Week 11 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game
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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: South Carolina at Florida
With no signs of a leg, knee or ankle injury, one Florida Gator is leaning on a crutch leading up to his game against South Carolina.
From the makers of "we're taking it one game at a time," comes Florida center Mike Pouncey's "we've turned it into a one-game season." This cliche quote crutch is a popular accessory the final month of the regular season.
For head coach Urban Meyer, the Gators' one-game seasons of the past carried with it the pressure of reaching the BCS National Championship. This time around, the only reward a win over the Gamecocks assures Florida is a trip to Atlanta and a spot in the SEC Championship game. The Gators' glass slipper (available to teams with strong schedules and/or, some would argue, select SEC programs) broke weeks ago and a crystal football is out of the question for the 3-loss Gators heading into week eleven.
Up until last weekend, the South Carolina Gamecocks could hang their hat on the fact they beat the defending national champs in Alabama. But LSU proved SC's early October accomplishment could be duplicated and perhaps the Crimson Tide, though talented, may not have what it takes to repeat the feat. It was after their win over Alabama that Steve Spurrier, the ole' ball coach, returned to the front page of college football relevancy.
But his return to glory only lasted for the moment.
Since their win over the Tide, South Carolina has lost to Kentucky (1-5 SEC), beat Vanderbilt 21-7 in a lackluster performance (1-5 SEC), beat Tennessee (0-5 SEC) in a shootout, and got blown-out by Arkansas at home, 41-20, last Saturday.
Florida endured its first three-game losing streak (Alabama, LSU and Mississippi State) for the first time in eleven years earlier this season, but have righted the ship, sort of, with an overtime win against Georgia and by dismantling Vanderbilt last weekend, 55-14, last Saturday.
The Gators have won 18 out of the last 19 contests against the Gamecocks with South Carolina's only win coming in Meyer's first season at Florida.
Using our college football simulation engine we "played" this game 101 times and South Carolina wins 67.3-percent of the time by an average score of 29-24.
FUN FACT: Urban Meyer is 15-0 when his team blocks a punt during a game.
College Football Week 11 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Matchup | Win% | Avg Score | |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 29.7 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ North Carolina State Wolfpack | 70.3 | 32 | |
| Clemson Tigers | 33.7 | 30 | Boxscore |
| @ Florida State Seminoles | 66.3 | 35 | |
| Miami (FL) Hurricanes | 49.0 | 28 | Boxscore |
| @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 51.0 | 29 | |
| Maryland Terrapins | 53.5 | 25 | Boxscore |
| @ Virginia Cavaliers | 46.5 | 24 | |
| Boston College Eagles | 54.5 | 25 | Boxscore |
| @ Duke Blue Devils | 45.5 | 24 | |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 61.4 | 29 | Boxscore |
| @ North Carolina Tar Heels | 38.6 | 25 | |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 39.6 | 26 | Boxscore |
| @ West Virginia Mountaineers | 60.4 | 30 | |
| South Florida Bulls | 49.5 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ Louisville Cardinals | 50.5 | 24 | |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 70.3 | 31 | Boxscore |
| @ Connecticut Huskies | 29.7 | 22 | |
| Syracuse Orange | 75.7 | 25 | Boxscore |
| @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24.3 | 15 | |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 5.0 | 18 | Boxscore |
| @ Wisconsin Badgers | 95.0 | 42 | |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 11.9 | 16 | Boxscore |
| @ Ohio State Buckeyes | 88.1 | 31 | |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 25.7 | 19 | Boxscore |
| @ Illinois Fighting Illini | 74.3 | 28 | |
| Michigan Wolverines | 48.5 | 29 | Boxscore |
| @ Purdue Boilermakers | 51.5 | 30 | |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 86.1 | 33 | Boxscore |
| @ Northwestern Wildcats | 13.9 | 19 | |
| Ball State Cardinals | 20.3 | 17 | Boxscore |
