NFL Power Rankings

12/2/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
December 2nd, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.New York Giants-93.634.77.9
2.Tennessee Titans+487.530.39.5
3.Pittsburgh Steelers-83.627.39.2
4.Carolina Panthers+980.828.413.2
5.Dallas Cowboys-180.730.915.0
6.Baltimore Ravens+179.525.210.6
7.Tampa Bay Buccaneers-277.124.911.5
8.Philadelphia Eagles+1274.425.713.8
9.Atlanta Falcons+167.527.718.6
10.Indianapolis Colts+164.424.817.6
11.New York Jets-962.827.321.2
12.Minnesota Vikings+362.423.616.7
13.Washington Redskins-457.823.919.8
14.Arizona Cardinals-656.425.822.4
15.New Orleans Saints+155.026.423.9
16.Houston Texans+148.725.625.8
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
17.Miami Dolphins+447.223.324.0
18.Green Bay Packers+446.623.925.2
19.Chicago Bears-740.820.022.9
20.Denver Broncos+540.723.327.1
21.San Diego Chargers-339.623.427.3
22.New England Patriots-839.420.225.0
23.San Francisco 49ers+138.821.926.5
24.Buffalo Bills-536.121.827.8
25.Jacksonville Jaguars+134.518.926.1
26.Cleveland Browns+125.116.929.0
27.Kansas City Chiefs+119.917.132.9
28.Oakland Raiders-518.816.232.2
29.Seattle Seahawks+117.715.833.2
30.Cincinnati Bengals-110.310.833.5
31.Detroit Lions-8.015.141.9
32.St. Louis Rams-4.712.041.4

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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