WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PF/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Tennessee Titans | 0 | 93.2% | 31.3 | 8.4 |
| 2. | New York Giants | +4 | 88.7% | 31.5 | 9.1 |
| 3. | Washington Redskins | +2 | 84.3% | 31.5 | 11.7 |
| 4. | Pittsburgh Steelers | -2 | 80.0% | 26.9 | 11.1 |
| 5. | Philadelphia Eagles | +5 | 76.2% | 30.7 | 17.0 |
| 6. | Buffalo Bills | -3 | 73.2% | 25.3 | 18.8 |
| 7. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -3 | 72.0% | 26.9 | 14.4 |
| 8. | Carolina Panthers | +1 | 68.6% | 26.4 | 14.7 |
| 9. | Dallas Cowboys | +9 | 66.6% | 26.0 | 20.0 |
| 10. | Chicago Bears | +1 | 62.9% | 23.8 | 20.9 |
| 11. | Arizona Cardinals | -3 | 57.8% | 27.3 | 22.3 |
| 12. | Atlanta Falcons | -5 | 57.8% | 24.9 | 25.1 |
| 13. | New York Jets | -1 | 53.9% | 25.8 | 23.3 |
| 14. | Miami Dolphins | +5 | 53.3% | 25.5 | 24.9 |
| 15. | New Orleans Saints | +1 | 50.6% | 27.3 | 26.6 |
| 16. | Green Bay Packers | -1 | 49.4% | 23.6 | 25.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PF/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Baltimore Ravens | +4 | 49.2% | 20.5 | 16.5 |
| 18. | New England Patriots | -1 | 47.8% | 23.9 | 24.7 |
| 19. | San Diego Chargers | -5 | 44.6% | 26.2 | 26.1 |
| 20. | Indianapolis Colts | -7 | 44.1% | 22.2 | 26.3 |
| 21. | Minnesota Vikings | -1 | 43.9% | 21.8 | 24.3 |
| 22. | Cleveland Browns | +3 | 42.3% | 21.2 | 27.1 |
| 23. | Denver Broncos | -1 | 41.5% | 24.1 | 30.7 |
| 24. | St. Louis Rams | +2 | 34.2% | 20.7 | 28.9 |
| 25. | San Francisco 49ers | +3 | 33.4% | 26.4 | 31.3 |
| 26. | Oakland Raiders | -2 | 30.9% | 20.5 | 30.2 |
| 27. | Houston Texans | 0 | 29.2% | 24.1 | 28.8 |
| 28. | Jacksonville Jaguars | -5 | 24.9% | 18.9 | 26.3 |
| 29. | Seattle Seahawks | +1 | 14.1% | 15.5 | 31.8 |
| 30. | Cincinnati Bengals | +1 | 12.4% | 14.3 | 37.1 |
| 31. | Kansas City Chiefs | -2 | 9.7% | 14.9 | 40.7 |
| 32. | Detroit Lions | 0 | 9.4% | 15.4 | 40.7 |
Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
Facebook
Become a fan of WhatIfSports on Facebook
Twitter
Follow WhatIfSports on Twitter