. C 4 2 6 6 4 0 5 0 -2 0 3 4 32 21 25 78 23 76 69 19 12 12 34 59 66 C
14-4, RPI 8.  This will be 12 NT's in the last 13 seasons.  He hasn’t been past the S16 since S46, so this team represents a hope with a 2 season window.  Note that there are no true FR (Rutherford tested the physics of a RS season).  Wrono signed his walk-on last year (Stinson) in order to get full carryover and should have something like 18K for 2 openings next offseason (3 if he cuts Stinson).  Check out soph's improvements; the well isn't Dry for Christopher who is now a 675 sophomore (highest in all D3 by 16 points).  Kroger has made strides, and profiles more like a SF.  He'll be nice, but not the Nightmare on Arlington Street that Dry will be.  Big picture, the window is this year and next since as good as Dry looks, replacing all the bigs after next year will be tough.

York
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Paul Howard Sr. PG 1 0 0 -1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 4 41 73 2 7 3 51 77 82 79 96 88 66 C+
Gene Mills Jr. PG 1 6 0 8 1 7 12 5 3 3 5 0 51 54 82 13 82 4 38 65 67 37 70 89 54 B+
William Baver Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 66 1 27 1 10 50 66 47 44 77 32 C-
John Kelsey Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 50 11 16 1 1 68 53 24 89 71 43 C-
Kevin Labombard Sr. SG 5 1 0 6 1 -1 9 1 9 10 3 0 44 67 60 8 64 4 10 97 50 65 58 84 67 C+
Steven Devinney Jr. SG 8 3 0 -1 1 15 6 5 6 0 3 8 54 52 55 1 33 3 40 94 48 39 55 82 71 B-
Paul Smart So. SF -1 7 12 7 7 22 5 0 -2 2 2 0 61 72 35 57 78 42 60 32 22 14 48 74 37 C
Danny Barry Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 66 19 38 68 20 51 17 13 9 28 78 73 D
Brian Flynn Sr. C 6 4 4 3 1 12 0 1 5 6 1 0 43 67 49 77 58 50 83 9 14 20 80 72 41 D+
David McKinney Jr. C 4 10 8 6 6 0 0 7 4 3 5 0 53 53 37 90 50 71 35 1 25 17 69 70 58 C-
William Klein Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 10 73 39 71 65 1 15 4 41 69 60 D-
Tom Taylor Fr. C 1 8 13 7 7 12 0 -1 0 1 3 3 54 41 23 77 30 70 70 1 12 10 59 71 46 B-
19-0, RPI 1.  One final note on Dry for Marymount.  York is very, very good.  They are undefeated.  They are ranked #1.  Their highest rated player (Mills) is lower rated OVR than Dry… a sophomore.  York's starting lineup is really, really good and they go 4 deep at G.  There is some obvious weakness vs. the press (check out the ratings (their average P rating is 10th in the CAC), and I really wouldn't project them beyond the E8 due to depth and P issues.  They can shoot with anyone from the outside, making them dangerous vs. anybody.  McKinney's improvement profile is pretry interesting.  Whether the improvement he has left is more 7th Grade Wimp or Loded Diaper will determine how far York can go next year.  The FR (5 of them) represent a future potential starting lineup.  Taylor was the RS last year and has made some nice Home Improvements in SPD, REB, DEF, BLK, and LP.  The backcourt is a nice matched pair; Baver is the PG, Kelsey the SG.  Both look like NT-capable players, though neither with the defensive chops of Mills or LaBombard.  Barry will never be more than a backup.  He's not as good as Rick Barry or Brent Barry or Jon Barry... or even Scooter Barry, really.  Klein, Bill Klein, by contrast, looks great with a nice foundation and major upside in ATH, DEF, BLK, and LP. 
11/6/2012 10:59 PM

