NCAA football power rankings for Week 9
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | TCU Horned Frogs | +2 | 92.2 | 42.5 | 16.7 |
| 2. | Oregon Ducks | +3 | 91.7 | 42.9 | 16.7 |
| 3. | Alabama Crimson Tide | -2 | 91.2 | 39.2 | 14.4 |
| 4. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -2 | 90.0 | 38.4 | 14.3 |
| 5. | Iowa Hawkeyes | -1 | 88.7 | 37.5 | 15.2 |
| 6. | Boise State Broncos | - | 86.7 | 45.1 | 23.4 |
| 7. | Utah Utes | - | 86.2 | 39.0 | 19.0 |
| 8. | Auburn Tigers | +2 | 85.3 | 40.1 | 21.6 |
| 9. | Arizona Wildcats | +2 | 83.7 | 36.4 | 18.5 |
| 10. | Stanford Cardinal | -2 | 82.7 | 42.3 | 24.1 |
| 11. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -2 | 82.2 | 37.8 | 20.2 |
| 12. | Wisconsin Badgers | - | 81.7 | 39.1 | 21.2 |
| 13. | Missouri Tigers | +7 | 81.3 | 36.2 | 19.9 |
| 14. | Penn State Nittany Lions | - | 80.2 | 34.4 | 18.4 |
| 15. | South Carolina Gamecocks | -2 | 79.6 | 35.6 | 20.3 |
| 16. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +2 | 79.6 | 43.0 | 27.9 |
| 17. | Oklahoma Sooners | -1 | 79.5 | 37.4 | 22.9 |
| 18. | LSU Tigers | -3 | 79.0 | 31.9 | 16.7 |
| 19. | Michigan State Spartans | - | 78.8 | 38.9 | 24.4 |
| 20. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +2 | 77.1 | 40.0 | 26.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +6 | 76.8 | 31.1 | 17.1 |
| 22. | Florida State Seminoles | +2 | 76.5 | 39.4 | 25.8 |
| 23. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -2 | 75.7 | 35.0 | 22.1 |
| 24. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +6 | 73.1 | 33.2 | 22.1 |
| 25. | Florida Gators | -2 | 73.1 | 32.1 | 19.6 |
| 26. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -1 | 72.9 | 31.4 | 20.0 |
| 27. | Texas A&M Aggies | +2 | 71.6 | 34.9 | 24.4 |
| 28. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | -2 | 71.5 | 33.6 | 22.9 |
| 29. | Georgia Bulldogs | -1 | 70.7 | 34.1 | 23.0 |
| 30. | Texas Longhorns | -13 | 70.2 | 29.1 | 19.0 |
| 31. | California Golden Bears | +4 | 68.2 | 32.2 | 23.0 |
| 32. | North Carolina Tar Heels | +1 | 67.7 | 28.5 | 19.4 |
| 33. | Cincinnati Bearcats | -1 | 66.9 | 33.6 | 26.0 |
| 34. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | - | 65.6 | 33.4 | 26.2 |
| 35. | USC Trojans | +1 | 63.6 | 31.0 | 23.9 |
| 36. | Baylor Bears | +12 | 62.6 | 33.6 | 27.5 |
| 37. | Arizona State Sun Devils | -6 | 62.5 | 30.3 | 23.9 |
| 38. | Northwestern Wildcats | -1 | 62.2 | 30.1 | 24.4 |
| 39. | Clemson Tigers | +6 | 61.7 | 31.2 | 25.6 |
| 40. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +2 | 61.1 | 36.0 | 31.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Oregon State Beavers | +2 | 60.8 | 29.3 | 24.7 |
| 42. | Temple Owls | -4 | 60.1 | 29.8 | 24.9 |
| 43. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +1 | 59.9 | 29.7 | 25.7 |
| 44. | Hawaii Warriors | +7 | 59.5 | 34.5 | 29.2 |
| 45. | Mississippi Rebels | -4 | 59.3 | 29.8 | 24.8 |
| 46. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -7 | 59.2 | 31.2 | 25.8 |
| 47. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | -7 | 59.1 | 35.6 | 31.1 |
| 48. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | -1 | 58.0 | 31.7 | 28.2 |
| 49. | San Diego State Aztecs | - | 57.1 | 28.3 | 25.1 |
| 50. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +3 | 55.9 | 30.6 | 27.9 |
| 51. | Syracuse Orange | +6 | 55.0 | 25.1 | 22.8 |
| 52. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -6 | 54.9 | 28.6 | 26.0 |
| 53. | Connecticut Huskies | -3 | 54.8 | 27.6 | 24.7 |
| 54. | Michigan Wolverines | +1 | 54.6 | 32.4 | 30.0 |
| 55. | Ohio Bobcats | +7 | 53.8 | 26.0 | 24.1 |
| 56. | Kentucky Wildcats | -4 | 53.8 | 27.1 | 25.3 |
| 57. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | -1 | 52.8 | 29.4 | 28.6 |
| 58. | Troy Trojans | -4 | 52.4 | 30.6 | 29.5 |
| 59. | Purdue Boilermakers | +2 | 52.1 | 25.8 | 25.0 |
