Oklahoma State Falls Short of BCS Title Game

Final 2011 NCAA football power rankings

By Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com

Dec. 5, 2011

2011 NCAA Football Features

College Football Week 15 Picks
2011 NCAA Football Season-To-Date
2011 NCAA Football Archives
NCAA Football SimMatchup
Create Your College Football Dream Team

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	LSU Tigers	-	91.2	37.1	14.9
2.	Alabama Crimson Tide	+2	88.1	34.6	15.4
3.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+7	87.7	38.9	21.2
4.	Boise State Broncos	-1	86.1	39.2	21.5
5.	Wisconsin Badgers	-3	86.0	37.5	20.1
6.	Stanford Cardinal	+1	85.4	38.6	21.1
7.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+1	84.1	36.8	20.1
8.	USC Trojans	-3	84.0	36.8	20.9
9.	Oregon Ducks	-3	81.9	35.7	20.3
10.	TCU Horned Frogs	+1	81.0	35.7	21.9
11.	Oklahoma Sooners	-2	78.8	34.8	22.0
12.	Michigan State Spartans	+1	77.4	33.0	21.0
13.	South Carolina Gamecocks	+1	76.7	30.5	18.2
14.	Georgia Bulldogs	-2	75.4	31.4	20.4
15.	Clemson Tigers	+5	74.7	30.9	20.8
16.	West Virginia Mountaineers	+1	74.7	32.8	22.1
17.	Baylor Bears	+7	73.4	35.3	25.3
18.	Florida State Seminoles	-3	72.6	31.0	20.8
19.	Michigan Wolverines	-1	72.6	31.3	21.6
20.	Missouri Tigers	+2	69.5	29.9	21.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-	69.3	27.8	19.2
22.	Kansas State Wildcats	+4	69.2	31.7	23.0
23.	Texas A&M Aggies	-	69.1	31.0	23.2
24.	Houston Cougars	-5	68.6	37.0	29.5
25.	Texas Longhorns	+3	67.8	27.3	19.8
26.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-1	67.8	27.5	19.9
27.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-11	67.6	29.0	21.4
28.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+1	66.2	28.5	21.7
29.	Penn State Nittany Lions	-2	65.8	26.5	20.0
30.	Florida Gators	+1	65.1	25.5	18.9
31.	Auburn Tigers	-1	64.8	28.9	22.8
32.	Arizona State Sun Devils	+1	64.3	29.2	23.3
33.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+3	64.0	28.0	22.6
34.	California Golden Bears	-2	62.6	26.5	20.9
35.	Iowa Hawkeyes	-	62.0	27.3	22.0
36.	Purdue Boilermakers	+2	61.6	27.8	23.4
37.	UCLA Bruins	-3	60.7	30.0	24.9
38.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-1	60.5	26.6	21.8
39.	Louisville Cardinals	+4	60.1	27.3	23.1
40.	Utah Utes	+2	59.5	27.2	24.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Washington Huskies	-	58.4	27.9	24.9
42.	North Carolina Tar Heels	+3	58.0	27.0	23.3
43.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	+10	57.7	31.0	27.7
44.	Boston College Eagles	-5	57.2	26.2	22.5
45.	Oregon State Beavers	+9	56.8	27.8	24.5
46.	Brigham Young Cougars	-2	56.3	27.4	24.3
47.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+5	56.2	29.3	26.8
48.	Northwestern Wildcats	-1	55.9	27.6	24.7
49.	Ohio State Buckeyes	+2	55.6	22.4	20.3
50.	Toledo Rockets	-2	55.6	29.4	27.0
51.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-1	55.1	32.3	30.2
52.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-6	55.1	25.5	23.1
53.	Northern Illinois Huskies	-13	54.4	29.5	27.3
54.	Virginia Cavaliers	-5	54.0	26.3	24.2
55.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	+3	53.6	25.0	23.8
56.	Arizona Wildcats	+6	53.5	27.4	26.1
57.	Iowa State Cyclones	-2	53.3	26.2	24.5
58.	Tennessee Volunteers	-1	52.6	24.4	23.1
