NCAA football power rankings for Week 14
November 29nd, 2010
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Oregon Ducks | - | 92.8 | 44.0 | 17.3 |
| 2. | TCU Horned Frogs | +1 | 92.0 | 41.7 | 17.3 |
| 3. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1 | 91.3 | 37.9 | 13.9 |
| 4. | Wisconsin Badgers | +1 | 88.2 | 40.0 | 18.2 |
| 5. | Stanford Cardinal | +1 | 86.3 | 42.5 | 21.5 |
| 6. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +1 | 85.5 | 35.6 | 17.1 |
| 7. | Auburn Tigers | +5 | 85.4 | 41.3 | 21.9 |
| 8. | Virginia Tech Hokies | +1 | 85.3 | 38.5 | 20.6 |
| 9. | South Carolina Gamecocks | +1 | 84.6 | 37.0 | 18.7 |
| 10. | Boise State Broncos | -6 | 84.2 | 41.7 | 23.1 |
| 11. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +2 | 82.1 | 43.8 | 27.2 |
| 12. | Alabama Crimson Tide | -4 | 81.5 | 31.4 | 15.9 |
| 13. | LSU Tigers | -2 | 80.2 | 33.9 | 18.3 |
| 14. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +2 | 79.5 | 40.4 | 25.5 |
| 15. | Oklahoma Sooners | -1 | 79.3 | 35.8 | 21.0 |
| 16. | Arizona Wildcats | +1 | 78.8 | 34.3 | 19.9 |
| 17. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -2 | 78.5 | 32.3 | 18.5 |
| 18. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +1 | 78.0 | 30.4 | 16.6 |
| 19. | Florida State Seminoles | +3 | 77.4 | 37.9 | 24.2 |
| 20. | West Virginia Mountaineers | +4 | 76.6 | 30.9 | 18.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Texas A&M Aggies | -3 | 75.5 | 35.9 | 23.4 |
| 22. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -1 | 73.6 | 32.7 | 21.8 |
| 23. | Michigan State Spartans | -3 | 73.4 | 34.2 | 22.8 |
| 24. | Missouri Tigers | +5 | 72.8 | 32.1 | 21.2 |
| 25. | Utah Utes | -2 | 72.5 | 33.5 | 22.9 |
| 26. | Georgia Bulldogs | +4 | 71.4 | 33.8 | 23.5 |
| 27. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | - | 71.1 | 33.4 | 23.1 |
| 28. | Penn State Nittany Lions | -3 | 71.0 | 30.5 | 19.8 |
| 29. | San Diego State Aztecs | +5 | 67.9 | 33.5 | 25.0 |
| 30. | Arizona State Sun Devils | +2 | 67.6 | 30.9 | 22.7 |
| 31. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +13 | 66.6 | 33.0 | 25.1 |
| 32. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +8 | 66.1 | 37.9 | 30.3 |
| 33. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -7 | 65.9 | 29.8 | 22.5 |
| 34. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -1 | 65.4 | 33.6 | 26.2 |
| 35. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +1 | 64.7 | 32.8 | 25.9 |
| 36. | Florida Gators | -8 | 64.3 | 27.1 | 20.3 |
| 37. | Hawaii Warriors | +1 | 61.5 | 34.9 | 28.8 |
| 38. | USC Trojans | -3 | 61.3 | 30.6 | 25.1 |
| 39. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -2 | 61.2 | 29.7 | 24.3 |
| 40. | Connecticut Huskies | +1 | 61.1 | 29.5 | 23.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Texas Longhorns | -2 | 60.6 | 28.2 | 22.8 |
| 42. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | +1 | 59.8 | 32.6 | 27.8 |
| 43. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -1 | 59.5 | 30.9 | 26.1 |
| 44. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | +20 | 58.5 | 32.6 | 28.8 |
| 45. | Clemson Tigers | +2 | 58.4 | 29.6 | 26.0 |
| 46. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | - | 57.7 | 35.3 | 30.9 |
| 47. | Temple Owls | -2 | 56.9 | 27.5 | 24.6 |
| 48. | Northwestern Wildcats | -17 | 56.5 | 27.1 | 23.6 |
| 49. | Oregon State Beavers | +1 | 54.9 | 26.3 | 23.8 |
| 50. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +7 | 54.7 | 30.0 | 27.4 |
| 51. | Syracuse Orange | - | 54.6 | 25.0 | 22.7 |
| 52. | California Golden Bears | +2 | 54.5 | 25.8 | 24.0 |
| 53. | Kentucky Wildcats | -1 | 54.3 | 27.5 | 25.0 |
| 54. | Mississippi Rebels | +1 | 54.3 | 29.8 | 27.4 |
| 55. | UCF Knights | -2 | 54.2 | 30.3 | 27.8 |
| 56. | Baylor Bears | -7 | 53.9 | 30.0 | 27.7 |
| 57. | Air Force Falcons | +1 | 53.5 | 26.6 | 24.9 |
| 58. | UCLA Bruins | +8 | 51.3 | 26.0 | 25.0 |
| 59. | Brigham Young Cougars | +2 | 51.2 | 26.7 | 25.6 |
| 60. | South Florida Bulls | -1 | 50.8 | 25.4 | 24.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Michigan Wolverines | -5 | 50.5 | 31.1 | 30.0 |
| 62. | Louisville Cardinals | - | 50.0 | 25.2 | 25.2 |
