NCAA football Week 9 power rankings
2012 NCAA Football Features
College Football Week 9 Picks2012 College Football Season-To-Date
2012 NCAA Football Archives
NCAA Football SimMatchup
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 124 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 124 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 86.4 | 32.3 | 16.2 |
| 2. | USC Trojans | - | 85.6 | 35.4 | 19.5 |
| 3. | Oregon Ducks | - | 81.7 | 32.0 | 18.4 |
| 4. | Florida Gators | +3 | 76.6 | 26.7 | 16.2 |
| 5. | Oklahoma Sooners | +3 | 76.6 | 30.8 | 19.4 |
| 6. | LSU Tigers | -1 | 76.2 | 26.8 | 16.3 |
| 7. | Kansas State Wildcats | +8 | 76.0 | 29.4 | 18.5 |
| 8. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -2 | 75.9 | 30.0 | 18.8 |
| 9. | Florida State Seminoles | +1 | 74.8 | 28.5 | 18.6 |
| 10. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +1 | 73.5 | 28.5 | 19.0 |
| 11. | Clemson Tigers | +2 | 72.0 | 30.0 | 21.3 |
| 12. | Michigan Wolverines | +2 | 71.4 | 27.1 | 18.8 |
| 13. | Georgia Bulldogs | -1 | 71.2 | 27.9 | 18.9 |
| 14. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +3 | 70.9 | 29.9 | 21.6 |
| 15. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +4 | 70.0 | 30.7 | 23.0 |
| 16. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -12 | 69.3 | 31.7 | 24.4 |
| 17. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +1 | 69.2 | 28.6 | 21.2 |
| 18. | Texas Longhorns | -2 | 68.6 | 26.4 | 18.9 |
| 19. | South Carolina Gamecocks | -10 | 68.5 | 24.4 | 17.6 |
| 20. | Texas A&M Aggies | +1 | 66.5 | 27.5 | 20.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Louisville Cardinals | +3 | 66.4 | 27.0 | 20.5 |
| 22. | Oregon State Beavers | +16 | 66.1 | 27.4 | 20.8 |
| 23. | Arizona State Sun Devils | +3 | 65.8 | 27.4 | 21.4 |
| 24. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +3 | 65.5 | 26.5 | 20.4 |
| 25. | Boise State Broncos | -5 | 65.3 | 28.9 | 22.8 |
| 26. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -4 | 65.2 | 25.7 | 19.8 |
| 27. | Stanford Cardinal | +1 | 64.7 | 26.0 | 20.1 |
| 28. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -5 | 63.9 | 28.0 | 22.7 |
| 29. | Tennessee Volunteers | - | 63.6 | 25.8 | 20.4 |
| 30. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +1 | 63.5 | 25.8 | 20.5 |
| 31. | Washington Huskies | -1 | 62.4 | 27.3 | 22.7 |
| 32. | Wisconsin Badgers | +5 | 61.8 | 26.6 | 21.9 |
| 33. | Northwestern Wildcats | +1 | 61.8 | 26.7 | 22.3 |
| 34. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | -9 | 61.7 | 25.3 | 21.0 |
| 35. | Iowa State Cyclones | -3 | 61.7 | 26.9 | 22.1 |
| 36. | TCU Horned Frogs | +6 | 61.3 | 26.0 | 21.4 |
| 37. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +10 | 60.7 | 26.8 | 22.8 |
| 38. | Brigham Young Cougars | -5 | 60.3 | 25.4 | 21.3 |
| 39. | Virginia Tech Hokies | +1 | 60.2 | 25.6 | 21.8 |
| 40. | Michigan State Spartans | +4 | 59.7 | 24.0 | 20.2 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | California Golden Bears | +7 | 59.7 | 25.2 | 21.8 |
| 42. | Penn State Nittany Lions | -7 | 59.5 | 25.3 | 20.8 |
| 43. | Arizona Wildcats | -2 | 59.5 | 28.1 | 24.1 |
| 44. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +2 | 59.4 | 27.0 | 23.3 |
| 45. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | -6 | 58.7 | 27.2 | 24.0 |
| 46. | Baylor Bears | -10 | 58.5 | 26.5 | 23.0 |
| 47. | Duke Blue Devils | +10 | 58.2 | 28.0 | 24.7 |
| 48. | Iowa Hawkeyes | -3 | 58.2 | 25.1 | 21.9 |
| 49. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +5 | 58.1 | 23.4 | 20.0 |
| 50. | UCLA Bruins | +1 | 56.8 | 24.6 | 21.8 |
| 51. | Purdue Boilermakers | +1 | 56.6 | 24.7 | 21.9 |
| 52. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +3 | 56.6 | 28.4 | 25.4 |
| 53. | South Florida Bulls | -4 | 56.2 | 25.1 | 22.8 |
| 54. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -11 | 56.0 | 25.9 | 23.5 |
| 55. | Utah Utes | +3 | 55.8 | 23.5 | 21.8 |
| 56. | Missouri Tigers | -6 | 55.6 | 22.9 | 20.7 |
| 57. | Mississippi Rebels | -1 | 54.9 | 23.9 | 21.7 |
| 58. | Maryland Terrapins | +6 | 52.9 | 23.8 | 23.1 |
| 59. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +1 | 52.7 | 26.0 | 25.3 |
