Purple Pride: TCU Horned and Ready

NCAA football power rankings for Week 4

By Ryan Fowler, WhatIfSports.com

September 20th, 2010

College Football Features

Week 4 College Football Picks
2010 College Football Content
College Football Season-to-Date
College Football SimMatchup
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-	93.4	39.1	11.5
2.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-	91.5	39.8	13.7
3.	TCU Horned Frogs	+2	90.0	42.4	18.8
4.	Texas Longhorns	-	89.5	34.7	12.1
5.	Oregon Ducks	-2	88.7	38.8	15.9
6.	Boise State Broncos	+2	86.0	44.6	23.4
7.	Florida Gators	-	84.6	37.4	17.6
8.	Auburn Tigers	+6	83.7	39.3	20.7
9.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-	82.2	40.1	22.9
10.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+6	82.0	43.8	27.2
11.	Arizona Wildcats	+8	81.4	36.3	19.2
12.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+1	80.7	38.9	21.1
13.	Penn State Nittany Lions	-2	80.6	34.4	17.7
14.	Iowa Hawkeyes	-2	80.6	31.9	15.2
15.	Stanford Cardinal	+11	79.4	41.7	25.6
16.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-10	79.1	38.2	21.6
17.	Wisconsin Badgers	+4	78.7	38.1	22.5
18.	Utah Utes	+6	78.5	35.8	21.0
19.	Clemson Tigers	-2	78.1	32.6	17.6
20.	Oklahoma Sooners	-2	77.8	38.0	22.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+6	76.9	31.1	16.8
22.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-12	76.6	35.2	21.6
23.	LSU Tigers	-1	76.2	30.9	17.5
24.	California Golden Bears	+5	75.4	37.1	24.3
25.	Oregon State Beavers	-	75.2	35.6	22.1
26.	West Virginia Mountaineers	-6	74.3	34.4	20.7
27.	South Carolina Gamecocks	-4	73.4	32.2	20.2
28.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-	73.0	36.7	24.7
29.	Florida State Seminoles	-14	72.8	38.5	26.5
30.	Georgia Bulldogs	-	72.6	34.5	22.2
31.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-	69.4	34.0	24.1
32.	USC Trojans	+1	68.8	34.4	24.0
33.	Connecticut Huskies	-1	67.8	33.6	23.7
34.	Texas A&M Aggies	+1	67.3	34.4	25.6
35.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+1	67.3	34.8	26.0
36.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+1	66.5	34.4	26.0
37.	Michigan State Spartans	+3	66.1	36.4	28.8
38.	Syracuse Orange	+10	65.6	31.2	23.9
39.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-1	65.2	26.6	19.0
40.	Air Force Falcons	+7	64.7	30.2	23.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Temple Owls	-2	64.2	30.7	22.5
42.	Nevada Wolf Pack	+2	63.6	37.6	30.9
43.	UCLA Bruins	-	63.0	29.3	22.6
44.	Idaho Vandals	-2	62.7	39.1	32.3
45.	Missouri Tigers	-4	62.4	32.0	26.1
46.	Mississippi Rebels	-1	60.4	30.3	24.9
47.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+5	59.1	29.6	25.1
48.	Northwestern Wildcats	+1	59.0	28.7	24.2
49.	Houston Cougars	-15	58.1	35.9	32.1
50.	Purdue Boilermakers	+3	54.4	27.4	24.8
51.	South Florida Bulls	-5	54.2	30.1	27.2
52.	Tennessee Volunteers	-1	53.6	25.6	23.7
53.	Kentucky Wildcats	+17	52.9	26.8	25.2
54.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	+1	52.5	33.7	31.3
55.	Brigham Young Cougars	-5	52.2	26.1	25.4
56.	Boston College Eagles	-2	51.9	24.0	22.7
57.	Colorado Buffaloes	+7	51.7	27.0	25.9
58.	Michigan Wolverines	+5	50.9	31.4	30.3
59.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	+1	50.5	29.2	28.5
