NCAA football week 9 power rankings
2011 NCAA Football Features
College Football Week 9 Picks2011 NCAA Football Season-To-Date
2011 NCAA Football Archives
NCAA Football SimMatchup
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 92.5 | 37.6 | 14.4 |
| 2. | Stanford Cardinal | - | 90.3 | 40.9 | 19.1 |
| 3. | Oregon Ducks | +4 | 89.4 | 40.2 | 20.0 |
| 4. | LSU Tigers | -1 | 89.2 | 36.2 | 15.6 |
| 5. | Boise State Broncos | - | 88.7 | 41.2 | 20.6 |
| 6. | Wisconsin Badgers | -2 | 86.9 | 37.3 | 18.0 |
| 7. | Oklahoma Sooners | -1 | 86.0 | 38.7 | 19.8 |
| 8. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | - | 83.1 | 39.9 | 23.8 |
| 9. | Arkansas Razorbacks | - | 81.9 | 34.8 | 20.2 |
| 10. | Michigan State Spartans | +6 | 81.3 | 35.5 | 20.6 |
| 11. | Clemson Tigers | +2 | 78.2 | 32.9 | 20.0 |
| 12. | TCU Horned Frogs | +2 | 77.2 | 34.4 | 21.8 |
| 13. | USC Trojans | +5 | 77.0 | 34.4 | 21.7 |
| 14. | Georgia Bulldogs | -3 | 76.7 | 33.7 | 21.3 |
| 15. | Florida State Seminoles | -3 | 76.0 | 33.2 | 21.0 |
| 16. | Texas A&M Aggies | -1 | 75.7 | 34.3 | 22.7 |
| 17. | Virginia Tech Hokies | - | 73.5 | 31.2 | 20.4 |
| 18. | Arizona State Sun Devils | +1 | 72.5 | 31.2 | 20.9 |
| 19. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +2 | 72.4 | 28.6 | 18.2 |
| 20. | South Carolina Gamecocks | - | 72.0 | 29.4 | 19.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -11 | 71.7 | 32.4 | 22.1 |
| 22. | Texas Longhorns | +3 | 69.6 | 29.1 | 20.6 |
| 23. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +1 | 68.9 | 29.8 | 21.4 |
| 24. | Auburn Tigers | +4 | 68.3 | 30.1 | 22.3 |
| 25. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +1 | 67.8 | 29.9 | 21.9 |
| 26. | Missouri Tigers | +6 | 67.2 | 28.3 | 20.9 |
| 27. | Florida Gators | -4 | 67.0 | 26.8 | 19.5 |
| 28. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1 | 66.7 | 26.5 | 19.2 |
| 29. | Kansas State Wildcats | +16 | 65.3 | 30.5 | 23.6 |
| 30. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +4 | 65.3 | 26.6 | 20.0 |
| 31. | Baylor Bears | -1 | 65.2 | 32.6 | 26.3 |
| 32. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -10 | 64.8 | 29.5 | 22.4 |
| 33. | Iowa Hawkeyes | - | 64.2 | 28.3 | 21.9 |
| 34. | Washington Huskies | -3 | 64.1 | 29.6 | 23.6 |
| 35. | Syracuse Orange | +13 | 63.8 | 29.2 | 23.0 |
| 36. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +11 | 63.4 | 32.3 | 25.9 |
| 37. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +2 | 63.2 | 27.1 | 21.1 |
| 38. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +4 | 62.8 | 31.3 | 26.0 |
| 39. | Arizona Wildcats | -4 | 62.8 | 28.5 | 23.3 |
| 40. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +1 | 62.2 | 26.8 | 21.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | California Golden Bears | +3 | 61.8 | 25.9 | 20.7 |
| 42. | Michigan Wolverines | -4 | 60.9 | 30.6 | 25.4 |
| 43. | Tennessee Volunteers | -3 | 60.8 | 26.9 | 22.0 |
| 44. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -8 | 60.8 | 28.1 | 23.0 |
| 45. | South Florida Bulls | -2 | 59.7 | 27.8 | 23.6 |
| 46. | Illinois Fighting Illini | - | 57.6 | 27.3 | 24.1 |
| 47. | Houston Cougars | +13 | 57.2 | 34.0 | 31.2 |
| 48. | San Diego State Aztecs | +3 | 57.2 | 27.9 | 24.9 |
| 49. | Utah Utes | -12 | 56.5 | 27.1 | 24.4 |
| 50. | Toledo Rockets | +9 | 56.3 | 29.1 | 26.7 |
| 51. | Oregon State Beavers | +6 | 55.7 | 26.3 | 24.0 |
| 52. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +3 | 55.3 | 30.2 | 28.0 |
| 53. | Maryland Terrapins | -3 | 54.4 | 25.5 | 23.8 |
| 54. | Brigham Young Cougars | -2 | 54.2 | 27.1 | 25.0 |
| 55. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | -2 | 54.0 | 28.0 | 26.3 |
| 56. | UCF Knights | -7 | 53.8 | 29.2 | 27.4 |
| 57. | Northwestern Wildcats | +4 | 52.7 | 26.9 | 25.8 |
| 58. | UCLA Bruins | - | 51.7 | 26.4 | 25.2 |
| 59. | Hawaii Warriors | -3 | 51.4 | 30.4 | 29.9 |