The Thumpers

      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
David Young Sr. PG 2 7 0 3 2 7 20 8 3 8 4 1 65 59 83 25 51 20 33 61 74 54 44 81 44 B
John Peters Jr. PG 5 6 0 6 2 5 4 9 7 1 2 0 47 44 77 1 56 4 23 21 60 66 48 71 70 C+
Leonard Parnell Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 60 24 20 9 11 42 65 49 36 72 41 C+
David Higgins Sr. SG 2 0 1 2 0 0 13 0 4 3 0 0 25 62 69 13 48 26 25 99 46 75 91 87 72 C
Kevin Phillips So. SG 3 4 -1 4 2 8 11 0 5 2 0 8 46 63 25 31 79 15 59 48 25 28 31 71 51 B-
Donald George Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 44 12 57 14 45 30 43 28 38 58 45 C+
Jerome Feller Jr. SF 5 6 2 7 3 18 -1 0 4 9 6 0 59 54 67 43 52 34 70 26 33 60 60 88 49 B-
Walter Adams Jr. PF 6 6 4 4 11 0 0 1 1 5 7 3 48 65 44 69 54 58 27 40 33 15 51 90 58 C
John Seawright Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 20 63 30 54 32 1 20 12 55 52 68 D+
John Fredericksen Sr. C 4 5 1 1 6 9 0 2 3 9 5 2 47 67 38 92 49 98 86 1 21 22 42 78 54 C+
Isaac Myatt Sr. C 0 5 7 0 4 6 1 1 2 2 2 7 37 40 30 93 43 72 70 20 19 22 30 79 69 C-
Mike Macdonald Jr. C 2 1 4 6 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 22 72 41 49 66 46 7 31 21 22 17 63 33 C+
14-6, RPI 21.  Will make 5th NT in 6 years.  I like this squad a lot, but the lack of a 2nd player with elite G skills keeps it off my likely E8 list.  Worth noting that this looks like the best squad in the next few for The Thumpers.  Feller is a pretty nice Feller at SF, but the other JRs and Soph have big holes in their games.  The FR G doesn't make me want to join the LPP (Leonard Parnell Posse), but he'll play as a SG.  The big you can See is alRight.  Though his base ratings are meh, his improvements to date (+44) look to be where they need to be to turn him into a very good big.

The Hill
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Mark Hosier Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 63 15 21 16 12 26 62 27 29 70 71 B
Eric Ferreira Sr. SG 1 1 5 5 1 6 4 0 -1 3 3 0 28 45 59 30 35 8 44 72 26 24 66 86 63 C+
Royce Whittaker Sr. SG 0 2 0 7 1 3 8 0 5 6 4 3 39 85 25 17 97 19 33 53 6 33 55 75 83 B
Mark Williams Sr. SG 1 5 5 7 1 2 0 3 1 4 5 0 34 49 66 34 39 9 30 36 62 51 68 94 68 C+
John Byrd Jr. SG 1 5 0 1 2 -1 14 8 8 1 2 2 43 61 58 30 55 16 2 64 46 40 45 70 34 C+
Johnny Segars Jr. SG 4 2 0 2 4 4 6 5 0 1 -3 6 31 33 68 24 23 18 21 39 51 29 25 72 80 C
Mark Vogt Jr. SG 1 3 6 4 7 20 -1 0 14 4 6 3 67 39 59 38 33 35 65 47 48 48 67 85 79 C+
Jared Deleon So. SG 5 3 4 7 4 1 7 6 2 2 3 4 48 56 31 22 49 22 28 35 35 21 52 76 78 B
Victor McBride Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 37 45 12 33 36 53 31 26 51 68 26 C-
Roger Valdovinos So. PF 3 6 10 6 10 13 7 3 0 8 3 3 72 47 27 67 43 70 50 20 15 1 41 66 58 C-
Robert Michelson Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 21 37 27 43 36 37 14 12 44 64 49 C
Brian Bentley Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 18 66 39 49 36 1 15 1 45 55 59 D+
9-11, RPI 52.  Trying to get back-to-back PIT's in order to get their prestige off the C- they've been stuck at.  The big issue here is lack of REB and bigs.  WIth one more player at the level of Valdovinos would help immensely.  Worth looking at Sweet Royce Whitaker before he graduates.  You'll see a lot of classes before you ses another G profile like that.  If they can get another big of quality next year and schedule well in the nonconference slate, they should be in good shape for a PIT.  The young bigs and SF really look good.  Bentley is aptly named; he should be a high performance player; nice base in ATH, big improvements (+56 OVR, >+7 in REB, DEF, BLK, and LP).  The McBride of Frankenstein should turn into a cobbled-together monster with great REB for a SF (+7 this year), LP (+8), and SPD (+6) while mediocre ATH and DEF. The FR G is a mixed bag with some upside; he will only have elite SPD and BH at the end of his career, but none of his skills will be that deficient.

