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College Football Power Rankings

Week 2 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
September 7th, 2009

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.Florida Gators-98.448.26.4
2.Texas Longhorns-98.245.58.8
3.USC Trojans+196.543.69.0
4.Alabama Crimson Tide+193.133.58.0
5.Oklahoma State Cowboys+191.943.115.3
6.California Golden Bears+489.933.810.3
7.Mississippi Rebels+188.637.014.5
8.Oklahoma Sooners-587.332.912.0
9.LSU Tigers-287.334.413.8
10.Penn State Nittany Lions+184.631.113.2
11.Ohio State Buckeyes-281.927.711.7
12.Missouri Tigers+2480.433.417.5
13.Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets+279.831.414.4
14.West Virginia Mountaineers-278.728.814.0
15.Virginia Tech Hokies+377.226.012.9
16.Brigham Young Cougars+876.729.916.9
17.Notre Dame Fighting Irish+976.527.614.6
18.Boise State Broncos+576.327.515.3
19.Georgia Bulldogs-676.227.715.0
20.Nebraska Cornhuskers+975.829.817.1
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
21.TCU Horned Frogs-475.726.013.7
22.Houston Cougars-74.633.221.1
23.Oregon Ducks-274.528.016.1
24.Kansas Jayhawks+174.232.119.6
25.Tennessee Volunteers+773.223.513.2
26.Utah Utes-673.026.215.6
27.Florida State Seminoles-1172.926.715.4
28.Air Force Falcons+1671.228.218.3
29.Oregon State Beavers+970.625.816.8
30.Southern Miss Golden Eagles+970.227.317.2
31.Rutgers Scarlet Knights-170.126.617.3
32.North Carolina Tar Heels+169.021.813.6
33.Baylor Bears-668.827.919.2
34.Arizona Wildcats+367.823.415.8
35.Clemson Tigers-467.722.614.3
36.Michigan State Spartans+565.721.014.6
37.Texas Tech Red Raiders-964.927.920.7
38.South Florida Bulls+264.523.216.9
39.Pittsburgh Panthers-564.422.015.8
40.Iowa Hawkeyes-2663.519.614.4
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
41.Miami (FL) Hurricanes+263.521.315.2
42.Michigan Wolverines+2261.922.417.0
43.Illinois Fighting Illini-2460.424.320.4
44.Tulsa Golden Hurricane+259.826.322.5
45.Arkansas State Red Wolves+1159.422.118.1
46.Arkansas Razorbacks+458.725.221.1
47.Arizona State Sun Devils+1258.520.217.1
48.Cincinnati Bearcats-157.624.921.3
49.Wisconsin Badgers-757.523.620.3
50.Stanford Cardinal-157.224.421.0
51.Navy Midshipmen+156.523.220.9
52.Vanderbilt Commodores+355.217.115.6
53.Maryland Terrapins-51.820.520.3
54.East Carolina Pirates-951.018.218.0
55.Nevada Wolf Pack-2050.822.923.2
56.Fresno State Bulldogs+1050.720.820.7
57.Northwestern Wildcats+649.417.317.9
58.Wake Forest Demon Deacons-149.117.918.3
59.Boston College Eagles+1449.117.018.0
60.Minnesota Golden Gophers-1247.517.519.6
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
61.Connecticut Huskies-147.516.518.2
62.North Carolina State Wolfpack-1146.317.519.8
63.Auburn Tigers+1945.918.721.1
64.Kentucky Wildcats+2945.215.518.2
65.Mississippi State Bulldogs+1645.117.920.8
66.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs-844.418.621.4
67.UAB Blazers+1043.623.326.6
68.Texas A&M Aggies+4143.621.925.5
69.UCLA Bruins+243.417.520.8
70.Bowling Green Falcons+542.919.422.6
71.Washington Huskies+2442.619.022.9
72.Central Michigan Chippewas-1042.517.320.8
73.Louisville Cardinals-842.219.523.5
74.Florida International Golden Panthers-241.716.321.4
75.Purdue Boilermakers+1741.417.321.7
76.Troy Trojans-1540.917.923.0
77.South Carolina Gamecocks-1040.313.518.1
78.Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns+739.819.524.5
79.Colorado Buffaloes+439.217.423.0
80.Colorado State Rams-1238.218.924.8
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
81.Western Michigan Broncos-2737.218.825.1
82.UNLV Rebels-837.018.124.2
83.Buffalo Bulls+1835.814.521.4
84.Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders+235.115.723.3
85.Northern Illinois Huskies+1734.917.025.2
86.Rice Owls-1734.719.928.0
87.Syracuse Orange+1333.315.223.9
88.Ohio Bobcats-833.115.223.6
89.Utah State Aggies+733.017.325.6
90.Marshall Thundering Herd-1131.215.524.3
91.Iowa State Cyclones+1229.719.430.4
92.Memphis Tigers-229.315.226.1
93.UTEP Miners-2329.017.428.6
94.Akron Zips-528.417.628.7
95.San Jose State Spartans-827.811.922.2
96.Wyoming Cowboys+827.012.223.7
97.Toledo Rockets+226.415.527.3
98.Army Black Knights+1226.212.224.3
99.Ball State Cardinals-2125.013.927.6
100.Kent State Golden Flashes-224.614.627.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
101.Indiana Hoosiers+422.612.427.0
102.UCF Knights+622.110.725.4
103.Florida Atlantic Owls-1521.514.529.2
104.Duke Blue Devils-2820.911.926.5
105.Temple Owls-820.210.925.8
106.Kansas State Wildcats-1219.811.426.5
107.Virginia Cavaliers-2319.610.626.2
108.North Texas Mean Green+819.613.029.1
109.New Mexico Lobos-1818.912.027.9
110.Tulane Green Wave+318.012.628.8
111.San Diego State Aztecs-417.812.629.4
112.Hawaii Warriors-617.214.331.7
113.Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+116.511.729.8
114.Southern Methodist Mustangs-315.913.130.9
115.Idaho Vandals+314.110.931.0
116.Eastern Michigan Eagles-113.59.730.1
117.New Mexico State Aggies-511.29.431.3
118.Washington State Cougars-18.17.132.2
119.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers+15.36.133.7
120.Miami (OH) RedHawks-13.76.035.2

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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