59.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-3	52.6	26.0	24.8
60.	Connecticut Huskies	+1	51.9	23.9	23.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+5	51.6	23.7	22.8
62.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-3	51.1	24.5	23.8
63.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+1	50.1	23.9	24.1
64.	Syracuse Orange	+4	49.5	24.3	24.8
65.	San Diego State Aztecs	-5	49.0	25.9	26.2
66.	Washington State Cougars	-3	49.0	26.4	26.7
67.	South Florida Bulls	-2	48.5	23.9	24.4
68.	Kentucky Wildcats	-1	48.3	22.4	23.1
69.	Duke Blue Devils	+3	48.0	26.7	28.0
70.	Temple Owls	-	47.3	24.7	25.7
71.	Maryland Terrapins	-2	46.8	23.4	24.9
72.	Ohio Bobcats	-1	46.2	25.3	26.5
73.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+1	45.0	24.8	27.0
74.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-1	44.5	26.4	28.2
75.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-	43.0	25.6	28.3
76.	Colorado Buffaloes	+2	40.3	23.4	27.0
77.	Air Force Falcons	-	40.0	22.5	26.1
78.	Navy Midshipmen	-2	40.0	23.2	26.7
79.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+2	39.3	22.9	27.5
80.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	+4	39.2	24.2	28.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	UCF Knights	+1	38.9	24.0	28.4
82.	Western Michigan Broncos	-2	38.3	25.1	29.5
83.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	-	37.2	23.3	28.6
84.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	-5	36.9	24.0	29.3
85.	Mississippi Rebels	-	36.0	21.7	27.8
86.	Wyoming Cowboys	+1	35.7	22.3	28.0
87.	East Carolina Pirates	+5	34.8	23.0	29.5
88.	FIU Golden Panthers	+5	34.2	21.9	29.1
89.	Army Black Knights	+2	33.3	19.7	27.0
90.	Rice Owls	+8	33.0	23.6	31.5
91.	Kent State Golden Flashes	-2	32.8	18.4	25.5
92.	North Texas Mean Green	+4	32.1	23.8	31.7
93.	Central Michigan Chippewas	-5	31.8	21.2	29.2
94.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	-4	31.6	20.2	27.7
95.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-9	30.9	21.9	29.6
96.	Utah State Aggies	-2	30.8	22.3	30.8
97.	Ball State Cardinals	+6	30.7	21.8	30.3
98.	Kansas Jayhawks	+3	30.4	22.6	31.6
99.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-4	30.0	22.1	30.5
100.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-1	30.0	20.3	28.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Indiana Hoosiers	-1	29.7	22.6	31.0
102.	Bowling Green Falcons	-5	29.4	20.5	29.2
103.	UAB Blazers	+3	28.7	23.2	32.8
104.	UTEP Miners	-	27.5	19.4	29.0
105.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	+2	26.9	19.8	30.2
106.	Troy Trojans	-1	25.9	20.2	31.0
107.	San Jose State Spartans	+1	24.9	20.1	31.8
108.	Buffalo Bulls	+4	22.5	17.6	29.7
109.	Tulane Green Wave	+1	22.1	18.8	31.4
110.	Colorado State Rams	+1	22.1	19.1	31.4
111.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	-9	21.7	17.5	30.9
112.	Hawaii Warriors	-3	21.2	19.4	31.7
113.	Idaho Vandals	-	19.9	17.8	31.3
114.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	-	18.3	16.7	31.9
115.	New Mexico State Aggies	-	16.0	17.9	33.8
116.	Florida Atlantic Owls	+2	12.5	15.5	34.7
117.	UNLV Rebels	-	11.8	14.3	34.5
118.	Memphis Tigers	-2	11.4	14.5	34.3
119.	Akron Zips	-	9.8	13.5	34.3
120.	New Mexico Lobos	-	9.3	13.4	35.2

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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