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College Football Power Rankings

Week 4 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
September 21st, 2009

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.Florida Gators98.754.75.9
2.Alabama Crimson Tide98.249.67.3
3.California Golden Bears94.645.89.9
4.Cincinnati Bearcats92.742.610.0
5.Texas Longhorns92.441.510.2
6.TCU Horned Frogs92.242.411.4
7.Boise State Broncos91.743.311.5
8.Mississippi Rebels91.043.010.1
9.Oklahoma Sooners89.339.812.0
10.Penn State Nittany Lions89.233.38.4
11.North Carolina Tar Heels88.133.27.9
12.Kansas Jayhawks86.841.212.1
13.Ohio State Buckeyes85.035.412.2
14.South Florida Bulls82.538.014.6
15.Miami (FL) Hurricanes81.435.815.2
16.Houston Cougars80.937.115.9
17.USC Trojans80.936.215.0
18.LSU Tigers80.832.311.4
19.Florida State Seminoles80.437.417.0
20.Missouri Tigers80.034.014.3
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
21.Wisconsin Badgers78.136.818.8
22.Virginia Tech Hokies78.033.313.1
23.Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets77.441.421.0
24.Pittsburgh Panthers77.236.215.8
25.Oklahoma State Cowboys74.533.818.5
26.Auburn Tigers73.234.417.3
27.Arizona State Sun Devils73.225.010.1
28.Clemson Tigers72.923.811.0
29.Nebraska Cornhuskers72.831.415.8
30.Arizona Wildcats71.630.415.2
31.Colorado State Rams71.530.318.0
32.Georgia Bulldogs70.935.121.7
33.Michigan Wolverines69.630.017.1
34.Iowa Hawkeyes69.525.613.1
35.Brigham Young Cougars68.531.520.2
36.Texas Tech Red Raiders66.623.915.7
37.Illinois Fighting Illini65.931.020.9
38.Stanford Cardinal65.733.221.5
39.West Virginia Mountaineers65.732.421.4
40.Rutgers Scarlet Knights64.931.321.9
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
41.Tennessee Volunteers64.923.513.5
42.Utah Utes64.529.720.0
43.Texas A&M Aggies63.430.619.9
44.Notre Dame Fighting Irish63.135.725.9
45.Southern Miss Golden Eagles62.925.516.6
46.Arkansas Razorbacks62.934.425.8
47.Kentucky Wildcats62.425.617.1
48.Boston College Eagles62.017.812.6
49.Baylor Bears61.726.418.6
50.Air Force Falcons61.226.519.4
51.Michigan State Spartans60.728.321.0
52.Louisville Cardinals60.324.217.3
53.Oregon Ducks59.622.815.8
54.North Carolina State Wolfpack58.718.314.1
55.Oregon State Beavers58.425.619.0
56.Fresno State Bulldogs58.234.429.4
57.Tulsa Golden Hurricane57.927.523.5
58.South Carolina Gamecocks56.223.118.5
59.Wake Forest Demon Deacons56.125.120.2
60.Arkansas State Red Wolves55.627.322.8
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
61.UCLA Bruins54.818.915.0
62.Hawaii Warriors54.628.924.5
63.Navy Midshipmen52.723.822.0
64.UNLV Rebels50.824.625.1
65.Washington Huskies49.119.421.4
66.Vanderbilt Commodores47.916.018.5
67.Northern Illinois Huskies47.621.123.3
68.Connecticut Huskies43.014.318.3
69.Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns41.319.124.4
70.Northwestern Wildcats41.121.327.5
71.Nevada Wolf Pack40.623.930.2
72.Purdue Boilermakers40.422.927.7
73.Indiana Hoosiers38.216.122.6
74.Mississippi State Bulldogs37.916.624.3
75.Central Michigan Chippewas36.613.622.4
76.UAB Blazers36.320.730.2
77.Kansas State Wildcats35.313.524.2
78.Ohio Bobcats34.212.222.5
79.Minnesota Golden Gophers33.816.126.4
80.Idaho Vandals32.015.328.3
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
81.Utah State Aggies30.118.231.8
82.Toledo Rockets29.718.932.9
83.Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks29.114.627.6
84.Maryland Terrapins29.116.530.7
85.Temple Owls28.413.928.1
86.Army Black Knights28.412.126.4
87.Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders28.313.025.5
88.Buffalo Bulls28.115.529.4
89.Bowling Green Falcons27.810.224.8
90.Iowa State Cyclones27.414.931.3
91.Southern Methodist Mustangs26.212.328.1
92.Syracuse Orange25.810.925.1
93.Akron Zips24.212.028.8
94.Marshall Thundering Herd24.113.532.8
95.UCF Knights23.29.127.1
96.East Carolina Pirates23.010.128.2
97.Troy Trojans22.513.731.3
98.North Texas Mean Green22.310.731.5
99.Colorado Buffaloes22.011.329.0
100.Duke Blue Devils21.110.430.2
 TeamWin PctPS/GPA/G
101.UTEP Miners20.710.432.3
102.Western Michigan Broncos18.99.930.0
103.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs18.510.330.8
104.Virginia Cavaliers17.87.528.9
105.San Diego State Aztecs15.77.930.3
106.New Mexico State Aggies14.09.137.1
107.Rice Owls12.810.838.6
108.Kent State Golden Flashes12.06.832.5
109.Memphis Tigers12.07.734.6
110.Tulane Green Wave11.79.336.9
111.San Jose State Spartans11.710.742.5
112.Ball State Cardinals10.66.834.4
113.FIU Golden Panthers9.07.337.4
114.Eastern Michigan Eagles8.37.639.3
115.New Mexico Lobos8.37.136.5
116.Washington State Cougars8.27.139.3
117.Wyoming Cowboys8.04.836.5
118.Miami (OH) RedHawks6.36.439.8
119.Florida Atlantic Owls4.87.348.0
120.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers4.06.146.3

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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