WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur. The same football engine is used in our NFL SimMatchup feature.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | New Orleans Saints | - | 92.0 | 35.0 | 24.5 |
| 2. | Indianapolis Colts | - | 84.4 | 24.8 | 22.6 |
| 3. | Minnesota Vikings | - | 76.9 | 27.7 | 22.4 |
| 4. | San Diego Chargers | - | 72.0 | 28.9 | 23.3 |
| 5. | Cincinnati Bengals | - | 66.3 | 21.3 | 22.1 |
| 6. | Denver Broncos | +1 | 65.7 | 25.4 | 20.4 |
| 7. | Dallas Cowboys | -1 | 65.5 | 27.4 | 21.9 |
| 8. | Green Bay Packers | +1 | 62.5 | 26.2 | 23.9 |
| 9. | Arizona Cardinals | -1 | 61.8 | 25.6 | 24.3 |
| 10. | Philadelphia Eagles | +1 | 61.4 | 23.0 | 22.9 |
| 11. | New England Patriots | -1 | 61.3 | 27.0 | 21.4 |
| 12. | New York Giants | - | 58.9 | 25.6 | 22.0 |
| 13. | Pittsburgh Steelers | +2 | 56.6 | 27.3 | 21.3 |
| 14. | Baltimore Ravens | -1 | 55.8 | 24.6 | 19.4 |
| 15. | Jacksonville Jaguars | -1 | 55.3 | 23.1 | 23.7 |
| 16. | New York Jets | - | 52.9 | 25.6 | 21.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Miami Dolphins | +2 | 49.0 | 22.3 | 23.0 |
| 18. | San Francisco 49ers | - | 47.8 | 23.6 | 21.0 |
| 19. | Tennessee Titans | -2 | 45.6 | 23.0 | 21.6 |
| 20. | Houston Texans | +1 | 45.6 | 23.8 | 23.1 |
| 21. | Atlanta Falcons | -1 | 44.5 | 18.8 | 24.1 |
| 22. | Carolina Panthers | - | 44.2 | 23.6 | 24.4 |
| 23. | Seattle Seahawks | - | 41.2 | 21.6 | 24.7 |
| 24. | Chicago Bears | - | 38.1 | 20.1 | 25.7 |
| 25. | Oakland Raiders | +1 | 34.3 | 19.4 | 24.0 |
| 26. | Buffalo Bills | -1 | 34.1 | 19.6 | 24.7 |
| 27. | Washington Redskins | - | 31.4 | 20.6 | 23.1 |
| 28. | Kansas City Chiefs | - | 24.1 | 16.4 | 27.2 |
| 29. | Detroit Lions | - | 18.6 | 17.3 | 26.5 |
| 30. | St. Louis Rams | - | 18.3 | 20.0 | 24.4 |
| 31. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | - | 17.4 | 18.9 | 25.1 |
| 32. | Cleveland Browns | - | 15.7 | 18.3 | 26.2 |
Michael Schneid is the Marketing Director and Assistant Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Mike can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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