NCAA football week 14 power rankings
2011 NCAA Football Features
College Football Week 14 Picks2011 NCAA Football Season-To-Date
2011 NCAA Football Archives
NCAA Football SimMatchup
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LSU Tigers | - | 90.8 | 36.4 | 15.0 |
| 2. | Wisconsin Badgers | +1 | 88.4 | 37.1 | 18.1 |
| 3. | Boise State Broncos | -1 | 86.9 | 40.0 | 21.7 |
| 4. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 86.7 | 34.6 | 15.5 |
| 5. | USC Trojans | +1 | 85.3 | 37.4 | 20.4 |
| 6. | Oregon Ducks | +1 | 85.0 | 35.8 | 19.5 |
| 7. | Stanford Cardinal | -2 | 84.9 | 38.7 | 21.4 |
| 8. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +1 | 84.6 | 36.6 | 20.5 |
| 9. | Oklahoma Sooners | -1 | 84.1 | 36.2 | 20.3 |
| 10. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | - | 81.2 | 37.8 | 23.0 |
| 11. | TCU Horned Frogs | +1 | 80.1 | 35.8 | 22.1 |
| 12. | Georgia Bulldogs | -1 | 80.0 | 34.1 | 19.8 |
| 13. | Michigan State Spartans | - | 76.3 | 33.6 | 20.9 |
| 14. | South Carolina Gamecocks | - | 76.0 | 30.4 | 18.8 |
| 15. | Florida State Seminoles | +3 | 74.3 | 30.9 | 20.8 |
| 16. | Virginia Tech Hokies | +1 | 74.3 | 30.8 | 20.1 |
| 17. | West Virginia Mountaineers | +2 | 72.2 | 32.4 | 22.4 |
| 18. | Michigan Wolverines | +2 | 72.1 | 31.6 | 22.2 |
| 19. | Houston Cougars | +9 | 70.4 | 36.9 | 28.3 |
| 20. | Clemson Tigers | -5 | 70.0 | 30.4 | 21.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +6 | 69.4 | 27.8 | 19.6 |
| 22. | Missouri Tigers | - | 69.0 | 29.6 | 21.7 |
| 23. | Texas A&M Aggies | -7 | 68.7 | 31.2 | 23.0 |
| 24. | Baylor Bears | +1 | 68.5 | 34.9 | 26.9 |
| 25. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +5 | 67.4 | 27.1 | 20.1 |
| 26. | Kansas State Wildcats | - | 67.3 | 31.5 | 23.6 |
| 27. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +5 | 67.0 | 27.2 | 20.1 |
| 28. | Texas Longhorns | +5 | 65.9 | 27.4 | 20.4 |
| 29. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -6 | 65.9 | 28.4 | 21.8 |
| 30. | Auburn Tigers | -1 | 65.8 | 28.8 | 22.8 |
| 31. | Florida Gators | -10 | 65.1 | 25.6 | 19.1 |
| 32. | California Golden Bears | +9 | 64.5 | 26.7 | 20.9 |
| 33. | Arizona State Sun Devils | +2 | 63.1 | 28.4 | 23.0 |
| 34. | UCLA Bruins | - | 62.9 | 30.0 | 25.3 |
| 35. | Iowa Hawkeyes | -4 | 62.8 | 27.5 | 22.1 |
| 36. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -12 | 62.7 | 27.8 | 22.4 |
| 37. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +1 | 61.3 | 26.4 | 21.9 |
| 38. | Purdue Boilermakers | +2 | 61.1 | 27.8 | 23.2 |
| 39. | Boston College Eagles | +17 | 59.2 | 25.9 | 22.4 |
| 40. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +6 | 58.8 | 30.4 | 27.0 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Washington Huskies | +24 | 58.8 | 27.9 | 24.8 |
| 42. | Utah Utes | -6 | 58.4 | 27.1 | 23.7 |
| 43. | Louisville Cardinals | -1 | 58.2 | 26.7 | 23.3 |
| 44. | Brigham Young Cougars | +3 | 57.5 | 27.9 | 24.5 |
| 45. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -1 | 57.3 | 26.5 | 23.0 |
| 46. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +5 | 56.6 | 25.9 | 23.2 |
| 47. | Northwestern Wildcats | +1 | 56.3 | 27.2 | 24.7 |
| 48. | Toledo Rockets | +6 | 55.8 | 29.2 | 26.7 |
| 49. | Virginia Cavaliers | -12 | 55.7 | 26.5 | 24.6 |
| 50. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -11 | 54.8 | 32.3 | 30.2 |
| 51. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +4 | 54.7 | 22.9 | 20.7 |
| 52. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -3 | 54.7 | 29.0 | 27.2 |
| 53. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +6 | 54.6 | 30.9 | 29.2 |
| 54. | Oregon State Beavers | -4 | 54.1 | 27.3 | 25.4 |
| 55. | Iowa State Cyclones | +2 | 54.1 | 26.3 | 24.8 |
| 56. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +15 | 53.0 | 25.8 | 25.0 |
| 57. | Tennessee Volunteers | -14 | 52.4 | 24.0 | 23.8 |
| 58. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | +4 | 52.3 | 24.9 | 23.7 |
| 59. | Illinois Fighting Illini | -14 | 51.8 | 24.4 | 23.8 |