60.	Troy Trojans	-1	50.4	30.6	29.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Hawaii Warriors	-	50.4	31.3	30.8
62.	Ohio Bobcats	-6	50.2	24.5	24.3
63.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-6	48.6	24.0	24.9
64.	Virginia Cavaliers	-2	48.3	23.2	23.8
65.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	-7	47.8	28.9	29.4
66.	Kansas State Wildcats	+9	47.6	26.1	26.5
67.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-1	46.4	26.2	27.2
68.	Northern Illinois Huskies	-1	45.6	25.4	27.3
69.	Louisville Cardinals	-1	44.8	24.7	26.9
70.	Baylor Bears	+4	43.8	26.1	29.6
71.	UCF Knights	+1	43.8	25.5	27.8
72.	Utah State Aggies	+7	43.3	26.3	30.1
73.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-	43.1	24.2	27.2
74.	Arizona State Sun Devils	+6	43.0	20.9	23.8
75.	Navy Midshipmen	+7	42.8	24.6	27.8
76.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	+2	42.4	24.9	27.8
77.	Duke Blue Devils	-8	41.6	25.1	28.6
78.	Maryland Terrapins	+3	40.3	25.0	29.6
79.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	-14	39.8	24.0	29.3
80.	Central Michigan Chippewas	-4	39.8	21.9	26.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-4	39.6	24.2	28.4
82.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-11	39.0	22.6	27.5
83.	Washington Huskies	-	38.3	25.3	30.8
84.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+1	36.9	22.2	28.2
85.	Wyoming Cowboys	-1	35.6	22.1	28.5
86.	Iowa State Cyclones	+2	34.1	22.5	30.2
87.	San Diego State Aztecs	+7	33.2	21.0	29.1
88.	Indiana Hoosiers	+2	31.7	22.5	31.7
89.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-3	31.5	26.4	35.6
90.	East Carolina Pirates	-3	31.2	22.1	30.8
91.	Buffalo Bulls	-2	31.2	19.7	28.8
92.	Toledo Rockets	+1	30.2	22.3	32.9
93.	Kansas Jayhawks	-1	29.7	23.1	32.9
94.	UAB Blazers	+2	26.9	24.9	35.9
95.	Kent State Golden Flashes	-	25.1	17.1	29.0
96.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	-5	24.8	18.5	31.0
97.	Army Black Knights	-	24.5	16.2	29.4
98.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	+4	24.4	19.0	32.8
99.	Vanderbilt Commodores	-1	24.4	16.8	30.4
100.	UTEP Miners	-1	23.1	21.2	35.5
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Tulane Green Wave	-	20.5	19.5	35.2
102.	UNLV Rebels	-2	20.0	18.9	34.8
103.	Akron Zips	+4	18.7	16.2	33.6
104.	Colorado State Rams	+1	18.5	15.4	32.7
105.	Bowling Green Falcons	-2	18.4	15.9	33.1
106.	Rice Owls	-	17.9	18.3	36.0
107.	North Texas Mean Green	+1	17.7	17.4	35.5
108.	San Jose State Spartans	+3	17.3	15.5	33.3
109.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-5	16.9	19.7	38.4
110.	Washington State Cougars	-	15.8	15.6	34.6
111.	Western Michigan Broncos	-2	15.0	15.2	35.0
112.	New Mexico Lobos	-	14.3	14.2	34.3
113.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	-	13.8	13.9	34.8
114.	Ball State Cardinals	-	11.6	13.2	35.8
115.	Memphis Tigers	-	10.8	14.6	38.9
116.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+3	8.7	10.8	37.2
117.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+1	8.0	11.6	40.6
118.	Florida International Golden Panthers	-1	6.8	10.5	38.9
119.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	-3	6.1	10.9	40.7
120.	New Mexico State Aggies	-	5.0	9.0	41.0

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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