CFB Power Rankings

10/27/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

October 27th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	Texas Longhorns	0	97.5%	55.3	11.3
2.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+3	96.3%	46.4	9.6
3.	USC Trojans	+1	96.1%	44.1	7.6
4.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-2	95.5%	47.0	16.6
5.	Oklahoma Sooners	-2	94.0%	43.6	16.9
6.	Alabama Crimson Tide	0	92.6%	38.9	8.8
7.	Missouri Tigers	0	91.4%	42.5	18.9
8.	Florida Gators	+4	89.8%	40.4	13.7
9.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+5	88.2%	42.9	17.3
10.	Georgia Bulldogs	0	87.0%	39.7	16.3
11.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-2	86.9%	49.4	23.2
12.	Boise State Broncos	-1	86.9%	37.0	11.7
13.	Ball State Cardinals	0	86.8%	40.9	18.6
14.	Florida State Seminoles	+2	84.6%	31.5	15.0
15.	Utah Utes	+2	83.3%	36.4	14.7
16.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-1	82.5%	29.0	12.7
17.	TCU Horned Frogs	+1	82.0%	29.9	11.1
18.	North Carolina Tar Heels	+5	78.9%	30.5	18.7
19.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	-11	76.1%	26.2	16.8
20.	Virginia Cavaliers	+45	75.7%	26.4	16.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
21.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+3	73.0%	28.4	18.5
22.	Oregon Ducks	+8	72.5%	30.7	18.9
23.	California Golden Bears	+6	71.7%	29.2	17.8
24.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+2	70.9%	31.3	23.3
25.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-4	70.5%	30.3	22.4
26.	Maryland Terrapins	+10	70.5%	28.4	22.0
27.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	+15	68.7%	25.7	19.1
28.	Minn. Golden Gophers	+6	68.0%	26.4	20.2
29.	Brigham Young Cougars	+4	67.4%	29.8	19.8
30.	Oregon State Beavers	+7	66.6%	28.6	20.3
31.	Kansas Jayhawks	-6	66.4%	27.5	22.2
32.	Air Force Falcons	-5	66.4%	29.9	20.1
33.	Michigan State Spartans	+6	66.3%	25.3	20.0
34.	LSU Tigers	-6	66.3%	29.7	20.6
35.	Arizona Wildcats	-4	66.0%	26.1	19.1
36.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+4	65.2%	26.1	20.3
37.	South Florida Bulls	-15	64.5%	30.2	19.7
38.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-19	63.7%	24.7	21.5
39.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-4	63.1%	29.6	24.5
40.	W. Michigan Broncos	+4	61.3%	26.2	21.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
41.	Arkansas St. Indians	0	61.2%	27.1	23.5
42.	Connecticut Huskies	+12	61.0%	26.8	18.7
43.	Boston College Eagles	-23	60.1%	21.2	20.0
44.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-12	58.7%	26.8	20.7
45.	Troy Trojans	+1	58.5%	27.1	19.8
46.	Clemson Tigers	-3	57.6%	22.1	23.2
47.	Louisville Cardinals	+11	57.6%	26.8	20.9
48.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+8	57.5%	20.1	20.3
49.	Kansas State Wildcats	+1	57.4%	26.3	26.2
50.	Mississippi Rebels	-2	57.1%	26.0	21.9
51.	Wisconsin Badgers	0	56.9%	23.6	22.6
52.	WF Demon Deacons	-7	56.8%	19.2	20.6
53.	Navy Midshipmen	+4	56.0%	28.8	24.0
54.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	-2	55.8%	21.4	19.1
55.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-8	55.7%	20.8	21.9
56.	Houston Cougars	-7	55.6%	28.5	24.2
57.	Baylor Bears	+4	55.1%	25.9	22.8
58.	Northwestern Wildcats	-20	54.5%	20.6	20.6
59.	Duke Blue Devils	+10	51.4%	19.0	22.9
