2011 NFL Week 13 Picks and Predictions from WhatIfSports.com From WhatIfSports.com image

2011 NFL Week 13 Picks and Predictions

NFL Week 13 box scores and stats included

By Joel Beall and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
UPDATE: December 1st, 2011

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link. If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2011 NFL season.

Check out our 2011 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.

Gridiron Dynasty - College Football Game
<a href='http://msn.foxsports.com/video/NFL?vid=a14b847a-b43e-47f6-a93b-c93dda584e5d&videoId=a14b847a-b43e-47f6-a93b-c93dda584e5d&src=v5:embed::' target='_new' title='WhatIfSports: Week 13 NFL pick'>Video: WhatIfSports: Week 13 NFL pick</a>

Game of the Week: Falcons at Texans

We may finally have an answer to the adage, "What happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object?" Houston enters Week 13 with perhaps the most vaunted rushing attack in the league, flaunting the dynamic duo of Arian Foster and Ben Tate behind a robust offensive line. Opposing the Texans this Sunday will be the Atlanta Falcons, who boast a rush resistance that has suffocated and agitated adversaries throughout the fall. This clash of opposing ideologies serves as our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

With Foster and Tate serving as catalysts for the ground game, the Texans are second in the AFC in rushing, averaging 151.7 yards per game. Despite some injuries, as well as the delicate dance of distributing the workload between two elite rushers, the pair has combined for over 1,500 yards and 10 touchdowns this season.

Yet Sunday should prove their greatest litmus test to date, as injuries to Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart have vaulted tenderfoot T.J. Yates into the starting signal caller role. The inexperience under center has put an even greater emphasis on the Houston backfield. With little help expected from Yates and the aerial attack, Foster and Tate will undoubtedly be up against a formidable Falcon front intent on impeding their routes.

The Texans are aided by the arrival of All-Pro wideout Andre Johnson, who made his first appearance last week since October 2. Johnson, along with Owen Daniels, Kevin Walter and Jacoby Jones, will try to keep the Falcons honest on D.

Atlanta can sympathize with the Texans, as they know a thing or two about injured receivers. The Falcons parade their own recently-returned wideout in Julio Jones, who has been hampered with a hamstring injury since October 16. Jones initially made his comeback in Week 9, but re-tweaked the issue against New Orleans in early November. The presence of Jones disallows opposing defenses from concentrating their efforts on Roddy White (64 receptions, 830 yards, four touchdowns) and Tony Gonzalez (59 catches, 630 yards, seven touchdowns), and helps open up the rushing lane for Michael Turner (948 yards, eight touchdowns).

As aforementioned, Atlanta sports an impermeable rush unit that is surrendering 83.5 yards per game, second-lowest in the NFL. The Falcons rank in the middle of the pack in points allowed (20.6), but have kept opponents under 20 points in four of their past five games.

The Texans are no slouch themselves on defense, as Houston's 16.3 points allowed per contest ranks first in the AFC thanks to their revamped secondary. The arrival of Johnathan Joseph has transformed the Texans from one of the most porous passing units in pigskin (a league-high 267.5 yards per game in 2010) to the other side of that spectrum, relinquishing 175.8 yards per outing.

So who wins this Week 13 encounter? According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com simulation engine, the Texans come out on top 50.2 percent of the time by an average margin of 23-22. For the rest of this week's projections, check below:

Please note: The Colts/Patriots, Lions/Saints, Broncos/Vikimgs, Packers/Giants, Eagles/Seahawks and Chargers/Jaguars games were resimulated on 12/1 to account for injuries and roster updates.

NFL Week 13
MatchupWin%Avg Score
Indianapolis Colts 7.013Boxscore
@ New England Patriots93.032Simulate Game
St. Louis Rams20.813Boxscore
@ San Francisco 49ers79.224Simulate Game
Cincinnati Bengals29.217Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Steelers70.824Simulate Game
Detroit Lions43.024Boxscore
@ New Orleans Saints57.026Simulate Game
Denver Broncos46.617Boxscore
@ Minnesota Vikings53.418Simulate Game
Kansas City Chiefs48.121Boxscore
@ Chicago Bears51.923Simulate Game
Atlanta Falcons49.822Boxscore
@ Houston Texans50.223Simulate Game
Carolina Panthers56.225Boxscore
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers43.823Simulate Game
Oakland Raiders59.120Boxscore
@ Miami Dolphins40.917Simulate Game
Tennessee Titans62.122Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bills37.919Simulate Game
Green Bay Packers65.924Boxscore
@ New York Giants34.118Simulate Game
Dallas Cowboys66.927Boxscore
@ Arizona Cardinals33.120Simulate Game
Philadelphia Eagles68.524Boxscore
@ Seattle Seahawks31.517Simulate Game
San Diego Chargers69.625Boxscore
@ Jacksonville Jaguars30.417Simulate Game
New York Jets73.526Boxscore
@ Washington Redskins26.518Simulate Game
Baltimore Ravens80.424Boxscore
@ Cleveland Browns19.613Simulate Game

Joel Beall is the Assistant Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jbeall@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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