| 63. | Ohio Bobcats | -15 | 49.9 | 24.5 | 24.5 |
| 64. | Purdue Boilermakers | -4 | 49.5 | 25.3 | 25.5 |
| 65. | Idaho Vandals | -2 | 49.2 | 31.8 | 32.1 |
| 66. | Colorado Buffaloes | -1 | 48.2 | 25.2 | 25.8 |
| 67. | Tennessee Volunteers | - | 48.2 | 25.5 | 25.5 |
| 68. | Navy Midshipmen | +2 | 46.6 | 25.2 | 26.8 |
| 69. | Maryland Terrapins | +4 | 45.9 | 26.6 | 28.3 |
| 70. | UTEP Miners | -1 | 45.2 | 28.7 | 30.6 |
| 71. | Houston Cougars | -3 | 45.0 | 30.5 | 32.2 |
| 72. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -1 | 44.7 | 22.9 | 25.7 |
| 73. | Boston College Eagles | -1 | 44.4 | 23.4 | 25.6 |
| 74. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +7 | 44.3 | 30.4 | 33.3 |
| 75. | Duke Blue Devils | - | 42.6 | 25.1 | 28.3 |
| 76. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +2 | 42.4 | 24.5 | 28.0 |
| 77. | Virginia Cavaliers | -1 | 41.8 | 21.8 | 25.2 |
| 78. | Utah State Aggies | +1 | 41.6 | 26.2 | 30.4 |
| 79. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -2 | 41.4 | 24.2 | 28.5 |
| 80. | Central Michigan Chippewas | -6 | 41.0 | 22.7 | 26.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Kansas State Wildcats | -1 | 40.6 | 23.0 | 27.4 |
| 82. | Washington Huskies | +2 | 38.2 | 24.3 | 29.6 |
| 83. | Troy Trojans | - | 38.1 | 26.4 | 31.2 |
| 84. | Indiana Hoosiers | -2 | 36.5 | 26.7 | 32.2 |
| 85. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | +5 | 36.1 | 25.5 | 32.2 |
| 86. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -1 | 35.7 | 23.9 | 30.2 |
| 87. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | - | 35.1 | 22.2 | 28.9 |
| 88. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +1 | 34.8 | 21.4 | 28.6 |
| 89. | East Carolina Pirates | -3 | 33.7 | 23.6 | 31.1 |
| 90. | Iowa State Cyclones | +1 | 33.0 | 21.6 | 29.3 |
| 91. | Toledo Rockets | -3 | 32.9 | 24.4 | 32.4 |
| 92. | Buffalo Bulls | +1 | 29.1 | 19.9 | 30.0 |
| 93. | Tulane Green Wave | -1 | 28.3 | 21.1 | 30.3 |
| 94. | Army Black Knights | +2 | 27.7 | 18.2 | 28.9 |
| 95. | Florida International Golden Panthers | - | 27.4 | 22.6 | 33.0 |
| 96. | Washington State Cougars | -2 | 27.1 | 21.5 | 32.1 |
| 97. | UAB Blazers | +2 | 25.3 | 23.1 | 34.6 |
| 98. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +3 | 24.9 | 18.5 | 30.4 |
| 99. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -2 | 24.9 | 21.2 | 33.2 |
| 100. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +5 | 24.2 | 18.5 | 31.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Wyoming Cowboys | +1 | 24.1 | 17.8 | 29.7 |
| 102. | Kent State Golden Flashes | -4 | 23.9 | 16.8 | 29.5 |
| 103. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | +1 | 23.8 | 19.9 | 32.1 |
| 104. | Colorado State Rams | -4 | 23.5 | 19.8 | 32.1 |
| 105. | North Texas Mean Green | -2 | 23.3 | 21.2 | 34.6 |
| 106. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +2 | 21.4 | 19.9 | 35.0 |
| 107. | Kansas Jayhawks | - | 21.2 | 19.5 | 34.5 |
| 108. | Vanderbilt Commodores | -2 | 20.7 | 16.3 | 31.3 |
| 109. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +1 | 17.1 | 17.5 | 34.7 |
| 110. | Rice Owls | +2 | 16.6 | 18.3 | 36.6 |
| 111. | San Jose State Spartans | -2 | 15.9 | 15.6 | 33.3 |
| 112. | Bowling Green Falcons | -1 | 15.8 | 14.0 | 33.2 |
| 113. | Western Michigan Broncos | +1 | 14.3 | 15.1 | 34.8 |
| 114. | UNLV Rebels | -1 | 13.5 | 15.7 | 35.3 |
| 115. | New Mexico Lobos | - | 11.4 | 13.5 | 35.2 |
| 116. | Ball State Cardinals | +1 | 11.4 | 13.4 | 36.2 |
| 117. | Akron Zips | -1 | 9.4 | 12.8 | 36.4 |
| 118. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | - | 5.3 | 10.9 | 39.7 |
| 119. | Memphis Tigers | - | 4.9 | 11.4 | 40.3 |
| 120. | New Mexico State Aggies | - | 3.8 | 9.0 | 40.9 |
We hope that you enjoy our Beyond the Boxscore feature. As with all of our games, we are willing to listen to feedback and improve this page and content to make it as interesting and user-friendly as possible. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, please contact Customer Support. Thanks!
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.
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