he actually was considered to have an actual chance for a good while, i think i was like 8 (well, 92... ok 6. but still, i remember skipping soccer to go to his rally with my family, on the way to a travel soccer game, and have a number of other memories of that election). anyway, i think at the time he dropped out of the race, because of some family issues with his daughter or something, he was actually in 2nd place, in front of clinton (behind bush... it was like 38, 33, 31 or something - i know that doesnt quite add up but its close, and i think that was pretty close to where they were).
the general theory at the time, if i remember correctly, is that had perot not dropped out, bush would have almost surely won again.
ironically, the one race i really would be excited about, were it happening now, because i loved the 3rd party candidate option - could actual end or prevent the presidency of my favorite dem and rep presidents of the last 30 years. IMO the bush/clinton election was the best, in terms of candidates, that weve had in a while - although im not a HUGE fan of bush the 1st, i was really happy of the way he handled desert storm, its the kind of thing that makes you proud to be an american (man, i wish i could think of more things our presidents did that made me feel that way!). and although im also not a HUGE fan of clinton, i have to give him 2 thumbs up for reforming welfare as a democrat, and for giving us a number of years of balanced budgets and/or surpluses. its sad to me to compare our last two president to that pair - think dems and republicans, as often as they dont agree, mostly agree on that.(i know pretty many on both sides of the aisle, but very few republicans who like GW better than his dad - maybe 2?, and not even one democrat who prefers obama over clinton). maybe if we can find some common groud, and all agree politicans are only getting worse (scary thought, given the status quo), we can agree to get rid of them all? or something?