NFL Power Rankings

11/4/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
November 4th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.Tennessee Titans094.8%33.46.8
2.New York Giants092.7%36.38.8
3.Pittsburgh Steelers+184.8%28.58.4
4.Washington Redskins-179.7%34.214.9
5.Philadelphia Eagles076.3%28.114.3
6.Baltimore Ravens+1170.9%25.412.1
7.Carolina Panthers+169.7%26.513.8
8.Arizona Cardinals+369.1%29.718.8
9.Atlanta Falcons+366.2%25.620.7
10.New York Jets+365.5%27.118.7
11.Tampa Bay Buccaneers-463.2%26.317.6
12.Dallas Cowboys-360.1%25.021.9
13.Buffalo Bills-759.7%23.422.6
14.Miami Dolphins058.0%25.923.0
15.Chicago Bears-553.4%20.821.3
16.Green Bay Packers053.0%23.623.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
17.Minnesota Vikings+452.3%23.222.0
18.Indianapolis Colts+252.0%22.122.4
19.New Orleans Saints-446.8%26.027.0
20.San Diego Chargers-143.6%25.526.3
21.New England Patriots-342.4%22.726.4
22.Denver Broncos+134.4%21.132.1
23.Cleveland Browns-134.1%19.930.4
24.Houston Texans+333.7%25.429.7
25.St. Louis Rams-123.8%18.732.7
26.San Francisco 49ers-123.6%21.232.8
27.Cincinnati Bengals+323.1%14.831.7
28.Jacksonville Jaguars020.1%17.728.8
29.Kansas City Chiefs+216.8%16.636.8
30.Oakland Raiders-416.5%14.633.0
31.Seattle Seahawks-215.3%16.633.1
32.Detroit Lions04.6%12.345.5

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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