WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We have simulated every possible matchup in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date as of Monday night of each week.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage (everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | New Orleans Saints | 87.1 | 33.6 | 19.2 |
| 2. | Indianapolis Colts | 84.9 | 29.4 | 16.4 |
| 3. | Minnesota Vikings77.4 | 28.6 | 19.2 | |
| 4. | New England Patriots | 69.8 | 27.7 | 20.2 |
| 5. | San Diego Chargers | 64.0 | 25.5 | 20.1 |
| 6. | Cincinnati Bengals | 59.7 | 23.6 | 20.2 |
| 7. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 60.1 | 25.8 | 22.6 |
| 8. | Tennessee Titans | 59.7 | 23.2 | 20.0 |
| 9. | Arizona Cardinals | 58.1 | 24.8 | 21.8 |
| 10. | Philadelphia Eagles | 57.9 | 24.9 | 22.3 |
| 11. | Dallas Cowboys | 56.8 | 24.4 | 22.7 |
| 12. | Houston Texans | 50.5 | 24.0 | 24.0 |
| 13. | Baltimore Ravens | 55.0 | 24.0 | 21.8 |
| 14. | Green Bay Packers | 53.5 | 26.3 | 25.2 |
| 15. | San Francisco 49ers | 53.0 | 22.2 | 21.9 |
| 16. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 51.0 | 23.1 | 22.0 |
| Team | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | New York Giants | 56.5 | 25.9 | 24.1 |
| 18. | Miami Dolphins | 47.7 | 22.1 | 22.9 |
| 19. | New York Jets | 43.1 | 21.5 | 24.0 |
| 20. | Oakland Raiders | 42.6 | 20.5 | 23.7 |
| 21. | Carolina Panthers | 41.7 | 22.0 | 24.9 |
| 22. | Chicago Bears | 40.4 | 20.1 | 23.4 |
| 23. | Denver Broncos | 38.2 | 19.9 | 24.1 |
| 24. | Atlanta Falcons | 38.1 | 20.3 | 24.2 |
| 25. | St. Louis Rams | 37.3 | 21.9 | 26.7 |
| 26. | Seattle Seahawks | 37.2 | 20.5 | 25.2 |
| 27. | Washington Redskins | 36.2 | 19.2 | 24.3 |
| 28. | Kansas City Chiefs | 36.0 | 18.9 | 23.5 |
| 29. | Detroit Lions | 31.7 | 20.7 | 27.3 |
| 30. | Buffalo Bills | 31.6 | 19.2 | 24.6 |
| 31. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 22.6 | 18.2 | 28.1 |
| 32. | Cleveland Browns | 20.5 | 17.6 | 29.0 |
Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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