NCAA football Week 10 power rankings
2012 NCAA Football Features
College Football Week 10 Picks2012 College Football Season-To-Date
2012 NCAA Football Archives
NCAA Football SimMatchup
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 124 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 124 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 87.7 | 32.6 | 15.3 |
| 2. | Oregon Ducks | +1 | 81.7 | 32.2 | 18.5 |
| 3. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | +5 | 80.1 | 30.2 | 17.8 |
| 4. | USC Trojans | -2 | 79.4 | 34.1 | 21.7 |
| 5. | Kansas State Wildcats | +2 | 78.5 | 29.7 | 18.3 |
| 6. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +4 | 75.5 | 29.1 | 19.0 |
| 7. | Oklahoma Sooners | -2 | 75.2 | 30.7 | 20.1 |
| 8. | LSU Tigers | -2 | 75.2 | 27.0 | 16.8 |
| 9. | Florida State Seminoles | - | 74.9 | 28.5 | 18.8 |
| 10. | Texas Longhorns | +8 | 72.9 | 26.8 | 18.0 |
| 11. | Florida Gators | -7 | 72.6 | 25.5 | 16.9 |
| 12. | Clemson Tigers | -1 | 72.5 | 30.0 | 21.3 |
| 13. | Georgia Bulldogs | - | 72.3 | 27.9 | 19.1 |
| 14. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | - | 71.8 | 30.1 | 21.4 |
| 15. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | - | 70.3 | 30.8 | 22.5 |
| 16. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +1 | 68.9 | 28.4 | 20.9 |
| 17. | South Carolina Gamecocks | +2 | 68.5 | 24.5 | 17.8 |
| 18. | Louisville Cardinals | +3 | 67.6 | 27.4 | 20.5 |
| 19. | Texas A&M Aggies | +1 | 67.5 | 27.4 | 20.6 |
| 20. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +6 | 67.3 | 26.3 | 19.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -5 | 67.2 | 31.4 | 24.4 |
| 22. | Boise State Broncos | +3 | 67.1 | 28.9 | 22.4 |
| 23. | Oregon State Beavers | -1 | 66.8 | 27.4 | 21.1 |
| 24. | Stanford Cardinal | +3 | 65.3 | 26.1 | 20.3 |
| 25. | Arizona State Sun Devils | -2 | 65.2 | 27.1 | 21.8 |
| 26. | Tennessee Volunteers | +3 | 64.7 | 25.7 | 20.2 |
| 27. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +3 | 64.6 | 25.7 | 20.3 |
| 28. | North Carolina Tar Heels | - | 64.3 | 27.6 | 22.2 |
| 29. | Northwestern Wildcats | +4 | 63.4 | 27.5 | 22.4 |
| 30. | Michigan Wolverines | -18 | 63.3 | 25.8 | 20.3 |
| 31. | Washington Huskies | - | 62.4 | 27.3 | 22.8 |
| 32. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | +2 | 62.2 | 25.3 | 20.9 |
| 33. | Virginia Tech Hokies | +6 | 62.0 | 25.9 | 21.2 |
| 34. | Arizona Wildcats | +9 | 61.9 | 28.2 | 23.9 |
| 35. | Brigham Young Cougars | +3 | 61.6 | 25.6 | 21.0 |
| 36. | Michigan State Spartans | +4 | 60.9 | 24.4 | 20.0 |
| 37. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | - | 60.7 | 27.0 | 23.0 |
| 38. | Iowa State Cyclones | -3 | 60.6 | 26.7 | 22.1 |
| 39. | Mississippi Rebels | +18 | 60.3 | 25.7 | 21.4 |
| 40. | TCU Horned Frogs | -4 | 59.9 | 25.6 | 21.7 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Duke Blue Devils | +6 | 59.9 | 28.1 | 24.5 |
| 42. | Penn State Nittany Lions | - | 59.8 | 25.6 | 21.1 |
| 43. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +1 | 59.8 | 27.0 | 23.2 |
| 44. | UCLA Bruins | +6 | 59.5 | 24.8 | 21.3 |
| 45. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +3 | 58.2 | 25.7 | 22.5 |
| 46. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +3 | 58.0 | 23.2 | 20.0 |
| 47. | Wisconsin Badgers | -15 | 57.6 | 24.7 | 21.6 |
| 48. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +6 | 57.1 | 26.3 | 23.4 |
| 49. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +3 | 57.0 | 28.8 | 25.8 |
| 50. | Baylor Bears | -4 | 56.7 | 26.3 | 23.9 |
| 51. | California Golden Bears | -10 | 56.4 | 24.7 | 22.5 |
| 52. | Syracuse Orange | +8 | 55.7 | 25.6 | 23.3 |
| 53. | Cincinnati Bearcats | -29 | 55.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 |
| 54. | Missouri Tigers | +2 | 54.7 | 23.1 | 20.8 |
| 55. | Utah Utes | - | 53.8 | 22.9 | 21.2 |
| 56. | Washington State Cougars | +6 | 53.4 | 25.8 | 24.6 |
| 57. | Purdue Boilermakers | -6 | 53.1 | 24.4 | 22.6 |
| 58. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +1 | 53.0 | 26.3 | 25.2 |
| 59. | Toledo Rockets | +4 | 52.6 | 26.6 | 25.6 |
| 60. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +1 | 52.0 | 23.5 | 22.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Maryland Terrapins | -3 | 51.7 | 24.3 | 24.2 |