| @ Buffalo Bulls | 79.7 | 27 | |
| Toledo Rockets | 26.7 | 25 | Boxscore |
| @ Northern Illinois Huskies | 73.3 | 34 | |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 27.7 | 16 | Boxscore |
| @ Western Michigan Broncos | 72.3 | 23 | |
| Army Black Knights | 41.6 | 16 | Boxscore |
| @ Kent State Golden Flashes | 58.4 | 18 | |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48.5 | 20 | Boxscore |
| @ Bowling Green Falcons | 51.5 | 21 | |
| Washington State Cougars | 15.8 | 19 | Boxscore |
| @ Oregon State Beavers | 84.2 | 32 | |
| USC Trojans | 33.7 | 22 | Boxscore |
| @ Arizona Wildcats | 66.3 | 30 | |
| Stanford Cardinal | 79.2 | 38 | Boxscore |
| @ Arizona State Sun Devils | 20.8 | 28 | |
| Oregon Ducks | 95.0 | 43 | Boxscore |
| @ California Golden Bears | 5.0 | 16 | |
| Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5.9 | 15 | Boxscore |
| @ LSU Tigers | 94.1 | 35 | |
| UTEP Miners | 5.9 | 28 | Boxscore |
| @ Arkansas Razorbacks | 94.1 | 45 | |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 11.9 | 14 | Boxscore |
| @ Kentucky Wildcats | 88.1 | 31 | |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14.4 | 18 | Boxscore |
| @ Alabama Crimson Tide | 85.6 | 34 | |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 23.8 | 26 | Boxscore |
| @ Auburn Tigers | 76.2 | 37 | |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 67.3 | 29 | Boxscore |
| @ Florida Gators | 32.7 | 24 | |
| Mississippi Rebels | 70.3 | 30 | Boxscore |
| @ Tennessee Volunteers | 29.7 | 23 | |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 64.4 | 38 | Boxscore |
| @ Fresno State Bulldogs | 35.6 | 36 | |
| Utah State Aggies | 86.1 | 32 | Boxscore |
| @ San Jose State Spartans | 13.9 | 20 | |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 95.0 | 36 | Boxscore |
| @ New Mexico State Aggies | 5.0 | 9 | |
| Boise State Broncos | 95.0 | 49 | Boxscore |
| @ Idaho Vandals | 5.0 | 30 | |
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 56.9 | 25 | Boxscore |
| @ Navy Midshipmen | 43.1 | 22 | |
| Utah Utes | 86.1 | 35 | Boxscore |
| @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 13.9 | 20 | |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 5.0 | 11 | Boxscore |
| @ Nebraska Cornhuskers | 95.0 | 39 | |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 12.9 | 16 | Boxscore |
| @ Missouri Tigers | 87.1 | 32 | |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 41.1 | 22 | Boxscore |
| @ Colorado Buffaloes | 58.9 | 25 | |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47.5 | 30 | Boxscore |
| @ Oklahoma Sooners | 52.5 | 32 | |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 75.2 | 37 | Boxscore |
| @ Baylor Bears | 24.8 | 29 | |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 76.2 | 35 | Boxscore |
| @ Texas Longhorns | 23.8 | 26 | |
| Memphis Tigers | 8.9 | 14 | Boxscore |
| @ Marshall Thundering Herd | 91.1 | 31 | |
| Rice Owls | 23.8 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ Tulane Green Wave | 76.2 | 32 | |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 29.7 | 33 | Boxscore |
| @ Houston Cougars | 70.3 | 38 | |
| East Carolina Pirates | 59.4 | 33 | Boxscore |
| @ UAB Blazers | 40.6 | 28 | |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 62.4 | 37 | Boxscore |
| @ UCF Knights | 37.6 | 33 | |
| New Mexico Lobos | 5.0 | 10 | Boxscore |
| @ Air Force Falcons | 95.0 | 34 | |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 10.9 | 18 | Boxscore |
| @ TCU Horned Frogs | 89.1 | 40 | |
| Wyoming Cowboys | 76.7 | 27 | Boxscore |
| @ UNLV Rebels | 23.3 | 17 | |
| Brigham Young Cougars | 76.2 | 27 | Boxscore |
| @ Colorado State Rams | 23.8 | 18 | |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 5.0 | 17 | Boxscore |
| @ Arkansas State Red Wolves | 95.0 | 37 | |
| North Texas Mean Green | 20.8 | 20 | Boxscore |
| @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 79.2 | 30 | |
| Florida International Golden Panthers | 22.8 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ Troy Trojans | 77.2 | 35 | |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 55.9 | 28 | Boxscore |
| @ Florida Atlantic Owls | 44.1 | 26 | |
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.



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