VJ-RIP
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Nathan Whitlow Jr. PG 1 2 0 -1 0 8 3 8 12 4 -2 5 40 16 67 4 2 6 43 77 74 68 52 74 76 C+
Michael Mathias So. SG 1 9 0 6 1 -1 19 6 3 1 -3 10 52 40 59 1 24 2 11 63 56 35 48 72 66 C-
Thomas Green Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 44 4 39 1 15 71 40 27 60 61 44 C+
Billy Varda Sr. SF -1 9 2 3 2 6 1 5 5 8 -2 4 42 38 71 62 75 39 63 16 65 41 51 65 68 C-
Robert Noonan Jr. SF 1 7 9 0 1 11 10 13 4 0 0 0 56 33 46 43 13 13 60 79 55 55 93 73 44 C-
Harold Butler So. SF 1 7 5 3 7 11 9 -1 6 2 3 6 59 30 49 54 45 49 49 33 32 34 31 61 79 C-
Joe Moore Fr. SF 7 6 6 6 7 6 0 9 6 1 4 7 65 44 33 31 35 24 20 49 30 20 46 69 66 D
Paul Wilson Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39 38 42 39 28 52 14 37 15 65 76 13 D+
James Brooks Sr. PF 0 7 4 5 4 2 7 11 4 9 0 -1 52 46 57 81 53 61 41 36 37 30 67 72 22 B-
Brian Chapman Sr. PF 6 0 7 7 3 8 1 8 0 5 7 3 55 44 35 72 50 50 90 11 50 17 59 88 55 C
Mark Anderson So. C 3 7 9 5 5 5 11 -1 0 2 4 5 55 24 29 65 36 32 75 35 7 43 62 69 93 D
Frederic Adams Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 13 55 46 40 24 11 12 2 55 54 73 C-
5-14, RPI 66. Looks like his streak of NT appearances will end at 3.  Next year's squad will likely be a PIT one, though could break either way with bad scheduling or bad luck.  Note Mathias' improvement; he might have been the "13th" Disciple, but he'll be much better than a 6th man for VJ-RIP.    The RS FR (Moore) had a well-rounded improvement year to go with a well-rounded but low base.  There is still Moore upside there.  Thomas Green will do it from the Perimeter with G skills, but can't be accused of getting by on his ATH or SPD.  I really like Wilson's profile as an improvement pattern; without a RS, he is a nice duplicative of Moore's well-rounded skill set.  With a RS, he'd have a season to star himself.  Adams likely playing 2nd fiddle among 2nd tier CAC bigs to George Washington which is ironic on a couple of levels; his lack of ATH upside and low starting LP limit him to the Vice Presidency.

