NCAA College Football Army vs Navy Prediction From WhatIfSports.com image

Salute Army's and Navy's Ground Assault

Midshipman sink their rival in the 111th meeting

By Ryan Fowler - WhatIfSports.com
December 6th, 2010

Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Army vs Navy

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=f7063fae-7fb9-44d8-88d4-92967fea4d23" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports: Game of the week</a>

If Paul Revere were a defensive coordinator for Army or Navy in 2010, he would only need the one lantern.

Despite the Midshipmenís amphibious reputation, they (along with the Black Knights) rely heavily on their sea legs as their offensive preference is a constant ground attack. Itís a shared strategic philosophy that has led to winning records, bowl bids and two rush offenses ranked in the top ten.

Now, in the 111th meeting, Navy and Army will send their explosive rushing attacks on to the same field and see which defense breaks first.

The Black Knights enter the game with no interest in throwing the rock. Army ranks dead last, 120th, in the FBS in passing yards per game (77.9). Although heís not as dynamic as Navyís quarterback, Ricky Dobbs, Army QB Trent Steelman leads the team in carries, is second on the team in rushing (620 yds) and first in rushing touchdowns (11).

Army is so anti-air assault; the team hasnít passed more than 16 times in a game all season. They have rushed 50 times or more in nine of their eleven games including 66 times in a week four win against Duke.

Navy, and their triple-option offense led by Dobbs, has gone to the air more often with their season high (27 attempts) coming against the same Blue Devils in week eight. However, a week earlier versus Notre Dame, Dobbs threw the ball twice, total. Then there was the week nine invasion of East Carolina where the Midshipmen ran for 521 yards and eight (8!) touchdowns. You would think the Pirates of all teams would have seen it coming.

If the Navy senior class can manage to extend their series-record eight game winning streak to nine on Saturday, they would match the 36-win mark set last by the class of 1909.

Win or lose, Armyís six wins qualify them for a post-season bowl for the first time since 1996. Winning the turnover battle has led to most of Armyís success in 2010. The Black Knights are fifth in the country in turnover margin (+1.20) and have outscored opponents 104-24 in points off turnovers.

Using our college football simulation engine, we played Army versus Navy 101 times and the Midshipmen won 71.8-percent of the time by an average score of 28-18.

Navy won it by land.

December Madness returns for its 7th season! First round results released Thursday, December 9th!

College Football Week 15
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Army Black Knights28.218Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen71.828 

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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