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College Football Power Rankings

Week 5 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
September 28th, 2009

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.Florida Gators99.457.96.2
2.Alabama Crimson Tide98.356.85.9
3.Texas Longhorns96.447.28.3
4.TCU Horned Frogs95.245.59.3
5.Boise State Broncos93.646.211.2
6.Cincinnati Bearcats92.243.312.5
7.Nebraska Cornhuskers90.542.112.0
8.Oklahoma Sooners89.438.99.5
9.USC Trojans89.141.810.6
10.Ohio State Buckeyes88.537.89.6
11.South Florida Bulls86.636.813.1
12.Oregon Ducks85.435.510.4
13.Missouri Tigers84.337.214.7
14.Virginia Tech Hokies84.037.811.3
15.Houston Cougars84.040.016.6
16.Auburn Tigers80.741.016.6
17.Iowa Hawkeyes79.630.211.0
18.Brigham Young Cougars79.635.817.4
19.Oklahoma State Cowboys78.737.117.9
20.Georgia Bulldogs78.434.415.6
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
21.Air Force Falcons77.034.317.7
22.Kansas Jayhawks76.534.715.0
23.Arizona Wildcats76.533.315.1
24.Texas A&M Aggies76.134.417.8
25.California Golden Bears75.632.815.4
26.Utah Utes75.432.915.8
27.LSU Tigers75.027.313.2
28.Penn State Nittany Lions73.425.912.2
29.North Carolina State Wolfpack73.127.612.5
30.Baylor Bears72.834.117.6
31.Wisconsin Badgers72.535.021.0
32.West Virginia Mountaineers71.732.719.0
33.South Carolina Gamecocks71.626.112.8
34.Mississippi Rebels71.329.115.4
35.Stanford Cardinal71.134.818.5
36.Tulsa Golden Hurricane70.532.119.5
37.Hawaii Warriors66.132.721.7
38.Clemson Tigers66.022.913.4
39.Pittsburgh Panthers65.830.319.8
40.Tennessee Volunteers65.323.615.3
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
41.Miami (FL) Hurricanes65.029.819.3
42.Notre Dame Fighting Irish64.431.422.1
43.Southern Miss Golden Eagles64.026.916.8
44.Florida State Seminoles63.628.020.0
45.North Carolina Tar Heels62.219.515.5
46.Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets61.930.118.9
47.Rutgers Scarlet Knights61.124.920.7
48.Connecticut Huskies61.120.715.2
49.Michigan State Spartans59.426.921.1
50.Texas Tech Red Raiders59.122.717.9
51.Fresno State Bulldogs58.833.826.6
52.Michigan Wolverines58.828.321.4
53.UCLA Bruins58.118.115.0
54.Wake Forest Demon Deacons57.426.421.7
55.Arizona State Sun Devils56.318.915.0
56.Oregon State Beavers55.222.819.9
57.Navy Midshipmen54.624.321.6
58.Colorado State Rams54.122.319.4
59.Boston College Eagles52.718.316.1
60.Utah State Aggies51.826.025.5
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
61.Arkansas State Red Wolves51.323.423.1
62.Arkansas Razorbacks50.424.623.8
63.Idaho Vandals48.022.623.7
64.Purdue Boilermakers46.223.525.3
65.Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks44.820.123.6
66.Indiana Hoosiers44.820.322.4
67.Northern Illinois Huskies44.320.925.3
68.Vanderbilt Commodores44.215.819.1
69.Central Michigan Chippewas43.717.822.4
70.Mississippi State Bulldogs43.717.023.1
71.Kentucky Wildcats43.419.023.2
72.Toledo Rockets42.923.729.1
73.Nevada Wolf Pack42.621.626.4
74.Illinois Fighting Illini42.620.525.8
75.Temple Owls40.317.623.8
76.Minnesota Golden Gophers39.616.123.3
77.Louisville Cardinals38.915.823.2
78.Kansas State Wildcats38.216.424.5
79.Iowa State Cyclones35.618.326.6
80.Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns34.816.626.3
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
81.Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders33.913.525.2
82.Washington Huskies33.415.628.0
83.Northwestern Wildcats33.316.326.6
84.Marshall Thundering Herd32.817.529.4
85.UNLV Rebels31.715.727.9
86.Ohio Bobcats30.611.723.8
87.UAB Blazers29.518.031.3
88.Troy Trojans29.415.629.1
89.Syracuse Orange25.311.926.7
90.Southern Methodist Mustangs24.711.230.5
91.North Texas Mean Green24.411.930.0
92.Army Black Knights23.711.428.7
93.Buffalo Bulls23.012.629.7
94.Duke Blue Devils20.810.731.3
95.East Carolina Pirates20.48.929.3
96.Tulane Green Wave20.212.833.3
97.Colorado Buffaloes19.99.930.9
98.San Diego State Aztecs19.78.330.4
99.UCF Knights19.58.527.9
100.Western Michigan Broncos19.410.029.4
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
101.Virginia Cavaliers19.17.327.6
102.Maryland Terrapins19.012.031.8
103.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs18.810.233.3
104.New Mexico State Aggies16.88.432.9
105.Ball State Cardinals16.89.235.2
106.Wyoming Cowboys16.08.330.5
107.Bowling Green Falcons15.57.834.2
108.Akron Zips13.49.733.7
109.Florida Atlantic Owls13.210.139.5
110.Eastern Michigan Eagles12.16.837.5
111.Kent State Golden Flashes11.86.433.4
112.Memphis Tigers11.88.335.0
113.New Mexico Lobos11.27.234.9
114.Rice Owls11.28.138.5
115.UTEP Miners9.66.837.6
116.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers7.67.140.4
117.Washington State Cougars6.25.139.3
118.Florida International Golden Panthers5.35.840.0
119.San Jose State Spartans5.16.243.6
120.Miami (OH) RedHawks5.05.140.5

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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