NCAA College Football Week 9 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 9 Picks and Predictions

Week 9 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler - WhatIfSports.com
Update: October 26th, 2010

Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Games of the Week: Missouri vs Nebraska

You never forget your first time.

It took Gary Pinkel seven games, but the Missouri (7-0) head coach can rest easier knowing he's beaten Oklahoma.

However, Pinkel's celebration siesta should have quickly turned cat nap with Nebraska lurking in the shadows six days from now.

The Tigers' upset win over top ranked OU can be parlayed into a Big 12 haymaker if their defense can travel to Lincoln and slow down Taylor Martinez and the Cornhuskers.

Nebraska's quarterback is coming off a five touchdown performance against Oklahoma State where he passed for 323 yards and rushed for 112. To be fair, the Cowboys' defense (ranked 89th in points allowed) is far more sparse then the dense defense of Mizzou.

This Black and Gold resistance was apparent when, trailing by one heading into the fourth quarter, the Tigers' defense literally shut down Sooners' quarterback Landry Jones. The trigger for Bob Stoops was forgetting to turn the safety off, failing to throw a completion (0-7) in the last quarter, while getting picked off once.

On the flip side, sneaky good Missouri quarterback Blaine Gabbert was eight-of-nine passing with a touchdown in the fourth to help cap off a 16-six run to end the game.

Nebraska and Missouri are two different styles on offense. Although the Huskers went to the air against Oklahoma State, they are primarily a rushing team propelled by the legs of Martinez. As a team, Nebraska is fifth in the nation in rushing yards per game (290.0), while 100th in passing yards per game (169.1); once again proving last week's air assault was a statistical anomaly.

Time to bust open the cliche pinata (what's with all the Spanish undertones to this article?). Whichever defense blinks first is where the other team will gain an advantage. The Tigers' defense is still fifth in the nation in points-allowed even after allowing Oklahoma to rack up 26 on them last Saturday. Nebraska fell to 17th in points allowed with the Cowboys' 41-point performance.

The Tigers' 17th-ranked rush defense will need to contain Martinez on the ground, while the Huskers' third-ranked pass defense will be in charge of keeping Gabbert in check.

Using our college football simulation engine, we simulated this game 101 times and the Missouri Tigers win 63.4-percent of the time by an average score of 25-23.

Please Note: The Oklahoma State and Penn State games have been re-simulated on 10/28/10.

College Football Week 9
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
William & Mary Tribe 5.05Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels95.052 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons40.623Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins59.429 
Clemson Tigers67.328Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles32.725 
Florida State Seminoles71.338Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack28.733 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes89.131Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers10.917 
Louisville Cardinals20.819Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers79.233 
Syracuse Orange26.723Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats73.330 
West Virginia Mountaineers64.427Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies35.623 
Michigan State Spartans29.725Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes70.335 
Michigan Wolverines31.724Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions68.331 
Purdue Boilermakers47.524Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini52.525 
Northwestern Wildcats74.332Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers25.727 
Ohio State Buckeyes95.043Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers 5.08 
Akron Zips 5.011Boxscore
@ Temple Owls95.040 
Bowling Green Falcons 8.912Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas91.130 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns16.815Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats83.232 
Ball State Cardinals18.813Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes81.227 
Miami (OH) RedHawks21.816Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls78.228 
Toledo Rockets89.134Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles10.916 
Northern Illinois Huskies93.134Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos 6.915 
Washington State Cougars 9.918Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils90.137 
California Golden Bears66.328Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers33.726 
Oregon Ducks87.136Boxscore
@ USC Trojans12.920 
Stanford Cardinal92.144Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies 7.928 
Arizona Wildcats94.133Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins 5.915 
Vanderbilt Commodores 5.016Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks95.048 
Tennessee Volunteers 9.916Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks90.136 
Kentucky Wildcats35.624Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs64.431 
Georgia Bulldogs46.524Boxscore
@ Florida Gators53.527 
Auburn Tigers83.237Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels16.826 
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 5.019Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos95.047 
Utah State Aggies20.828Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack79.241 
Idaho Vandals32.732Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors67.339 
San Jose State Spartans78.225Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies21.815 
Virginia Military Keydets 5.07Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights95.038 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane13.923Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish86.139 
North Texas Mean Green58.423Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers41.622 
Duke Blue Devils62.424Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen37.623 
Colorado Buffaloes 5.016Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners95.038 
Kansas Jayhawks28.720Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones71.330 
Baylor Bears32.724Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns67.331 
Texas Tech Red Raiders35.628Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies64.435 
Missouri Tigers63.425Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers36.623 
Oklahoma State Cowboys86.137Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats13.922 
UAB Blazers12.929Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles87.145 
East Carolina Pirates21.823Boxscore
@ UCF Knights78.235 
Southern Methodist Mustangs74.333Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave25.724 
UTEP Miners76.231Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd23.823 
Houston Cougars95.043Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers 5.019 
New Mexico Lobos19.815Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams80.227 
San Diego State Aztecs87.129Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys12.915 
Utah Utes95.038Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons 5.017 
TCU Horned Frogs95.052Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels 5.08 
Florida International Golden Panthers33.724Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls66.331 
Troy Trojans67.332Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks32.727 

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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