College Football Week 1 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 1 Picks and Predictions

Week 1 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
August 26, 2013

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2013 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Georgia at Clemson

As the 2013 college football season kicks off in a few days, WhatIfSports.com's simulation engine is looking to improve upon its college football predictions from 2012.

A quick recap of the 2012 season:

  • the engine improved year-over-year as it was accurate nearly 79 percent of the time straight up
  • that's more than a four percent increase in accuracy compared to the 2011 season
  • in games involving Top 25 teams, the sim engine was accurate over 80 percent of the time straight up

Our Game of the Week features two teams ranked inside the preseason Top 10 and a battle between the SEC and ACC. Georgia's tough early-season schedule sends them to Death Valley to tackle the Clemson Tigers.

The Bulldogs' Aaron Murray returns for his senior season (although it feels like he's been there a decade) after posting huge numbers in 2012. The quarterback finished with nearly 4,000 yards passing with 36 touchdowns.

He will enjoy the luxury of some familiar faces in the backfield. Running back Todd Gurley racked up nearly 1,400 yards with 17 touchdowns, while his partner in crime, Keith Marshall, tacked on 700-plus yards on the ground and eight more scores in their freshman campaigns.

Mark Richt's bunch may have an issue on defense, however, as the unit only returns three starters from last season. Georgia finished inside the Top 20 in scoring defense and inside the Top 10 in passing defense.

Tajh Boyd returns for his senior season at Clemson. A surprise to some as the quarterback ranked inside the 10 in passing yards per game and inside the top five in passing touchdowns. His versatility allowed him to rush for over 500 yards with 10 more scores.

The Tigers finished sixth in the nation in scoring at 41 points per game.

The team's defense returns seven starters from 2012. They finished third in the ACC in scoring defense at 24.8 points per game allowed last season.

The hyper-offense combined with an improving defense is why many experts pick Clemson to win the ACC in 2013.

We simulated the Bulldogs and Tigers 101 times and it's Georgia winning 66.3 percent of the time by an average score of 28-21.

College Football Week 1
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Presbyterian Blue Hose 5.06Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons95.041 
North Carolina Central Eagles 5.07Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils95.045 
Elon Phoenix 5.08Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets95.049 
Villanova Wildcats 5.08Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles95.046 
Florida Atlantic Owls21.320Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes78.733 
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs30.723Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack69.328 
FIU Golden Panthers32.219Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins67.823 
Penn State Nittany Lions61.425Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange38.621 
Georgia Bulldogs66.328Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers33.721 
BYU Cougars67.824Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers32.217 
Florida State Seminoles75.726Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers24.317 
Indiana State Sycamores 5.09Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers95.049 
Southern Illinois Salukis 5.09Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini95.045 
Buffalo Bulls 7.415Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes92.631 
Massachusetts Minutemen 8.414Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers91.631 
Western Michigan Broncos18.816Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans81.228 
Wyoming Cowboys21.820Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers78.233 
Central Michigan Chippewas27.719Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines72.329 
UNLV Rebels28.719Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers71.327 
Northern Illinois Huskies58.925Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes41.123 
Illinois State Redbirds 5.07Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals95.046 
Liberty Flames 5.09Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes95.042 
Howard Bison 5.07Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles95.038 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane54.523Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons45.522 
Eastern Washington Eagles 5.08Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers95.052 
Nicholls Colonels 5.07Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks95.056 
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 5.08Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats95.051 
Nevada Wolf Pack30.223Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins69.831 
Utah State Aggies31.721Boxscore
@ Utah Utes68.325 
Boise State Broncos46.522Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies53.524 
Northwestern Wildcats64.924Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears35.120 
Murray State Racers 5.08Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers95.044 
Austin Peay Governors 5.08Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers95.051 
Virginia Tech Hokies12.415Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide87.629 
Toledo Rockets15.818Boxscore
@ Florida Gators84.230 
Rice Owls18.819Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies81.233 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers26.218Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats73.825 
Washington State Cougars35.119Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers64.924 
North Carolina Tar Heels42.123Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks57.924 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns43.624Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks56.426 
Ole Miss Rebels56.421Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores43.619 
Morgan State Bears 5.08Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights95.039 
Temple Owls17.816Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish82.227 
Wofford Terriers 5.08Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears95.049 
UNI Panthers 5.08Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones95.047 
William & Mary Tribe 5.59Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers95.551 
North Dakota State Bison 5.08Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats95.048 
New Mexico State Aggies 7.917Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns92.133 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks18.822Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners81.233 
Mississippi State Bulldogs42.125Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys57.926 
LSU Tigers52.521Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs47.520 
Old Dominion Monarchs 5.06Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates95.045 
Jackson State Tigers 5.09Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave95.040 
Western Carolina Catamounts 5.08Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders95.042 
Miami (OH) RedHawks23.822Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd76.231 
Idaho Vandals26.718Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green73.328 
Texas State Bobcats36.622Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles63.426 
Eastern Illinois Panthers 5.09Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs95.044 
Sacramento State Hornets 5.06Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans95.045 
Colgate Raiders 5.07Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons95.040 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights46.523Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs53.524 
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners47.524Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos52.525 
Colorado Buffaloes48.023Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams52.024 
USC Trojans90.632Boxscore
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 9.413 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 5.09Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars95.038 
Samford Bulldogs 5.08Boxscore
@ Georgia State Panthers95.036 
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 5.08Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves95.044 
UAB Blazers39.626Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans60.430 
McNeese State Cowboys 5.06Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls95.042 
Southern University Jaguars 5.09Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars95.048 
Towson Tigers 5.08Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies95.044 
Akron Zips19.821Boxscore
@ UCF Knights80.231 
Ohio Bobcats30.723Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals69.330 
Purdue Boilermakers46.523Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats53.524 
Texas Tech Red Raiders81.230Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs18.820 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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