NCAA College Football Week 14 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

Don't Get Cocky: Auburn vs South Carolina

Week 14 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Joel Beall - WhatIfSports.com
November 29th, 2010

Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

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<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=ad438363-8887-4423-959a-8416db43ead2" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports: Game of the week</a>

Game of the Week: South Carolina vs Auburn - SEC Championship

Steve Spurrier and South Carolina look to spoil Auburn’s pursuit of perfection in this year’s SEC Championship Game in Atlanta. While the conference title is on the line, the automatic SEC BCS bid is a secondary storyline for the Tigers, as a win guarantees an appearance in the National Championship.

These two squads have already battled in 2010, as Auburn survived a September 25 showdown with a 35-27 victory thanks to Cam Newton’s five-touchdown performance. Yet this encounter was fought in the Auburn-friendly confines of Jordan-Hare Stadium, giving USC fans hope that the neutralized Georgia Dome aids in an alternative outcome.

For Auburn, the offensive assault is fueled by Heisman-hopeful Newton, who has registered 43 touchdowns on the season. The Tigers boast one of the nation’s most relentless rushing attacks with the triple-headed monster of Newton (1,336 rushing yards and 18 TDs), Michael Dyer (886 yards and 5 TDs), and Onterio McCalebb (733 yards with a 8.5 rush attempt) averaging 291.3 yards on the ground per game. This blitzkrieg has equated to the Tigers lighting up the scoreboard to the tune of 41.6 points per contest.

But despite this offensive explosion the Tigers are far from flawless. The Auburn defense has been relatively pedestrian, surrendering 25.1 points per game. This defensive deficiency has correlated into numerous close-calls for the Tigers as six games have been decided by seven points or less. Auburn does have one of the most dominant and disruptive defenders in college football in DT Nick Fairley, who has accumulated 10 sacks on the season. Yet Fairley has also caused his fair share of problems, as excessive celebration and personal foul penalties have led to extended drives for the opposition.

On the other side of that spectrum lies South Carolina, whose defense is yielding just 20.2 points per game and holding opponents to 1,118 rushing yards on the season, tops in the SEC. The Gamecocks are also opportunistic against the pass, as USC has returned five interceptions for touchdowns in 2010.

The South Carolina offense is a much-more balanced attack, with freshman running back Marcus Lattimore leading the way with 1,114 yards and 17 touchdowns. South Carolina signal caller Stephen Garcia has been erratic at times, but has posted solid numbers (2,646 yards and 18 TDs) and has built a strong affinity with All-American candidate Alshon Jeffery (75 receptions for 1,351 yards and eight scores).

So who wins this SEC shootout? According to the WhatIfSports.com college football simulation engine, the Tigers come out on top 58.4 percent of the time with an average score of 33-30. For the rest of this week’s picks, check below:

College Football Week 14
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Florida State Seminoles27.730Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies72.335 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights17.314Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers82.727 
Connecticut Huskies60.427Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls39.623 
Pittsburgh Panthers61.431Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats38.627 
Northern Illinois Huskies95.040Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks 5.015 
Arizona State Sun Devils32.723Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats67.329 
USC Trojans58.428Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins41.624 
Washington Huskies62.429Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars37.624 
Oregon Ducks95.041Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers 5.016 
Auburn Tigers58.433Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks41.630 
UNLV Rebels 5.018Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors95.041 
Utah State Aggies 5.022Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos95.045 
San Jose State Spartans 9.922Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals90.138 
Illinois Fighting Illini42.626Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs57.429 
Nevada Wolf Pack80.240Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs19.829 
Nebraska Cornhuskers46.524Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners53.525 
Southern Methodist Mustangs56.434Boxscore
@ UCF Knights43.631 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders64.430Boxscore
@ Florida International Golden Panthers35.624 
Troy Trojans71.831Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls28.226 

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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