| 62. | UCF Knights | +3 | 51.2 | 25.3 | 24.3 |
| 63. | Ohio Bobcats | +1 | 50.7 | 24.3 | 23.8 |
| 64. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +2 | 50.2 | 23.6 | 23.4 |
| 65. | Connecticut Huskies | +2 | 50.0 | 21.3 | 21.4 |
| 66. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | -21 | 49.6 | 24.5 | 24.3 |
| 67. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +1 | 49.5 | 26.2 | 25.9 |
| 68. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | +3 | 49.4 | 26.0 | 26.5 |
| 69. | South Florida Bulls | -16 | 49.0 | 24.5 | 24.4 |
| 70. | Indiana Hoosiers | +7 | 48.9 | 23.9 | 24.8 |
| 71. | Temple Owls | -2 | 48.8 | 22.7 | 23.1 |
| 72. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +1 | 48.6 | 23.5 | 23.5 |
| 73. | Utah State Aggies | +3 | 48.4 | 24.5 | 25.3 |
| 74. | Virginia Cavaliers | -4 | 47.2 | 22.2 | 22.6 |
| 75. | San Diego State Aztecs | -3 | 46.6 | 24.7 | 25.4 |
| 76. | Kent State Golden Flashes | +8 | 46.0 | 21.0 | 22.5 |
| 77. | Ball State Cardinals | +2 | 45.9 | 24.3 | 26.2 |
| 78. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | +3 | 45.5 | 24.7 | 26.3 |
| 79. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -5 | 45.2 | 23.4 | 25.3 |
| 80. | Houston Cougars | - | 44.3 | 25.7 | 27.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | +5 | 43.7 | 23.9 | 26.5 |
| 82. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -7 | 43.1 | 23.5 | 26.8 |
| 83. | Kansas Jayhawks | -1 | 42.9 | 23.4 | 26.2 |
| 84. | Auburn Tigers | -6 | 42.7 | 20.3 | 22.9 |
| 85. | Western Michigan Broncos | -2 | 42.6 | 24.4 | 27.4 |
| 86. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +3 | 42.5 | 20.0 | 22.9 |
| 87. | Boston College Eagles | -2 | 42.2 | 22.2 | 25.1 |
| 88. | Air Force Falcons | +8 | 40.7 | 22.5 | 25.6 |
| 89. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +5 | 40.4 | 21.5 | 25.4 |
| 90. | Colorado Buffaloes | - | 40.2 | 22.1 | 25.4 |
| 91. | San Jose State Spartans | -4 | 39.8 | 24.4 | 28.3 |
| 92. | Navy Midshipmen | +1 | 39.7 | 21.9 | 25.4 |
| 93. | Kentucky Wildcats | -2 | 39.5 | 18.3 | 22.3 |
| 94. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | -6 | 39.4 | 24.0 | 28.0 |
| 95. | East Carolina Pirates | +2 | 39.4 | 23.0 | 26.7 |
| 96. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +2 | 38.1 | 22.0 | 26.6 |
| 97. | Bowling Green Falcons | -2 | 37.0 | 22.2 | 26.8 |
| 98. | Wyoming Cowboys | +1 | 35.8 | 21.4 | 26.8 |
| 99. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +1 | 34.4 | 22.6 | 27.9 |
| 100. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +2 | 31.8 | 18.6 | 25.7 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +2 | 31.3 | 22.4 | 29.7 |
| 102. | FIU Golden Panthers | +2 | 31.3 | 20.5 | 27.8 |
| 103. | North Texas Mean Green | -2 | 30.0 | 20.5 | 28.6 |
| 104. | Rice Owls | +1 | 29.4 | 20.3 | 28.6 |
| 105. | Tulane Green Wave | +10 | 28.4 | 19.2 | 27.6 |
| 106. | UTEP Miners | - | 28.3 | 19.7 | 28.2 |
| 107. | Troy Trojans | -15 | 28.2 | 21.6 | 30.5 |
| 108. | UNLV Rebels | +2 | 27.1 | 19.0 | 27.9 |
| 109. | Colorado State Rams | -2 | 26.5 | 17.4 | 25.9 |
| 110. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 26.0 | 19.0 | 28.9 |
| 111. | Buffalo Bulls | -2 | 25.9 | 17.4 | 27.1 |
| 112. | New Mexico Lobos | +1 | 25.1 | 18.6 | 28.9 |
| 113. | UAB Blazers | -1 | 22.5 | 18.7 | 30.4 |
| 114. | New Mexico State Aggies | +2 | 22.2 | 18.8 | 30.3 |
| 115. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | -7 | 21.1 | 16.0 | 27.5 |
| 116. | Memphis Tigers | -2 | 20.4 | 17.6 | 30.0 |
| 117. | Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | +5 | 20.2 | 19.3 | 31.5 |
| 118. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +3 | 20.1 | 17.1 | 29.5 |
| 119. | Idaho Vandals | -2 | 19.5 | 18.1 | 30.2 |
| 120. | Hawaii Warriors | -1 | 19.0 | 15.7 | 28.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | Akron Zips | -1 | 18.1 | 16.1 | 30.2 |
| 122. | Texas State Bobcats | -4 | 18.1 | 17.1 | 30.4 |
| 123. | South Alabama Jaguars | - | 15.7 | 15.4 | 30.6 |
| 124. | Massachusetts Minutemen | - | 14.1 | 15.3 | 30.8 |
Jake Westrich is the digital content coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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