Each Tuesday morning, we give our NFL predictions for the upcoming week straight up and against the spread. Below is a breakdown of our prediction performance (whether our favored team actually wins), as well as some weekly picks like Upset of the Week (a team we pick to win outright that is an underdog) and Lock of the Week (the team that wins the highest percentage against the spread).

To see every game from our Week 11 NFL picks, click here. All of our NFL content, including our most recent NFL power rankings and links to the pre-season preview are located here.

Overall Performance (through 11/16/09)
Overall Winning Percentage: 68.1%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 56.4%*
Game of the Week: 7-3
ATS Lock of the Week: 7-3
Upset of the Week: 4-6
Link to 2009 NFL Content

NFL Week 11
Overall Winning Percentage: TBD
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: TBD
Game of the Week: Atlanta 21 @ New York Giants 24 (Giants win 55.0%)
ATS Lock of the Week: Tennessee +4.5 @ Houston (Titans cover 69.0%)
Upset of the Week: Tennessee 23 @ Houston 20 (Titans win 64.5%)
Link to Week 11 NFL Picks

NFL Week 10
Overall Winning Percentage: 53.3%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 33.3%
Game of the Week: Indianapolis 27 - New England 25 (correct, Indianapolis wins 35-34)
ATS Lock of the Week: Atlanta +1 over Carolina (incorrect, Carolina wins 28-19)
Upset of the Week: Philadelphia over San Diego (incorrect, San Diego wins 31-23)
Link to Week 10 NFL Picks

NFL Week 9
Overall Winning Percentage: 69.2%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 66.7%*
Game of the Week: Cincinnati 23 - Baltimore 20 (correct, Cincinnati wins 17-7)
ATS Lock of the Week: San Diego +4.5 over New York Giants (correct, San Diego wins 21-20)
Upset of the Week: San Diego over New York Giants (correct, San Diego wins 21-20)
Link to Week 9 NFL Picks

NFL Week 8
Overall Winning Percentage: 69.2%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 44.4%*
Game of the Week: Minnesota 22 - Green Bay 25 (incorrect, Minnesota wins 38-26)
ATS Lock of the Week: Cleveland +13.5 against Chicago (incorrect, Chicago wins 30-6)
Upset of the Week: Denver over Baltimore (incorrect, Baltimore wins 30-7)
Link to Week 8 NFL Picks

NFL Week 7
Overall Winning Percentage: 76.9%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 45.5%*
Game of the Week: Minnesota 24 - Pittsburgh 23 (incorrect, Pittsburgh wins 27-17)
ATS Lock of the Week: Arizona +7 @ New York Giants (correct, Arizona wins 24-17)
Upset of the Week: Minnesota over Pittsburgh (incorrect, Pittsburgh wins 27-17)
Link to Week 7 NFL Picks

NFL Week 6
Overall Winning Percentage: 64.3%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 60.0%*
Game of the Week: New Orleans 30 - New York Giants 24 (correct, New Orleans wins 48-27)
ATS Lock of the Week: Kansas City +6.5 @ Washington (correct, Kansas City wins 14-6)
Upset of the Week: Denver over San Diego (correct, Denver wins 34-23)
Link to Week 6 NFL Picks

NFL Week 5
Overall Winning Percentage: 57.1%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 66.7%*
Game of the Week: San Francisco 23 - Atlanta 17 (incorrect, Atlanta wins 45-10)
ATS Lock of the Week: Indianapolis -3.5 over Tennessee (correct, Indianapolis wins 31-9)
Upset of the Week: Washington over Carolina (incorrect, Carolina wins 20-17)
Link to Week 5 NFL Picks

NFL Week 4
Overall Winning Percentage: 71.4%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 41.7%*
Game of the Week: New Orleans Saints 25 - New York Jets 19 (correct, New Orleans wins 24-10)
ATS Lock of the Week: Oakland +9.5 vs. Houston (incorrect, Houston wins 29-6)
Upset of the Week: Baltimore over New England (incorrect, New England wins 27-21)
Link to Week 4 NFL Picks

NFL Week 3
Overall Winning Percentage: 75%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 84.6%*
Game of the Week: Minnesota 23 - San Francisco 19 (correct, won 27-24)
ATS Lock of the Week: New York Jets -1 over Tennessee (correct, won 24-17)
Upset of the Week: Denver over Oakland (correct, won 23-3)
Link to Week 3 NFL Picks

NFL Week 2
Overall Winning Percentage: 68.8%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 66.7%*
Game of the Week: New York Jets 21 - New England 17 (correct, won 16-9)
ATS Lock of the Week: Arizona +3 over Jacksonville (correct, won 31-17)
Upset of the Week: New York Jets over New England (correct, won 16-9)
Link to Week 2 NFL Picks

NFL Week 1
Overall Winning Percentage: 75.0%
Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 50.0%*
Game of the Week: Pittsburgh 24 - Tennessee 13 (correct, won 13-10)
ATS Lock of the Week: Minnesota -4 over Cleveland (correct, won 34-20)
Upset of the Week: Miami over Atlanta (incorrect, lost 19-7)
Link to Week 1 NFL Picks

*(Any pick below 52.5% to win ATS is a NO PICK)

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Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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