Pre-season NCAA football power rankings
WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Alabama Crimson Tide | 94.7 | 41.2 | 12.2 |
| 2. | Ohio State Buckeyes | 91.2 | 39.5 | 14.0 |
| 3. | Texas Longhorns | 89.4 | 36.2 | 13.2 |
| 4. | Florida Gators | 86.6 | 39.4 | 18.2 |
| 5. | TCU Horned Frogs | 85.7 | 41.2 | 19.8 |
| 6. | Virginia Tech Hokies | 84.6 | 41.7 | 22.5 |
| 7. | Boise State Broncos | 83.4 | 43.7 | 24.3 |
| 8. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | 82.9 | 39.3 | 22.7 |
| 9. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 82.6 | 42.4 | 24.3 |
| 10. | Iowa Hawkeyes | 82.4 | 32.1 | 14.8 |
| 11. | Pittsburgh Panthers | 82.3 | 40.5 | 22.1 |
| 12. | Auburn Tigers | 82.1 | 38.9 | 21.7 |
| 13. | Oregon Ducks | 80.4 | 35.2 | 17.5 |
| 14. | Florida State Seminoles | 80.3 | 41.4 | 26.8 |
| 15. | Penn State Nittany Lions | 80.2 | 35.8 | 18.4 |
| 16. | Arkansas Razorbacks | 80.0 | 42.6 | 28.1 |
| 17. | Wisconsin Badgers | 79.3 | 38.4 | 23.5 |
| 18. | Cincinnati Bearcats | 78.8 | 40.4 | 25.4 |
| 19. | LSU Tigers | 78.7 | 31.5 | 16.5 |
| 20. | Oklahoma Sooners | 78.0 | 37.6 | 23.0 |
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Oregon State Beavers | 77.7 | 36.0 | 22.3 |
| 22. | Clemson Tigers | 76.1 | 33.4 | 18.6 |
| 23. | West Virginia Mountaineers | 75.9 | 35.9 | 21.3 |
| 24. | Arizona Wildcats | 75.6 | 35.2 | 21.1 |
| 25. | Connecticut Huskies | 75.6 | 37.4 | 24.2 |
| 26. | Georgia Bulldogs | 75.0 | 35.5 | 22.7 |
| 27. | Utah Utes | 74.5 | 34.8 | 21.9 |
| 28. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 74.2 | 31.2 | 18.4 |
| 29. | California Golden Bears | 74.1 | 37.5 | 25.0 |
| 30. | North Carolina Tar Heels | 73.8 | 28.5 | 16.1 |
| 31. | South Carolina Gamecocks | 72.8 | 32.5 | 20.6 |
| 32. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72.0 | 35.5 | 24.9 |
| 33. | Stanford Cardinal | 71.6 | 38.3 | 27.1 |
| 34. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 71.6 | 36.0 | 26.5 |
| 35. | Texas A&M Aggies | 68.6 | 36.5 | 27.0 |
| 36. | USC Trojans | 68.4 | 34.1 | 25.3 |
| 37. | Houston Cougars | 67.4 | 41.2 | 32.6 |
| 38. | UCLA Bruins | 67.0 | 31.9 | 23.2 |
| 39. | Michigan State Spartans | 65.8 | 37.1 | 28.9 |
| 40. | Temple Owls | 64.6 | 31.1 | 23.3 |
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Missouri Tigers | 62.2 | 33.1 | 26.7 |
| 42. | Mississippi Rebels | 61.7 | 30.2 | 23.2 |
| 43. | Idaho Vandals | 61.4 | 39.0 | 33.9 |
| 44. | Nevada Wolf Pack | 61.0 | 37.4 | 31.6 |
| 45. | Air Force Falcons | 60.8 | 29.6 | 24.2 |
| 46. | Fresno State Bulldogs | 59.2 | 34.1 | 28.5 |
| 47. | Northwestern Wildcats | 58.3 | 29.5 | 24.6 |
| 48. | Syracuse Orange | 56.5 | 29.7 | 25.6 |
| 49. | Purdue Boilermakers | 56.5 | 29.3 | 26.2 |
| 50. | Tennessee Volunteers | 56.2 | 26.3 | 24.0 |
| 51. | Brigham Young Cougars | 55.4 | 28.5 | 25.4 |
| 52. | South Florida Bulls | 55.3 | 30.5 | 28.1 |
| 53. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 52.6 | 32.9 | 31.5 |
| 54. | Boston College Eagles | 51.6 | 24.2 | 23.2 |
| 55. | Colorado Buffaloes | 50.8 | 27.0 | 26.8 |
| 56. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 50.4 | 26.3 | 25.9 |
| 57. | Virginia Cavaliers | 50.1 | 24.0 | 24.4 |
| 58. | Ohio Bobcats | 49.7 | 25.2 | 24.8 |
| 59. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49.0 | 25.4 | 25.3 |
| 60. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | 48.5 | 29.6 | 30.0 |
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Troy Trojans | 46.5 | 28.9 | 30.5 |
| 62. | Kentucky Wildcats | 46.5 | 25.4 | 26.7 |