| 60. | South Florida Bulls | +13 | 51.8 | 25.2 | 24.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | UCF Knights | -1 | 50.9 | 28.3 | 27.6 |
| 62. | Louisville Cardinals | +3 | 49.4 | 24.8 | 24.9 |
| 63. | UTEP Miners | +1 | 49.2 | 28.8 | 29.5 |
| 64. | Houston Cougars | -5 | 48.7 | 31.3 | 32.2 |
| 65. | Idaho Vandals | -2 | 48.1 | 32.0 | 32.4 |
| 66. | Tennessee Volunteers | -8 | 47.1 | 24.3 | 25.6 |
| 67. | Washington Huskies | +2 | 46.4 | 27.9 | 30.1 |
| 68. | Air Force Falcons | -2 | 46.1 | 24.6 | 25.6 |
| 69. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +2 | 44.9 | 24.9 | 27.5 |
| 70. | Duke Blue Devils | -3 | 44.4 | 24.8 | 28.1 |
| 71. | Central Michigan Chippewas | -3 | 43.9 | 23.5 | 25.9 |
| 72. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +6 | 43.7 | 24.0 | 27.1 |
| 73. | Maryland Terrapins | +6 | 43.0 | 26.4 | 29.4 |
| 74. | Boston College Eagles | -4 | 42.5 | 23.2 | 25.7 |
| 75. | Virginia Cavaliers | - | 42.4 | 21.8 | 25.3 |
| 76. | Utah State Aggies | +1 | 42.2 | 26.7 | 30.1 |
| 77. | UCLA Bruins | -1 | 41.7 | 21.4 | 25.6 |
| 78. | Indiana Hoosiers | -6 | 41.7 | 27.6 | 31.1 |
| 79. | Kansas State Wildcats | +2 | 40.3 | 22.4 | 27.1 |
| 80. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -6 | 39.9 | 24.4 | 28.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | +5 | 38.4 | 25.9 | 31.3 |
| 82. | Colorado Buffaloes | +2 | 37.5 | 21.3 | 27.2 |
| 83. | East Carolina Pirates | +2 | 37.0 | 24.0 | 30.3 |
| 84. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | -1 | 36.9 | 22.0 | 28.5 |
| 85. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -5 | 36.8 | 23.9 | 30.5 |
| 86. | Navy Midshipmen | +2 | 35.1 | 21.1 | 27.7 |
| 87. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -5 | 34.6 | 18.2 | 25.7 |
| 88. | Brigham Young Cougars | -1 | 34.6 | 19.7 | 26.9 |
| 89. | Toledo Rockets | - | 31.2 | 23.7 | 32.6 |
| 90. | Iowa State Cyclones | +3 | 30.9 | 21.1 | 30.5 |
| 91. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | - | 30.6 | 25.6 | 34.9 |
| 92. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -2 | 30.5 | 23.4 | 32.3 |
| 93. | Buffalo Bulls | -1 | 29.6 | 19.6 | 29.5 |
| 94. | Kent State Golden Flashes | +1 | 27.2 | 17.2 | 28.4 |
| 95. | Washington State Cougars | -1 | 26.9 | 22.1 | 32.7 |
| 96. | Army Black Knights | +2 | 26.1 | 16.5 | 28.4 |
| 97. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | - | 25.1 | 18.2 | 30.4 |
| 98. | UAB Blazers | +2 | 24.9 | 23.3 | 35.7 |
| 99. | Tulane Green Wave | - | 24.5 | 20.8 | 33.9 |
| 100. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +2 | 24.1 | 18.8 | 31.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | -5 | 24.1 | 19.4 | 31.8 |
| 102. | Wyoming Cowboys | +1 | 23.6 | 16.2 | 29.4 |
| 103. | Colorado State Rams | -2 | 23.4 | 18.8 | 31.7 |
| 104. | Florida International Golden Panthers | - | 22.8 | 19.2 | 32.9 |
| 105. | Kansas Jayhawks | +1 | 21.3 | 18.9 | 34.0 |
| 106. | Vanderbilt Commodores | -1 | 21.2 | 16.4 | 31.0 |
| 107. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +5 | 18.3 | 16.8 | 34.3 |
| 108. | Bowling Green Falcons | - | 17.0 | 14.4 | 32.5 |
| 109. | Rice Owls | -2 | 16.1 | 18.4 | 36.5 |
| 110. | San Jose State Spartans | - | 16.1 | 16.0 | 33.6 |
| 111. | UNLV Rebels | - | 15.0 | 16.2 | 35.0 |
| 112. | Western Michigan Broncos | +2 | 14.9 | 15.7 | 35.1 |
| 113. | North Texas Mean Green | - | 11.4 | 15.0 | 37.1 |
| 114. | Ball State Cardinals | +1 | 11.1 | 13.1 | 36.1 |
| 115. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +4 | 10.4 | 13.8 | 38.2 |
| 116. | Akron Zips | -7 | 9.7 | 12.8 | 35.8 |
| 117. | New Mexico Lobos | -1 | 9.5 | 11.9 | 35.3 |
| 118. | Memphis Tigers | -1 | 8.6 | 13.6 | 39.3 |
| 119. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | -1 | 6.2 | 10.6 | 39.0 |
| 120. | New Mexico State Aggies | - | 3.8 | 8.9 | 40.5 |
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.



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