60.	Fresno State Bulldogs	0	51.0%	29.4	27.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
61.	Indiana Hoosiers	+13	50.4%	22.3	25.3
62.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+17	49.1%	22.2	20.5
63.	C. Michigan Chippewas	-8	48.6%	23.0	24.6
64.	East Carolina Pirates	0	47.6%	22.9	22.2
65.	Stanford Cardinal	+2	46.3%	22.0	24.5
66.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+19	46.1%	21.7	27.3
67.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	+3	45.8%	26.1	29.8
68.	Rice Owls	+5	45.6%	25.8	27.0
69.	San Jose State Spartans	-10	43.8%	15.5	20.3
70.	Akron Zips	+1	43.2%	21.8	26.5
71.	Purdue Boilermakers	-5	42.9%	18.4	24.8
72.	New Mexico State Aggies	-4	41.9%	21.2	27.0
73.	Tennessee Volunteers	-11	41.9%	18.8	22.9
74.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+1	41.1%	16.6	21.6
75.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-3	40.7%	22.3	26.7
76.	Kentucky Wildcats	-23	40.0%	16.8	22.0
77.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	-14	38.9%	19.6	25.7
78.	UNLV Rebels	-2	38.3%	22.9	30.9
79.	Colorado St. Rams	+8	35.5%	21.6	27.1
80.	Texas A&M Aggies	+19	33.3%	21.9	29.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
81.	Colorado Buffaloes	-3	33.1%	12.9	24.7
82.	NC St. Wolfpack	0	32.9%	15.0	27.9
83.	Hawaii Warriors	-6	32.6%	18.3	25.9
84.	Toledo Rockets	+18	32.2%	17.2	27.0
85.	New Mexico Lobos	-1	32.1%	16.5	24.9
86.	Buffalo Bulls	0	32.1%	19.6	25.3
87.	Memphis Tigers	+9	31.8%	22.4	29.2
88.	Bowling Green Falcons	-7	31.7%	15.2	25.8
89.	Florida Atlantic Owls	0	30.1%	20.4	27.0
90.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-10	29.9%	14.8	26.8
91.	Ohio Bobcats	-3	29.6%	15.2	27.0
92.	Temple Owls	-1	29.5%	12.1	25.7
93.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	+10	27.5%	17.9	30.3
94.	Auburn Tigers	-11	27.2%	12.4	23.4
95.	Iowa State Cyclones	+5	26.7%	15.8	30.8
96.	Marshall Thundering Herd	+5	26.3%	17.8	27.2
97.	Tulane Green Wave	-3	26.1%	19.2	29.4
98.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	0	25.7%	19.4	30.0
99.	Michigan Wolverines	-2	25.4%	12.0	27.0
100.	UTEP Miners	-8	25.2%	20.0	31.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
101.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-11	25.2%	16.2	25.8
102.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	-9	24.4%	16.2	24.9
103.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+2	23.1%	12.4	25.5
104.	UCLA Bruins	-9	22.6%	13.5	27.8
105.	Utah State Aggies	+3	22.2%	14.1	31.0
106.	E. Michigan Eagles	0	21.1%	17.5	35.8
107.	Army Black Knights	+2	19.7%	13.4	28.3
108.	UAB Blazers	+3	19.6%	19.1	32.3
109.	Syracuse Orange	+1	17.9%	12.7	34.0
110.	SMU Mustangs	+2	16.1%	16.3	34.4
111.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-7	15.4%	10.8	31.5
112.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+2	15.2%	12.8	29.1
113.	Wyoming Cowboys	-6	14.4%	11.3	30.0
114.	UCF Knights	-1	13.8%	10.2	26.7
115.	Washington Huskies	0	11.3%	12.6	36.0
116.	San Diego State Aztecs	0	9.8%	11.1	34.5
117.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	0	9.6%	15.2	39.8
118.	Idaho Vandals	+2	6.3%	10.9	38.1
119.	North Texas Mean Green	-1	3.7%	8.9	39.6
120.	Washington St. Cougars	-1	3.0%	9.0	44.3

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