| 63. | UCF Knights | 46.3 | 25.8 | 27.8 |
| 64. | Northern Illinois Huskies | 45.6 | 25.7 | 27.7 |
| 65. | Kansas State Wildcats | 45.6 | 24.6 | 26.7 |
| 66. | Hawaii Warriors | 45.5 | 30.4 | 32.0 |
| 67. | Marshall Thundering Herd | 45.4 | 25.9 | 28.5 |
| 68. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | 45.4 | 26.9 | 29.1 |
| 69. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 45.2 | 27.0 | 29.3 |
| 70. | Baylor Bears | 44.7 | 27.2 | 30.0 |
| 71. | Illinois Fighting Illini | 44.6 | 25.6 | 27.8 |
| 72. | Maryland Terrapins | 44.4 | 26.3 | 29.9 |
| 73. | Wyoming Cowboys | 43.7 | 25.0 | 27.9 |
| 74. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 42.8 | 25.6 | 27.9 |
| 75. | Duke Blue Devils | 42.3 | 26.2 | 29.6 |
| 76. | Louisville Cardinals | 41.9 | 24.6 | 28.0 |
| 77. | Arizona State Sun Devils | 41.9 | 20.6 | 24.7 |
| 78. | Central Michigan Chippewas | 41.4 | 23.3 | 26.6 |
| 79. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 41.4 | 24.9 | 28.4 |
| 80. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 40.7 | 25.4 | 29.7 |
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Navy Midshipmen | 39.5 | 24.5 | 28.6 |
| 82. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 39.3 | 22.9 | 28.2 |
| 83. | Florida Atlantic Owls | 35.0 | 28.1 | 36.4 |
| 84. | Utah State Aggies | 34.2 | 24.7 | 32.7 |
| 85. | Michigan Wolverines | 33.3 | 23.5 | 31.8 |
| 86. | Iowa State Cyclones | 32.7 | 23.3 | 31.2 |
| 87. | Indiana Hoosiers | 32.3 | 23.4 | 30.9 |
| 88. | Kansas Jayhawks | 32.2 | 24.0 | 32.9 |
| 89. | Washington Huskies | 31.8 | 23.6 | 32.5 |
| 90. | Buffalo Bulls | 31.7 | 20.8 | 29.6 |
| 91. | East Carolina Pirates | 31.7 | 22.9 | 31.3 |
| 92. | UAB Blazers | 31.6 | 26.2 | 35.4 |
| 93. | Toledo Rockets | 31.5 | 23.2 | 33.5 |
| 94. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 29.9 | 19.7 | 29.3 |
| 95. | San Diego State Aztecs | 26.6 | 19.5 | 29.8 |
| 96. | Vanderbilt Commodores | 25.8 | 17.7 | 30.2 |
| 97. | Kent State Golden Flashes | 25.4 | 17.8 | 29.8 |
| 98. | UTEP Miners | 25.4 | 22.4 | 35.4 |
| 99. | UNLV Rebels | 23.0 | 20.4 | 34.4 |
| 100. | Tulane Green Wave | 21.0 | 20.8 | 35.9 |
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Army Black Knights | 20.9 | 15.8 | 30.5 |
| 102. | North Texas Mean Green | 19.6 | 18.3 | 35.4 |
| 103. | Washington State Cougars | 19.2 | 16.9 | 33.4 |
| 104. | Akron Zips | 18.8 | 17.1 | 33.7 |
| 105. | New Mexico Lobos | 18.8 | 15.9 | 33.4 |
| 106. | Rice Owls | 18.4 | 19.9 | 36.2 |
| 107. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 18.3 | 16.1 | 34.0 |
| 108. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | 17.8 | 16.2 | 33.8 |
| 109. | Colorado State Rams | 17.8 | 14.6 | 32.7 |
| 110. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 17.6 | 20.9 | 38.5 |
| 111. | San Jose State Spartans | 17.5 | 16.8 | 35.4 |
| 112. | Western Michigan Broncos | 16.0 | 15.9 | 34.6 |
| 113. | Bowling Green Falcons | 15.8 | 16.0 | 33.4 |
| 114. | Ball State Cardinals | 12.6 | 14.1 | 35.6 |
| 115. | Memphis Tigers | 11.9 | 16.2 | 38.3 |
| 116. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 6.5 | 11.8 | 40.7 |
| 117. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | 6.3 | 11.6 | 39.8 |
| 118. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | 5.6 | 10.0 | 38.1 |
| 119. | Florida International Golden Panthers | 5.5 | 11.5 | 39.9 |
| 120. | New Mexico State Aggies | 5.2 | 9.6 | 40.8 |
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.



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