College Football Week 15 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 15 Picks and Predictions

Week 15 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
December 2, 2013

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2013 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Instead of highlighting only one 2013 college football conference championship prediction, WhatIfSports.com is showcasing four conference championship predictions:

2013 ACC Championship Prediction: Duke vs. Florida State

The Blue Devils' domination on the basketball court over the past few decades has allowed for the university's fledging football program to develop under head coach David Cutcliffe. Check out Duke's progression since 2010:

  • 2010: 1-7 (4-8 Overall)

  • 2011: 1-7 (3-9 Overall)

  • 2012: 3-5 (6-7 Overall)

  • 2013: 6-2 (10-2 Overall)

Duke boasts about as balanced an offense as you will see in the country. They average 242.3 passing and 179.9 rushing yards per game. Plus, it's worth noting that junior quarterback Anthony Boone spreads the wealth when it comes to the rushing and passing attack. Seven players recorded a carry and nine players caught at least one pass in the Devils' game against North Carolina last week.

Duke's 58th-ranked defense will have its hands full with the second-highest scoring offense in the country with Heisman frontrunner Jamies Winston leading the charge. Florida State's season-low for points scored in a game is 37 (vs. Florida).

We simulated the Blue Devils and Seminoles 101 times and it's Florida State winning 78.2 percent of the time by an average score of 30-20.

2013 Big Ten Championship Prediction: Michigan State vs. Ohio State

Urban Meyer would earn $100,000 for beating Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship game in Indianapolis.

So much was made about the Buckeyes' defense - or lack thereof – after Michigan lit it up for 41 points last Saturday. However, for those casual football fans, Ohio State's defense has been a bug-a-boo for most of the season. They allowed 20 or more points in seven out of their 12 regular season games. Illinois and its 62nd-ranked scoring offense dropped 35 points on the Bucks a few weeks ago.

Ohio State's hyper-offense has masked a lot of the deficiencies with Braxton Miller and Carlos Hyde pacing the third-ranked scoring offense in the nation at over 48 points per pop.

The Spartans have scored more than 48 points in a game only once this season (vs. Youngstown State). However, their fourth-ranked scoring defense has allowed 20-or-more points only twice this season. Oh, and that pesky Illinois offense that dropped 35 on the Bucks? Sparty held them to three points.

We simulated Ohio State and Michigan State 101 times and the Buckeyes come out on top 55 percent of the time by and average score of 21-20.

2013 SEC Championship Prediction: Missouri vs. Auburn

Auburn's Chris Davis will never have to buy a beer at Toomer's Corner again.

Missouri will win if … they stop the Tigers' potent rushing attack. Auburn has averaged 354 rushing yards per game over their last three games including 296 against Alabama's top 10 rush defense.

Auburn will win if …Tre Mason and Nick Marshall continue their on-the-field dominance and rush for more than 175 yards combined. The Tigers allow 119 rushing yards per game – 14th-best in the country. It's a foregone conclusion that the Tigers' defense is going to allow some points, especially coming off the emotional win over Alabama seven days earlier.

We simulated Missouri and Auburn 101 times and Auburn prevails 53 percent of the time by an average score of 23-21.

2013 Pac-12 Championship Prediction: Stanford vs. Arizona State

The bad news for Arizona State: Sun Devils' head coach Todd Graham said starting running back Marion Grice will not play in Saturday's Pac-12 championship game. Grice leads the team with 996 rushing yards and 20 total touchdowns this season.

The good news for Arizona State: second-string running back D.J. Foster stepped up in place of Grice last week in the team's blowout win over rival Arizona. Foster finished with 124 rushing yards (150 total) with two touchdowns against the Wildcats.

The bad news for Arizona State: Stanford's rush defense ranks third in the country at 87 yards allowed per game and held Grice and ASU to 50 total rushing yards the first time the two teams met earlier this year. Granted, Stanford jumped out to a 29-0 lead and forced quarterback Taylor Kelly to try and rally back via the pass.

We simulated the Cardinal and Sun Devils 101 times and it's Stanford winning the Pac-12 championship 55.4 percent of the time by an average score of 23-21.

College Football Week 15
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Duke Blue Devils21.820Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles78.230 
Ohio State Buckeyes55.021Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans45.020 
Bowling Green Falcons38.621Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies61.426 
Stanford Cardinal55.423Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils44.621 
Missouri Tigers47.021Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers53.023 
Oklahoma Sooners38.622Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys61.424 
Texas Longhorns39.623Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears60.425 
Marshall Thundering Herd57.927Boxscore
@ Rice Owls42.125 
Utah State Aggies25.723Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs74.330 
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns43.625Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars56.427 
South Florida Bulls33.720Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights66.325 
Memphis Tigers46.020Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies54.021 
Louisville Cardinals59.426Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats40.623 
UCF Knights70.328Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs29.720 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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