| 60. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +2 | 51.4 | 30.4 | 29.7 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Purdue Boilermakers | +3 | 50.3 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| 62. | Air Force Falcons | +3 | 49.8 | 24.6 | 24.3 |
| 63. | Boston College Eagles | - | 49.8 | 23.7 | 23.5 |
| 64. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +3 | 48.8 | 30.4 | 31.3 |
| 65. | Temple Owls | -11 | 48.2 | 24.1 | 24.9 |
| 66. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +5 | 48.0 | 26.7 | 27.5 |
| 67. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | -38 | 47.6 | 27.8 | 28.6 |
| 68. | East Carolina Pirates | +12 | 47.1 | 28.4 | 29.6 |
| 69. | Mississippi Rebels | +5 | 47.0 | 26.3 | 27.8 |
| 70. | Louisville Cardinals | +2 | 46.9 | 23.3 | 23.9 |
| 71. | Navy Midshipmen | -5 | 46.8 | 25.2 | 26.8 |
| 72. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -2 | 46.4 | 23.2 | 24.4 |
| 73. | Connecticut Huskies | -4 | 46.2 | 22.7 | 24.5 |
| 74. | Virginia Cavaliers | +1 | 45.3 | 23.3 | 25.3 |
| 75. | Kentucky Wildcats | -2 | 44.5 | 22.2 | 23.9 |
| 76. | Duke Blue Devils | +1 | 44.4 | 26.2 | 28.5 |
| 77. | Ohio Bobcats | +2 | 43.4 | 23.4 | 26.4 |
| 78. | Colorado Buffaloes | -10 | 43.2 | 25.1 | 28.0 |
| 79. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -3 | 40.7 | 25.4 | 29.4 |
| 80. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +1 | 40.5 | 21.2 | 24.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +4 | 38.5 | 24.5 | 29.0 |
| 82. | Iowa State Cyclones | +4 | 37.9 | 21.9 | 27.0 |
| 83. | Washington State Cougars | +1 | 37.9 | 25.3 | 30.5 |
| 84. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -1 | 37.9 | 25.2 | 30.3 |
| 85. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | +3 | 34.7 | 24.1 | 30.8 |
| 86. | FIU Golden Panthers | -4 | 34.6 | 23.5 | 29.9 |
| 87. | Central Michigan Chippewas | - | 33.2 | 22.7 | 29.4 |
| 88. | Kansas Jayhawks | +12 | 31.1 | 22.8 | 31.4 |
| 89. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +3 | 31.0 | 20.5 | 29.5 |
| 90. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | +4 | 30.2 | 21.8 | 31.0 |
| 91. | Army Black Knights | -2 | 29.9 | 19.5 | 28.2 |
| 92. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +7 | 29.7 | 20.1 | 29.2 |
| 93. | Western Michigan Broncos | -15 | 29.2 | 21.7 | 31.1 |
| 94. | Utah State Aggies | +4 | 29.2 | 21.4 | 31.3 |
| 95. | Kent State Golden Flashes | - | 29.1 | 17.8 | 26.6 |
| 96. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -3 | 28.9 | 21.4 | 30.3 |
| 97. | Tulane Green Wave | -7 | 28.8 | 21.7 | 30.6 |
| 98. | Troy Trojans | -7 | 28.7 | 21.4 | 30.8 |
| 99. | Bowling Green Falcons | +6 | 28.5 | 20.1 | 30.1 |
| 100. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -4 | 28.4 | 19.6 | 29.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Indiana Hoosiers | -4 | 26.8 | 21.9 | 32.3 |
| 102. | UAB Blazers | +8 | 25.9 | 21.9 | 33.0 |
| 103. | North Texas Mean Green | +4 | 25.9 | 21.1 | 32.4 |
| 104. | UTEP Miners | -1 | 24.5 | 18.8 | 30.4 |
| 105. | Colorado State Rams | -3 | 24.1 | 19.7 | 31.5 |
| 106. | Rice Owls | -5 | 23.9 | 21.8 | 33.6 |
| 107. | Buffalo Bulls | -1 | 23.8 | 18.0 | 29.5 |
| 108. | Wyoming Cowboys | - | 23.4 | 17.4 | 29.6 |
| 109. | Ball State Cardinals | +2 | 23.3 | 18.9 | 31.6 |
| 110. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | -1 | 23.0 | 17.3 | 29.6 |
| 111. | San Jose State Spartans | -7 | 21.9 | 18.8 | 32.2 |
| 112. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +1 | 20.5 | 20.1 | 33.5 |
| 113. | Idaho Vandals | -1 | 18.2 | 17.1 | 32.7 |
| 114. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | +3 | 17.1 | 16.4 | 32.6 |
| 115. | New Mexico State Aggies | -1 | 12.3 | 15.3 | 35.1 |
| 116. | Akron Zips | - | 10.6 | 13.2 | 34.9 |
| 117. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -2 | 10.2 | 13.3 | 35.7 |
| 118. | Memphis Tigers | +2 | 8.7 | 12.3 | 35.2 |
| 119. | UNLV Rebels | -1 | 8.5 | 13.3 | 35.4 |
| 120. | New Mexico Lobos | -1 | 6.5 | 12.0 | 36.5 |
Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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