College Football Week 13 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 13 Picks and Predictions

Week 13 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
November 18, 2013

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2013 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Texas A&M at LSU

Johnny Manziel's quest for a second Heisman Trophy is in full swing. The Texas A&M signal caller is on pace to submit a resume every bit as impressive as his 2012 campaign. Consider Manziel's per-game averages compared to last season:

Manziel's Per-Game Passing Stats
YearCMP/GATT/GPCTYDS/GTD/GINT/GRAT
201323.031.573.0331.33.11.1186.9
201222.733.468.0285.12.00.69155.3

As a passer, Manziel's improvement is considerable. Despite comparable attempts and completions, he's averaging 45 more passing yards per game and finding the end zone at a higher rate. Once considered a questionable pro prospect, Manziel's aerial improvements have ensured that an NFL team will readily give him an opportunity at the next level.

As a rusher, however, Manziel's output has dropped this season:

Manziel's Per-Game Rushing Stats
YearATT/GYDS/GAVGTD/G
201311.061.15.60.8
201215.5108.57.01.6

A few factors can be credited to the decline, including Manziel's reliance on his improved arm, an effort to avoid injury and a weakened offensive line that no longer has Luke Joeckel, drafted No. 2 overall in the NFL Draft. While Manziel's running game has dipped in both frequency and potency, he still ranks 10th among quarterbacks in total rushing yards. Additionally, the decline has been offset by the aforementioned improvements in his passing game. In fact, Manziel generated 393.5 yards per game of total offense in 2012. This year, he's accumulating 392.4 yards per game. Meanwhile, his total touchdowns have risen from 3.6 per game in 2012 to 3.9 this season.

Perhaps the biggest knock against Manziel's Heisman campaign is the lack of a marquee win. Insert LSU. A victory against the ranked Tigers in Death Valley could represent a significant boon for Manziel's candidacy.

It will be no small feat, though. LSU enters the game as a four-point favorite and has yet to lose at home this season. The Tigers have only suffered two home defeats since 2008, both to No. 1-ranked opponents.

While this isn't LSU's most formidable squad, the Tigers are balanced on both sides of the ball. Behind the arm of Zach Mettenberger, LSU generates more than 275 passing yards per game, 31st in the nation. Jeremy Hill (964 yards, 13 scores) leads a ground game ranked 52nd. Defensively, the Tigers hold opponents to 23.5 points per game and are especially stout against the pass, surrendering 200 yards per outing, 17th-best nationally.

The Aggies counter with a turbo-charged offense that ranks sixth nationally in passing yards and 33rd in rushing yards. Texas A&M struggles defensively though, ranking 91st against the pass, 106th against the rush and 87th in points allowed.

So who wins this matchup between SEC West foes? According to the WhatIfSports.com college football simulation engine, the Aggies beat the Tigers 67.3 percent of the time by an average score of 28-24. For the rest of this week's predictions, check below:

College Football Week 13
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Citadel Bulldogs 5.08Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers95.049 
Idaho Vandals 5.014Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles95.036 
Alabama A&M Bulldogs 5.08Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets95.046 
Old Dominion Monarchs 5.09Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels95.045 
Virginia Cavaliers35.621Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes64.427 
Boston College Eagles50.523Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins49.522 
Pittsburgh Panthers56.420Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange43.617 
East Carolina Pirates57.426Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack42.623 
Duke Blue Devils71.326Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons28.718 
Indiana Hoosiers18.819Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes81.230 
Michigan Wolverines47.520Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes52.521 
Michigan State Spartans56.422Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats43.619 
Wisconsin Badgers57.422Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers42.619 
Nebraska Cornhuskers58.425Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions41.622 
Illinois Fighting Illini61.425Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers38.621 
Massachusetts Minutemen25.216Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas74.827 
Kent State Golden Flashes35.618Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats64.422 
Northern Illinois Huskies70.331Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets29.723 
Bowling Green Falcons76.227Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles23.817 
Buffalo Bulls86.126Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks13.913 
California Golden Bears23.819Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal76.227 
Utah Utes42.624Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars57.425 
Arizona State Sun Devils44.123Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins55.925 
Washington Huskies45.527Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers54.528 
USC Trojans73.327Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes26.720 
Oregon Ducks83.229Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats16.819 
Georgia Southern Eagles 5.07Boxscore
@ Florida Gators95.040 
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 5.08Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks95.047 
Chattanooga Mocs 5.07Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide95.055 
Kentucky Wildcats23.819Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs76.227 
Mississippi State Bulldogs52.523Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks47.521 
Missouri Tigers54.024Boxscore
@ Ole Miss Rebels46.022 
Vanderbilt Commodores61.423Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers38.620 
Texas A&M Aggies67.328Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers32.724 
BYU Cougars49.521Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish50.522 
Kansas Jayhawks44.620Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones55.423 
Baylor Bears59.428Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys40.626 
Oklahoma Sooners64.422Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats35.619 
New Mexico State Aggies31.720Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls68.326 
UTEP Miners37.622Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave62.427 
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners47.524Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green52.526 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane54.524Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs45.523 
Rice Owls66.327Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers33.721 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders73.327Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles26.720 
Marshall Thundering Herd74.330Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers25.720 
New Mexico Lobos14.920Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs85.133 
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors36.622Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys63.426 
Colorado State Rams44.624Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies55.425 
Navy Midshipmen49.026Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans51.027 
Boise State Broncos72.326Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs27.719 
UNLV Rebels74.328Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons25.721 
Georgia State Panthers 8.915Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves91.131 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks43.625Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars56.426 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers55.421Boxscore
@ Texas State Bobcats44.620 
Memphis Tigers20.818Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals79.231 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights29.719Boxscore
@ UCF Knights70.326 
Cincinnati Bearcats44.626Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars55.427 
Connecticut Huskies49.519Boxscore
@ Temple Owls50.521 
SMU Mustangs65.325Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls34.720 
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Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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