11/7/2012 11:29 PM
The Hood
      Improvement Current Status
Name Yr. Pos. A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU TOT A SPD REB DE BLK LP PE BH P WE ST DU FT
Edwin Simpson Sr. PG 1 4 0 2 0 0 12 7 0 3 3 7 39 39 86 1 45 2 18 78 73 61 32 72 58 C+
William Rolen So. PG 1 8 -1 3 0 2 7 7 9 1 1 3 41 51 70 8 43 1 30 58 67 59 45 71 38 B+
Daniel Walsh Fr. PG 1 6 0 2 1 0 6 6 6 1 -1 4 32 32 71 1 20 2 1 77 58 79 27 76 59 B-
Colin Morgan Sr. SG 5 0 0 3 1 1 4 3 0 8 7 0 32 49 62 1 36 5 39 98 51 29 67 86 42 B
Fredrick Plumb Sr. SG 4 6 6 2 0 13 4 3 2 3 7 0 50 52 72 33 36 9 60 66 61 59 71 76 42 B-
Victor Green Fr. SG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 63 4 33 1 34 41 48 45 56 80 20 C+
William Person Fr. SF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 57 22 47 11 12 75 37 29 23 70 21 D+
Theodore Chaparro So. PF 13 8 11 11 9 0 -1 -3 -3 3 5 14 67 48 23 68 47 57 88 9 10 11 43 64 65 C
David Franklin Sr. C 1 3 3 6 8 11 1 0 5 6 0 1 45 69 32 89 87 89 99 19 4 21 77 57 55 C+
Murray Gauthier Sr. C 2 1 2 3 0 8 0 0 13 8 3 7 47 50 20 99 41 90 87 2 13 21 72 75 85 C-
Roger Jarrett Sr. C 4 3 5 3 10 5 9 5 5 3 1 3 56 78 37 62 80 57 57 44 23 19 51 76 57 C-
Mark Johnson Fr. C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 12 72 25 70 72 1 13 1 28 66 56 C-
16-4, RPI 20.  Geoff looking for his 25th straight postseason.  Well positioned for his 7th past-first round trip in his last 8 seasons.  I really like this team.  The G defense is weak, but everything else about the squad is elite.  Franklin is a sight to behold, a guy who would get minutes on most D1 teams.  Pairing him with Gauthier really isn't fair.  The presence of 4 75+ PE guys keeps the defense honest.  Also worth noting is the presence of good G FT shooting.  RS FR Walsh learned a lot as West Beverly high player and the nice G skill improvements suggest a 85/65/85+ profile.  That plays.  True FR Johnson is the next Big Unit for Hood.  A great starting base with upside in ATH, DEF, and BLK.  Person is just another Person at SF.  He's got that nice starting base in PE which is a nice complement for this team with such nice 2nd team LP.  We'll get a better sense of how Personal he takes practice once his WE goes up with PT.  Green's got nice upside to be a well rounded G.  It looks like his ATH, DEF, LP, and G skills are all, well, Green.

