12/3/2012 3:38 PM
I lack the sabermetric math skills that some users on this site possess.

Here's my puzzle: My pitchers in one progressive league are suffering far higher OAV inflation than other owners' pitchers. I can't tell if it's just bad luck.

The 10 league leaders' inflation in OAV from their OAV# to their league actual ranges from +32 to +49, whereas my starting pitchers are +75, +75 and +90.

My team plays in Busch I at 1b 0 and HR -2. The category leaders' home fields are Petco (4), Astro (1), Colt (2), Oriole, Oakland and Yankee I.

Do the fields that are rated with minus values for hits (1b) make up the kind of difference I'm experiencing?

BTW, last season I homed this team at Busch II, where one would expect better pitching results, but the team record was awful. The team is doing better, if not well, in Busch I.

12/3/2012 3:46 PM
Addendum:

 One starter was significantly better in Busch II last season, at .256 instead of his current .306. His OAV# is .216. One starter was a single point better last season, and my long reliever/spot starter was +63 last season and is +88 now. (My No. 3 starter this season played elsewhere last season.)

 Also, the way this progressive progresses, most of the opponents get stronger offensively every season.

12/4/2012 8:47 AM
How does your defense compare? I definitely think the parks can account for some of that difference. 

Also, how many of them are lefties? What's the L/R split for ABs in your league? 
12/4/2012 1:05 PM
It could be pure chance: www.whatifsports.com/forums/Posts.aspx

Or it could be a vast socialist conspiracy: www.whatifsports.com/forums/Posts.aspx

How to tell which one it is?  Easy.  When it's another owner stuck with underperformers, it's chance; when it's you, it's WIS "equalizing" your team because you're so damn awesome they have to give the other owners a shot.


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