| 60. | Syracuse Orange | -1 | 52.5 | 24.3 | 23.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +7 | 51.8 | 23.0 | 22.5 |
| 62. | Washington State Cougars | -1 | 51.8 | 25.5 | 25.2 |
| 63. | Toledo Rockets | +2 | 51.5 | 26.1 | 25.5 |
| 64. | Ohio Bobcats | +2 | 51.2 | 24.3 | 24.0 |
| 65. | UCF Knights | -2 | 50.7 | 25.2 | 24.6 |
| 66. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +3 | 50.4 | 23.4 | 23.5 |
| 67. | Connecticut Huskies | +5 | 49.6 | 21.2 | 21.3 |
| 68. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -1 | 49.5 | 26.0 | 26.2 |
| 69. | Temple Owls | +1 | 49.4 | 22.2 | 22.9 |
| 70. | Virginia Cavaliers | -8 | 49.2 | 22.2 | 22.3 |
| 71. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | +16 | 48.4 | 25.6 | 26.2 |
| 72. | San Diego State Aztecs | +26 | 48.3 | 24.3 | 25.0 |
| 73. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | - | 47.8 | 22.5 | 23.2 |
| 74. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -21 | 47.8 | 24.7 | 25.2 |
| 75. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -1 | 47.7 | 24.6 | 25.6 |
| 76. | Utah State Aggies | -1 | 47.1 | 24.4 | 25.6 |
| 77. | Indiana Hoosiers | - | 46.7 | 24.0 | 25.3 |
| 78. | Auburn Tigers | -7 | 44.2 | 20.4 | 22.6 |
| 79. | Ball State Cardinals | -3 | 44.1 | 24.8 | 26.8 |
| 80. | Houston Cougars | - | 43.5 | 25.8 | 28.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -3 | 43.5 | 24.7 | 27.0 |
| 82. | Kansas Jayhawks | +1 | 42.2 | 23.7 | 26.2 |
| 83. | Western Michigan Broncos | -4 | 42.2 | 24.8 | 27.6 |
| 84. | Kent State Golden Flashes | +17 | 42.1 | 19.9 | 22.7 |
| 85. | Boston College Eagles | -4 | 41.8 | 22.1 | 25.1 |
| 86. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | -4 | 41.5 | 23.8 | 26.8 |
| 87. | San Jose State Spartans | +4 | 41.0 | 24.6 | 28.1 |
| 88. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | -4 | 40.7 | 24.7 | 27.9 |
| 89. | Illinois Fighting Illini | -1 | 39.6 | 19.6 | 23.1 |
| 90. | Colorado Buffaloes | -4 | 38.1 | 21.5 | 25.7 |
| 91. | Kentucky Wildcats | +1 | 38.1 | 18.0 | 22.5 |
| 92. | Troy Trojans | +12 | 37.5 | 24.6 | 29.4 |
| 93. | Navy Midshipmen | -8 | 37.3 | 21.7 | 25.6 |
| 94. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +1 | 37.2 | 21.5 | 26.0 |
| 95. | Bowling Green Falcons | -5 | 36.3 | 21.3 | 25.9 |
| 96. | Air Force Falcons | -3 | 36.2 | 22.1 | 27.1 |
| 97. | East Carolina Pirates | -3 | 36.0 | 21.5 | 27.0 |
| 98. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -2 | 34.5 | 21.2 | 26.9 |
| 99. | Wyoming Cowboys | -10 | 34.3 | 20.8 | 27.0 |
| 100. | Central Michigan Chippewas | -3 | 33.6 | 22.0 | 28.3 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | North Texas Mean Green | +6 | 32.2 | 22.3 | 29.4 |
| 102. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +1 | 31.2 | 18.2 | 26.2 |
| 103. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | -3 | 31.0 | 21.9 | 29.4 |
| 104. | FIU Golden Panthers | -5 | 29.7 | 20.2 | 27.9 |
| 105. | Rice Owls | +1 | 29.3 | 19.7 | 28.3 |
| 106. | UTEP Miners | +2 | 29.1 | 19.4 | 27.9 |
| 107. | Colorado State Rams | -2 | 28.8 | 17.6 | 26.1 |
| 108. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | +5 | 27.2 | 17.5 | 26.8 |
| 109. | Buffalo Bulls | +3 | 27.0 | 17.8 | 27.5 |
| 110. | UNLV Rebels | -1 | 26.5 | 19.0 | 28.3 |
| 111. | Army Black Knights | -9 | 26.1 | 19.0 | 28.9 |
| 112. | UAB Blazers | -2 | 25.6 | 20.4 | 30.1 |
| 113. | New Mexico Lobos | -2 | 24.0 | 17.9 | 28.9 |
| 114. | Memphis Tigers | - | 23.1 | 18.8 | 29.8 |
| 115. | Tulane Green Wave | - | 22.2 | 17.4 | 28.3 |
| 116. | New Mexico State Aggies | +2 | 21.5 | 18.7 | 30.7 |
| 117. | Idaho Vandals | +2 | 20.2 | 17.2 | 29.9 |
| 118. | Texas State Bobcats | -1 | 20.2 | 17.2 | 30.0 |
| 119. | Hawaii Warriors | +1 | 19.0 | 15.4 | 29.1 |
| 120. | Akron Zips | +1 | 17.8 | 16.2 | 30.2 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +1 | 17.6 | 16.0 | 29.6 |
| 122. | Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | -6 | 17.1 | 18.4 | 31.6 |
| 123. | South Alabama Jaguars | +1 | 15.8 | 15.3 | 30.5 |
| 124. | Massachusetts Minutemen | -1 | 15.1 | 14.9 | 30.6 |
Jake Westrich is the digital content coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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