2013 NFL Week 4 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

2013 NFL Week 4 Picks and Predictions

NFL Week 4 box scores and stats included

WhatIfSports.com
UPDATE: September 27, 2013

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link. If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2013 NFL season.

Check out our 2013 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.

Gridiron Dynasty - College Football Game

Game of the Week: Eagles at Broncos

The NFL may be a league of equilibrium, but one squad's merits have risen above the fray. The Denver Broncos demolished the Oakland Raiders on Monday night, coming out of the 2013 gates to a 3-0 mark. Denver has posted 127 points in this start, most in a three-game span since 1968, and has now won 14 consecutive regular-season contests. Welcoming the Eagles into Mile High on Sunday, the Orange Crush looks to continue this prosperity. This matchup between high-flying offenses in the Rocky Mountains serves as our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

Wes Welker's offseason arrival to Colorado was expected to add another weapon to Peyton Manning's already-fortified receiving corps. Yet even the biggest Broncos backer could not have envisioned this bountiful of a commencement. Welker's prowess over the middle and in the slot has opened spacious downfield chambers for Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker and Julius Thomas to operate and exploit. And exploit they have: the Broncos aerial assault is averaging 374.4 yards per game, tops in the NFL.

Of course, it helps having Manning at the helm of this ship. There's a noticeable lack of zip on his throws, and the deep-threat ball waved bye-bye to the four-time MVP long ago. Nevertheless, the venerable Manning's jurisdiction and comprehension of his offense is unparalleled at his position. Watching Manning go to work is reminiscent of other great athletes like Jack Nicklaus at the 1986 Masters or Michael Jordan at the 1998 NBA Finals, executing at an elite level despite Father Time reaping their physical talents. However, displaying this type of aptitude in the most physically-demanding of sports is truly one of the greatest athletic achievements in quite some time.

But make no mistake, the Broncos are far from infallible. The offensive line has seen its share of injuries with Ryan Clady and Dan Koppen sidelined for the rest of the season. Moreover, while the defense is surrendering a league-low 43.3 yards per game, Von Miller's absence and Champ Bailey's battle with foot issues leave the Broncos resistance susceptible.

Enter Chip Kelly and his spread offense. The Eagles rank second in yards per game through three weeks, behind only, you guessed in Denver. While the NFL landscape has transformed to a pass-happy environment, Philadelphia is still getting it done on the ground, averaging a league-best 209 yards per contest.

LeSean McCoy deserves a reasonable amount of the spotlight for these efforts, racking up 395 yards entering Week 4 play. But it's the duality of field general Michael Vick that makes the Eagles' engine run. Though he's taken a disconcerting amount of hits, Vick has stayed strong, tossing for 832 yards and rushing for another 187. He threw two interceptions last week, although one could be chalked up to feeble actions by his teammates. Vick will never be a model of consistency, but if he can distil the mistakes to a practicable amount, the Eagles will be a factor in the wide-open NFC East.

So who comes out on top in this showdown of scoreboard-lighting offenses? According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com NFL simulation engine, the Broncos emerge victorious 71 percent of the time by an average margin of 27-20. For the rest of this week's predictions, check below:

Please note: The Patriots-Falcons, Steelers-Vikings, Redskins-Raiders, Cowboys-Chargers, Cardinals-Buccaneers and Patriots-Falcons games were resimulated on 9/27 to account for injuries and roster updates.

NFL Week 4
MatchupWin%Avg Score
Philadelphia Eagles29.020Boxscore
@ Denver Broncos71.027Simulate Game
New York Giants30.418Boxscore
@ Kansas City Chiefs69.625Simulate Game
New England Patriots37.922Boxscore
@ Atlanta Falcons62.126Simulate Game
New York Jets44.417Boxscore
@ Tennessee Titans55.618Simulate Game
Miami Dolphins46.924Boxscore
@ New Orleans Saints53.125Simulate Game
San Francisco 49ers53.622Boxscore
@ St. Louis Rams46.421Simulate Game
Pittsburgh Steelers54.227Boxscore
@ Minnesota Vikings45.825Simulate Game
Seattle Seahawks54.522Boxscore
@ Houston Texans45.520Simulate Game
Arizona Cardinals54.524Boxscore
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers45.523Simulate Game
Chicago Bears56.923Boxscore
@ Detroit Lions43.120Simulate Game
Washington Redskins57.924Boxscore
@ Oakland Raiders42.122Simulate Game
Baltimore Ravens58.225Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bills41.822Simulate Game
Dallas Cowboys63.329Boxscore
@ San Diego Chargers36.724Simulate Game
Cincinnati Bengals73.325Boxscore
@ Cleveland Browns26.716Simulate Game
Indianapolis Colts79.429Boxscore
@ Jacksonville Jaguars20.617Simulate Game

Joel Beall is the Assistant Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jbeall@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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