| 60. | San Diego State Aztecs | +6 | 51.3 | 26.3 | 25.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Connecticut Huskies | +2 | 50.9 | 24.1 | 23.9 |
| 62. | Arizona Wildcats | -10 | 50.7 | 26.8 | 26.3 |
| 63. | Washington State Cougars | +4 | 50.0 | 26.5 | 26.9 |
| 64. | Vanderbilt Commodores | -4 | 49.7 | 23.8 | 23.6 |
| 65. | South Florida Bulls | -7 | 49.5 | 24.4 | 24.3 |
| 66. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -2 | 49.0 | 22.9 | 23.4 |
| 67. | Kentucky Wildcats | +3 | 47.7 | 22.6 | 23.5 |
| 68. | Syracuse Orange | -15 | 47.2 | 24.4 | 24.8 |
| 69. | Maryland Terrapins | -1 | 47.0 | 23.4 | 24.6 |
| 70. | Temple Owls | +3 | 46.6 | 24.6 | 25.8 |
| 71. | Ohio Bobcats | +1 | 46.1 | 25.2 | 26.7 |
| 72. | Duke Blue Devils | +2 | 45.9 | 26.5 | 28.2 |
| 73. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +2 | 45.3 | 26.6 | 28.3 |
| 74. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | -13 | 44.8 | 24.8 | 27.5 |
| 75. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -6 | 44.7 | 25.8 | 28.4 |
| 76. | Navy Midshipmen | - | 43.4 | 23.5 | 26.5 |
| 77. | Air Force Falcons | - | 42.1 | 22.9 | 25.5 |
| 78. | Colorado Buffaloes | +7 | 41.3 | 23.6 | 27.0 |
| 79. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | +5 | 38.3 | 24.1 | 29.2 |
| 80. | Western Michigan Broncos | -2 | 37.9 | 25.1 | 30.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +9 | 37.7 | 22.8 | 28.0 |
| 82. | UCF Knights | -2 | 37.7 | 23.8 | 28.7 |
| 83. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | - | 36.5 | 22.9 | 28.7 |
| 84. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | -5 | 36.4 | 24.2 | 29.1 |
| 85. | Mississippi Rebels | +1 | 35.9 | 21.8 | 27.9 |
| 86. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +17 | 34.5 | 22.0 | 29.3 |
| 87. | Wyoming Cowboys | - | 34.1 | 21.4 | 28.6 |
| 88. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +1 | 33.8 | 21.5 | 28.8 |
| 89. | Kent State Golden Flashes | +2 | 33.4 | 18.3 | 25.9 |
| 90. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +11 | 33.2 | 20.5 | 27.5 |
| 91. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 33.2 | 19.9 | 27.0 |
| 92. | East Carolina Pirates | -11 | 33.0 | 23.2 | 29.6 |
| 93. | FIU Golden Panthers | +11 | 32.4 | 21.6 | 28.9 |
| 94. | Utah State Aggies | +8 | 31.6 | 22.5 | 30.6 |
| 95. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -13 | 31.3 | 22.4 | 30.2 |
| 96. | North Texas Mean Green | -3 | 31.3 | 23.6 | 31.9 |
| 97. | Bowling Green Falcons | +3 | 31.0 | 20.8 | 29.2 |
| 98. | Rice Owls | -10 | 30.9 | 23.0 | 31.1 |
| 99. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -5 | 30.6 | 20.7 | 28.9 |
| 100. | Indiana Hoosiers | -1 | 29.9 | 22.8 | 31.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Kansas Jayhawks | -4 | 29.9 | 22.8 | 31.5 |
| 102. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +3 | 28.8 | 19.8 | 29.2 |
| 103. | Ball State Cardinals | -8 | 28.7 | 21.8 | 30.6 |
| 104. | UTEP Miners | +2 | 27.0 | 19.1 | 29.1 |
| 105. | Troy Trojans | -9 | 26.5 | 20.7 | 30.6 |
| 106. | UAB Blazers | -8 | 25.8 | 22.8 | 33.1 |
| 107. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | - | 25.3 | 19.7 | 30.1 |
| 108. | San Jose State Spartans | +5 | 23.6 | 19.9 | 31.3 |
| 109. | Hawaii Warriors | -1 | 23.0 | 19.6 | 31.7 |
| 110. | Tulane Green Wave | - | 21.8 | 18.9 | 31.4 |
| 111. | Colorado State Rams | +1 | 21.7 | 18.5 | 31.2 |
| 112. | Buffalo Bulls | -3 | 21.4 | 17.9 | 29.9 |
| 113. | Idaho Vandals | -2 | 20.8 | 18.3 | 31.4 |
| 114. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | - | 17.3 | 16.9 | 32.1 |
| 115. | New Mexico State Aggies | - | 16.7 | 18.1 | 34.2 |
| 116. | Memphis Tigers | +2 | 11.5 | 14.7 | 34.2 |
| 117. | UNLV Rebels | -1 | 10.8 | 14.2 | 34.2 |
| 118. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +1 | 10.2 | 15.2 | 35.2 |
| 119. | Akron Zips | -2 | 9.7 | 13.3 | 33.9 |
| 120. | New Mexico Lobos | - | 9.7 | 13.2 | 35.3 |
Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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