WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. All rosters and depth charts are up-to-date as of August 26, 2009.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Philadelphia Eagles | - | 73.4 | 25.4 | 16.7 |
| 2. | Pittsburgh Steelers | - | 69.4 | 22.2 | 15.6 |
| 3. | New England Patriots | - | 69.1 | 26.7 | 19.7 |
| 4. | Minnesota Vikings | - | 67.4 | 27.5 | 21.5 |
| 5. | Miami Dolphins | - | 66.5 | 24.5 | 18.6 |
| 6. | New York Giants | - | 65.2 | 24.3 | 18.6 |
| 7. | Arizona Cardinals | - | 64.1 | 25.2 | 20.5 |
| 8. | Dallas Cowboys | - | 63.8 | 26.2 | 21.3 |
| 9. | San Diego Chargers | - | 61.8 | 25.5 | 21.4 |
| 10. | Houston Texans | - | 60.8 | 26.2 | 22.2 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 11. | New York Jets | - | 59.8 | 22.6 | 19.0 |
| 12. | Washington Redskins | - | 57.9 | 20.1 | 17.1 |
| 13. | New Orleans Saints | - | 56.1 | 26.3 | 24.2 |
| 14. | Tennessee Titans | - | 55.5 | 22.9 | 21.1 |
| 15. | Atlanta Falcons | - | 53.3 | 24.9 | 23.9 |
| 16. | Indianapolis Colts | - | 50.7 | 23.9 | 23.7 |
| 17. | Green Bay Packers | - | 50.1 | 22.5 | 22.3 |
| 18. | San Francisco 49ers | - | 49.9 | 21.8 | 21.8 |
| 19. | Carolina Panthers | - | 49.8 | 24.3 | 24.4 |
| 20. | Baltimore Ravens | - | 49.1 | 21.1 | 21.4 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Cincinnati Bengals | - | 46.9 | 22.2 | 23.6 |
| 22. | Buffalo Bills | - | 45.2 | 23.5 | 24.9 |
| 23. | Chicago Bears | - | 44.0 | 20.5 | 22.8 |
| 24. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | - | 37.2 | 21.8 | 26.3 |
| 25. | Seattle Seahawks | - | 36.2 | 19.0 | 23.7 |
| 26. | Oakland Raiders | - | 32.2 | 21.3 | 27.3 |
| 27. | Denver Broncos | - | 32.0 | 22.5 | 29.1 |
| 28. | Detroit Lions | - | 28.8 | 20.4 | 28.0 |
| 29. | Kansas City Chiefs | - | 28.6 | 18.4 | 25.9 |
| 30. | St. Louis Rams | - | 26.6 | 19.5 | 28.2 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 31. | Jacksonville Jaguars | - | 26.6 | 19.2 | 26.8 |
| 32. | Cleveland Browns | - | 21.9 | 18.7 | 29.2 |
Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in fantasy football simulation analysis and football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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