NCAA College Football Week 10 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 10 Picks and Predictions

Week 10 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler - WhatIfSports.com
November 1st, 2010

Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=37d44567-f08a-48cf-a907-fa757444999f" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports: CFB Game of the Week</a>

Games of the Week: TCU at Utah

TCU and Utah should get a quote from the car insurance pitchman and random windstorm known as Mayhem. Because, by the looks of their remaining schedule, their shot at qualifying for the BCS national title game is shaky...shaky, shaky, shaky...at best.

The two undefeated programs are currently stuck in mid-major prison. Granted, Saturday's winner will be allowed to pass go and collect their 200 dollars, but the BCS system will be damned if they can buy Boardwalk or Park Place.

TCU is currently ranked third in the BCS standings (.8911, thanks mainly to their win over Oregon State) and Utah is fifth (.7318, thanks mainly to their win over Pittsburgh). However, when you compare the duos BCS averages to the top two Oregon (.9777) and (Auburn .9599), potential wins over San Diego State and New Mexico (TCU's final two games) don't scream BCS lock.

The profound fact of the matter is the competition in the Mountain West Conference doesn't carry with it the reputation or the quality needed for the Horned Frogs and Utes to attract BCS attention. It's the reason why Urban Meyer left for Florida and why Utah is jumping to the Pac-10 next season. These two teams are loaded with talent, but the Win/Loss record and stats accumulated through the first nine weeks carry with it the rhetorical stigma of "Who did you play?"

That's enough of the Debbie Downer analysis.

The silver lining is the Utes host the Horned Frogs Saturday in Salt Lake City. One team from the MWC will empower their BCS resume with a win and insure their chances of crashing the BCS party once again. Whatifsports.com has TCU ranked third and Utah ranked 9th in this week's power rankings.

The Horned Frogs offensive attack comes on the ground where they rank ninth in the country in rush yards per game (270.9 yds/gm). But it's on defense where Gary Patterson's crew can toot their horn(s). They are the only team in the country allowing less than 10 points per game (8.7 pa/gm). They are also first in pass yards allowed per game (119.0) and ninth in rush yards allowed per game (98.3). When you mix the lock down defense with the 40-plus points TCU rings up each week, it's no surprise they are undefeated.

Utah is more balanced on offense. Both their passing (258.1) and rushing (191.5) attacks rank in the Top 35 in the country. Although they only managed 28 points this past weekend against Air Force, the Utes are third in the country in points per game (45.3). Their win over Iowa State sticks out the most because they racked up 68 points on the same Cyclones team that upset Texas a few weeks back. Similar to a previous Game of the Week, the hyper-offense match-up between Oregon and Stanford, the Utes and Frogs have the defenses to slow each other down. Utah is sixth in points allowed per game at 14.1.

Whatifsports.com's college football simulation engine "played" this game 101 times and the Horned Frogs of TCU win 72.8-percent of the time by an average score of 33-26.

College Football Week 10
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Maryland Terrapins14.920Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes85.136 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets34.227Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies65.832 
North Carolina Tar Heels38.626Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles61.430 
North Carolina State Wolfpack40.632Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers59.433 
Virginia Cavaliers51.023Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils49.022 
Boston College Eagles65.826Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons34.221 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights26.716Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls73.324 
Louisville Cardinals49.524Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange50.525 
Minnesota Golden Gophers 5.016Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans95.036 
Illinois Fighting Illini35.627Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines64.432 
Northwestern Wildcats54.525Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions45.524 
Wisconsin Badgers91.137Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers 8.916 
Iowa Hawkeyes95.043Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers 5.011 
Western Michigan Broncos10.914Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas89.131 
Buffalo Bulls17.317Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats82.729 
Akron Zips51.021Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals49.020 
Temple Owls89.632Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes10.415 
Washington Huskies 5.014Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks95.049 
Arizona Wildcats45.533Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal54.534 
Arizona State Sun Devils75.232Boxscore
@ USC Trojans24.825 
Oregon State Beavers75.729Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins24.320 
California Golden Bears93.635Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 6.417 
Chattanooga Mocs 5.07Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers95.064 
Idaho State Bengals 5.09Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs95.057 
Charleston Southern Buccaneers 5.08Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats95.047 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns22.823Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels77.235 
Arkansas Razorbacks53.538Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks46.536 
Alabama Crimson Tide79.227Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers20.818 
Florida Gators95.038Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores 5.09 
New Mexico State Aggies 5.011Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies95.038 
Hawaii Warriors11.931Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos88.147 
Fresno State Bulldogs59.931Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs40.127 
Nevada Wolf Pack64.441Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals35.636 
Air Force Falcons77.225Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights22.815 
Florida Atlantic Owls88.134Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers11.917 
Baylor Bears28.734Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys71.342 
Oklahoma Sooners60.436Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies39.634 
Missouri Tigers73.837Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders26.227 
Colorado Buffaloes75.229Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks24.817 
Texas Longhorns82.228Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats17.816 
Nebraska Cornhuskers95.037Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones 5.012 
Rice Owls22.826Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane77.235 
Marshall Thundering Herd42.626Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers57.428 
Navy Midshipmen42.623Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates57.425 
UCF Knights55.435Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars44.632 
Southern Methodist Mustangs60.433Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners39.629 
Southern Miss Golden Eagles75.239Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave24.827 
Tennessee Volunteers95.036Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers 5.012 
UNLV Rebels 8.914Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars91.129 
Colorado State Rams 9.917Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs90.136 
TCU Horned Frogs72.833Boxscore
@ Utah Utes27.226 
Wyoming Cowboys79.724Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos20.313 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders59.429Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves40.626 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks71.829Boxscore
@ Florida International Golden Panthers28.222 
Troy Trojans94.136Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green 5.918 

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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