NFL Playoff Predictions

Playoff Odds (plus boxscores from every Wild Card game)
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
December 30th, 2008

Each Tuesday morning during the season, we will preview every NFL game of the upcoming week. For our playoff preview, we have simulated all the way through the playoffs 10,001 times, giving us odds for every team winning in each round. Those odds as well as boxscores for the four upcoming Wild Card round games are below. All of our NFL content, including our most recent power rankings and weekly fantasy projections, is located here. The inputs to the 10,001 simulations of each upcoming game are based on a rigorous analysis of each team that considers strength-of-schedule-adjusted team and player ratings and then makes modifications for injuries and depth at each position.

NFL Playoffs (Winning Percentages from 10,001 simulations)

TeamWC Win%DIV Win%CC Win%SB Win%
Tennessee Titans-573219
Carolina Panthers-733818
New York Giants-633618
Pittsburgh Steelers-622916
Baltimore Ravens70362112
Philadelphia Eagles6127146
Indianapolis Colts5926116
Minnesota Vikings391252
San Diego Chargers411141
Atlanta Falcons631751
Miami Dolphins30930.6
Arizona Cardinals37720.4


Boxscores for Every NFL Wild Card Game

MatchupHome Win%Avg Score
Indianapolis @ San Diego41.324-23Boxscore
Philadelphia @ Minnesota3921-19Boxscore
Atlanta @ Arizona36.829-26Boxscore
Baltimore @ Miami29.821-16Boxscore

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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