College Football Week 14 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 14 Picks and Predictions

Week 14 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
November 24, 2014

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Michigan at Ohio State

In the five games Michigan has won this season, the Wolverines defense has allowed 11.2 points per game. In the six games they've lost, the defense has allowed 28.5 points per game. The defense's margin of error cannot be that great when the Wolverine's offense is only averaging 20.3 points per game - ranked 114th in FBS.

Turnovers have also hurt Brady Hoke's squad as well as his job security heading into 2015. Michigan' turnover margin (-1.27 / game) is dead last in the Big Ten. Senior quarterback Devin Gardner has thrown 14 interceptions with only eight touchdowns - one of the worst ratios among FBS quarterbacks.

The running back tandem of De'Veon Smith and Derrick Green has combined for nine touchdowns and better than 5.0 yards per carry. Devin Funchess (55 receptions for 625 yards with four touchdowns) is Gardner's primary target at this juncture, which isn't much when it comes to a very mundane, uncreative offense.

Fact: after starting 5-0 in 2013, the Wolverines are 7-12 in the past 19 games.

Ohio State needs a win to keep its slim college football playoff hopes alive. However, a trend Urban Meyer would like to buck heading into the Big Ten Championship would be slow starts and a defense that has allowed more than 29 points per game over their last three contests. The 29 PAPG is nearly seven points more than their season average of 22.5 (30th in FBS).

During that same stretch, which started with an upset win over Michigan State, J.T. Barrett has thrown 10 touchdowns with only three interceptions and rushed for 353 yards with three more touchdowns (117.6 rush yards per game).

Freshman receiver Jalin Marshall has stepped up over the last two games with 10 receptions for 190 yards and four touchdowns.

We simulated the Buckeyes and Wolverines 101 times and the computers like Ohio State to win 72.3 percent of the time by an average score of 25-18.

College Football Week 14 Predictions
MatchupWin %Avg. Score 
Florida Gators25.717.2Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles74.326.8 
North Carolina State Wolfpack35.624.0Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels64.428.2 
Kentucky Wildcats35.620.0Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals64.423.9 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons35.116.6Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils64.922.1 
Syracuse Orange38.617.3Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles61.420.5 
Pittsburgh Panthers44.621.7Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes55.422.8 
South Carolina Gamecocks46.521.6Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers53.522.2 
Virginia Cavaliers53.519.0Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies46.518.5 
Michigan Wolverines27.717.7Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes72.325.4 
Minnesota Golden Gophers39.616.0Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers60.420.6 
Purdue Boilermakers44.123.1Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers55.923.9 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights45.521.9Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins54.522.7 
Nebraska Cornhuskers53.519.8Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes46.520.6 
Illinois Fighting Illini53.523.5Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats46.521.7 
Michigan State Spartans80.224.7Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions19.815.8 
Ball State Cardinals30.720.6Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons69.327.3 
Northern Illinois Huskies53.526.6Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos46.525.4 
Buffalo Bulls62.426.5Boxscore
@ Massachusetts Minutemen37.622.5 
Akron Zips63.425.5Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes36.620.9 
Ohio Bobcats65.324.4Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks34.718.4 
Toledo Rockets83.229.7Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles16.818.4 
BYU Cougars34.724.8Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears65.327.1 
Stanford Cardinal36.620.1Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins63.424.9 
Arizona State Sun Devils43.622.3Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats56.425.8 
Notre Dame Fighting Irish45.023.5Boxscore
@ USC Trojans55.025.8 
Washington Huskies56.428.0Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars43.626.8 
Utah Utes80.227.4Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes19.818.9 
Oregon Ducks82.732.1Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers17.321.2 
Auburn Tigers46.520.8Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide53.523.4 
Arkansas Razorbacks48.520.2Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers51.521.2 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets48.522.0Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs51.523.7 
Mississippi State Bulldogs51.021.7Boxscore
@ Ole Miss Rebels49.021.2 
LSU Tigers57.423.7Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies42.621.7 
Tennessee Volunteers77.224.0Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores22.814.7 
Kansas Jayhawks18.817.6Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats81.228.9 
Texas Tech Red Raiders28.724.7Boxscore
vs. Baylor Bears71.333.3 
TCU Horned Frogs70.326.2Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns29.718.3 
West Virginia Mountaineers71.830.0Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones28.221.7 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers17.826.1Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd82.236.1 
Rice Owls40.622.8Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs59.424.0 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders49.525.8Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners50.526.4 
North Texas Mean Green56.421.6Boxscore
@ UTSA Roadrunners43.619.4 
UAB Blazers59.429.7Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles40.626.8 
Old Dominion Monarchs59.429.0Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls40.626.4 
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors36.625.4Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs63.428.4 
San Jose State Spartans39.623.2Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs60.427.3 
Utah State Aggies44.624.9Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos55.426.7 
Wyoming Cowboys46.525.3Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos53.527.2 
Colorado State Rams61.427.9Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons38.624.2 
Nevada Wolf Pack61.427.6Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels38.622.4 
New Mexico State Aggies32.722.4Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves67.328.9 
Idaho Vandals33.221.6Boxscore
@ Appalachian State Mountaineers66.828.8 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks45.522.3Boxscore
@ Georgia Southern Eagles54.525.5 
Navy Midshipmen55.424.3Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars44.621.6 
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns73.329.1Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans26.720.5 
Texas State Bobcats80.231.6Boxscore
@ Georgia State Panthers19.819.1 
Connecticut Huskies26.717.8Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers73.325.2 
Cincinnati Bearcats57.427.8Boxscore
@ Temple Owls42.625.2 
UCF Knights58.922.9Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls41.120.9 
Houston Cougars73.328.0Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs26.717.7 
East Carolina Pirates72.832.4Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane27.223.3 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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