Saint Mary's of Maryland
      Improvement Current Status
Name   Yr.   Pos.   A   SPD   REB   DE   BLK   LP   PE   BH   P   WE   ST   DU   TOT A   SPD   REB   DE   BLK   LP   PE   BH   P   WE   ST   DU   FT
Cameron Tincher Jr. PG -1 3 0 1 1 5 4 5 4 8 7 13 50 20 86 1 28 3 22 84 72 77 68 87 96 B
Manuel Zerck Fr. PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43 64 11 32 1 9 29 60 66 43 77 51 C+
Joseph Packard Jr. SG 4 6 0 -1 0 2 9 11 2 5 8 6 52 39 70 1 38 1 28 48 81 71 41 73 80 B
William McCombs So. SG 5 9 0 4 0 0 12 6 7 3 4 7 57 24 60 22 31 10 17 83 44 41 45 74 39 B-
Clayton Berg Sr. SF 0 3 5 1 1 6 17 1 5 3 9 6 57 50 49 69 46 28 50 76 38 41 69 72 54 C+
Daniel Eccleston So. SF 0 4 4 0 2 7 10 3 -1 1 -1 9 38 29 53 57 31 44 32 35 48 26 30 74 51 C+
James Bodin Jr. PF 5 1 12 13 7 6 2 5 -1 3 -1 0 52 58 27 83 52 52 83 26 26 15 72 82 35 C-
Terry Bailey Fr. PF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43 26 42 20 36 24 17 29 41 44 64 62 D+
Michael Glover Sr. C 1 2 7 11 3 13 1 7 11 7 3 3 69 47 27 95 52 75 58 17 37 45 72 81 79 B-
Stephan Lombardo Sr. C 7 2 5 4 0 13 0 3 1 7 4 3 49 46 31 99 36 63 97 1 33 11 72 83 54 B-
Bernard Brawn So. C 14 4 12 9 15 23 3 7 0 1 13 5 106 44 29 74 36 57 79 24 42 22 92 74 49 D+
Thomas Davis Fr. C 3 2 5 2 3 10 0 1 -2 0 0 2 26 54 29 59 54 44 32 10 14 9 32 72 63 B
19-2, RPI 7.  34 straight postseasons.  Some Ewing-theory potential with Thorpe.  This team has really strong rebounding, solid passing depth and just enough scoring and defense to be optimistic about a E8 appearance.  The ATH's aren't great and there isn't much backcourt depth and no big has elite ATH, but this is a good team.  Brawn lead the improvement summary update in OVR increase for the 2nd straight year.  He's almost capped out, but that's a nice profile for the next two seasons.  Coop's continued ability to add Sky's the Limit guys in LP and PE (8 guys +9 or more in PE or LP) is a key to his success.  The RS FR Davis looks solid, but not great.  He's not getting much above 70 in REB and even with Sky's the LP's going to take time.  The other FR big (Bailey) will take time to Cream anyone, even with Sky's LP and high REB.  Zerck is a nice PG, headed for 60/85/75 with 85 SPD and solid DEF and ATH.  He's he right complement for McCombs' SG package, particularly if he can avoid Buzz Lightyear.
12/13/2012 9:29 PM
Prediction formulas (Season 63)
The Formula likes the North.
School Beg. Yr. Avg. # Seniors # Juniors Players >600 Player >500 Top 3 REB Form. Wins Form. Losses
Salisbury 559 0 0 5 7 76 12 4
CUA 556 0 0 4 9 79 12 4
Gallaudet 530 0 0 3 5 92 8 8
Goucher 506 0 0 1 4 83 3 13
MW 554 0 0 3 9 84 12 4
Marymount 566 0 0 6 8 93 16 0
York 538 0 0 4 7 86 10 6
Baptist 509 0 0 2 5 66 3 13
Hood 510 0 0 0 5 75 2 14
Chestnut 504 0 0 1 5 72 3 13
VJ 519 0 0 2 6 67 5 11
SMM 547 0 0 4 6 77 10 6
Average 533 0 0 2.9 6 79 96 96
12/13/2012 10:33 PM
In fact, it like the North to go 33-3 against the South, with all 3 losses by Goucher. 

OK, to go to town on this-- in order to achieve these exact standings, MW, CUA, and Salisbury would have to go 2-2 against each other and 0-2 against the 'mount, and Gallaudet would have to go 0-8 against the top 4 in its division and 8-0 otherwise.  SMM and York would have to split with each other, deal Goucher 2 of its 3 inter-divisional losses, and win all their remaining games other than the obligatory 5 losses against the top 5 teams in the North.  The remaining 4 teams have a little more flexibility; they take 9 obligatory losses each but can do all sorts of things against each other, with one of them getting to beat Goucher just for grins.

None of this makes the projections any less fun to read, and I still think we're a little overestimated at 8-8.  Thanks, Andrew.



12/14/2012 8:52 AM
for the first time in eons, I really think the prediction model got things right this season!     
12/14/2012 10:16 PM
I'm amused it was so bullish on Marymount.  I would have guessed 14-2, 13-3 looking at the fundamentals, but I guess I value the 6 600+ players less than the outdated regression equation.
12/30/2012 3:31 PM
The seniors and juniors columns are all zeroes in the predictatron chart.  
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